Gregg Larson

I've got you, Kenny. Below is Nebraska's "team sheet" as of today, used to help breakdown if Nebraska will be in or not, and then once the committee selects the field, they will seed. Pros: 1) 2 Q1A (upper tier there of Q1) wins away from home, including 1 outside of conference play (blue shade). Wins out of conference and away from always carry the most weight by the committee. 2) Resume metrics, upper left, are more emphasized for getting in than those predictive metrics to the right of them. Ideally want to stay below 50 to have a good case. These are not elite for Neb, but good enough 3) 5 Q1 wins, 9 Q1/2 wins. Generally, while not all created equal, wins in Quadrant 1 & 2 are viewed as different degrees of "quality". Nebraska being 9-11 here is much better than many teams on the outside today. Cons: 1) A bit of an unwritten rule of sorts, the committee does not love if you are not at least .500 overall record across the top 3 quadrants. Nebraska is exactly .500 here. The point is so teams don't load up against easy Quad 4 teams to boost an overall record. 2) The two losses you see there in Quadrant 2 are very close to being Quad 3. Quad 3/4 are generally "bad losses", though Quad 4 is much worse. If you are unfamiliar, quads are split up based on NET of opponents, you can see the breakdown of each on the team sheet here H=home, N=neutral, A=away. Outlook: Nebraska MUST beat Minnesota, would be a bad loss. Then go at least 1-1 in the remaining 2. That should do it given the good non conference win, other conference road wins, and home wins over Illinois and UCLA.

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Coffeschatology

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