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Giova
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Let me lay out next week.
Because it's going to be BRUTAL.
The Convergence:
🔴 Thursday April 23: Iran ceasefire expires
📊 Wednesday: Fed FOMC minutes
💰 All week: Tech earnings (MSFT, GOOGL, META)
🛢️ Daily: Oil volatility
That's a CATALYST CLUSTERFUCK.
Three scenarios:
A) Bullish (35%): Iran peace deal + Dovish Fed + Strong earnings → Bitcoin $72K to $80K+
B) Bearish (25%): War resumes + Hawkish Fed + Earnings miss → Bitcoin $72K to $65K
C) Chop Hell (40%): Mixed signals, no clear direction → Bitcoin $70-74K torture range
Notice: 75% chance we DON'T go straight up.
Weak hands will:
Panic-sell dips
FOMO-buy spikes
Get chopped to death
I'll:
Buy $68-70K if we dip
Hold $76-78K if we rip
Do nothing if we chop
The survivors: Positioned BEFORE Monday, Sized appropriately, Thesis-driven not news-driven
The casualties: Trading every headline, Over-leveraged, First rodeo syndrome
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