hardrealism
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BREAKING : This is ABSOLUTE CINEMA 🍿
🇺🇸 Trump –– "I will blow up the entire nation if Iran doesn't sign deal"
🇮🇷 Iran –– "We won't take decisions under shadow of threats" 🔥
🇺🇸 Trump –– "I will keep the control of Strait of Hormuz"
🇮🇷 Iran –– "Then forget about us coming at negotiation table" 🔥
🇺🇸 Trump –– "We will send our negotiators to Iran on Wednesday"
🇮🇷 Iran –– "Tell them to unpack their bags until you open Hormuz" 🔥
🇺🇸 Trump –– "I won't lift the blockade"
🇮🇷 Iran –– "Done and dusted. We aren't coming to Islamabad" 🔥
🇺🇸 Trump –– "Okay let's extend the ceasefire"
🇮🇷 Iran –– "NO NEED. LET'S COME OUT OF CEASEFIRE" 🔥
This is not dialogue of any movie, trust me


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@Amockx2022 It looks real awkward because he is in fact talking to markets machines, algos, AI, whatnot, not humans.
The game is not whether hormuz is open or closed but who controls the toggle.
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BREAKING : This is the biggest humiliation for any US President 🤯
Donald Trump has officially accepted his defeat against Iran 🔥
🇺🇸 Trump at 13:00 –– "We want to extend the ceasefire deadline indefinitely"
*Literally after just 10 mints*
🇮🇷 Iran at 13:10 –– 🔥 "We don't recognize ceasefire anymore. Iran may or may not abide by Trump's announcement and will act in accordance with its national interests"
Just imagine, a US President wants a ceasefire but getting belted in return from a country like Iran without nukes
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🚨 HUGE UPDATE 🚨
🔴 IRAN ORDERS EVACUATION 🔴
"Everyone must leave the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait immediately. All sailors in the Arabian Gulf should be prepared to evacuate their ships. This is especially urgent for the ships near the Strait of Hormuz, which will be destroyed first."
- Ebrahim Zolfaghari IRGC Spokesperson

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Americans are powerless against Iran's "mosquito fleet"
The "completely destroyed" by the Americans Iranian Navy continues to put up a fight. To block the Strait of Hormuz, Tehran has deployed its "mosquito fleet". And the Pentagon can't do anything about it, reports The New York Times. According to the publication, Iran still has thousands of fast boats capable of high speeds and armed with machine guns, anti-ship missiles, torpedoes, and drones. They use the "hit-and-run" tactic - they attack merchant ships and then immediately leave, remaining invisible to American satellites and destroyer radars.
The "mosquito fleet" operates under the auspices of the IRGC, not the military. Its exact composition, number, armament, and bases are classified. But we can already judge its combat tactics. Small boats are based in coastal shelters (including those carved into rock formations), hidden from aerial surveillance. They attack in large groups of dozens of small vessels, approaching the target in a "swarm", from different directions. Their strength lies in their numbers and surprise.
From open sources, it is known that the IRGC has the following types of boats
Ashura. Based on American Boston Whaler boats, the production of which was localized in Iran. Displacement - about 1.3 tons. Speed - up to 70 knots (about 130 kilometers per hour). Armament - a 12.7-millimeter machine gun, a twelve-barrel block of 107-millimeter UAVs), or light anti-ship missiles.
Zolfaghar. (in the photo). Based on the IPS 16 project of North Korean torpedo boats. Displacement - about 13.7 tons. Speed - up to 52 knots (about 96 kilometers per hour). Armament - a 12.7-millimeter machine gun, two Nasr 1 anti-ship missiles in launch containers (localization of Chinese-North Korean C-802).
Seraj. A domestic development. Displacement - about 20 tons. Speed - about 70 knots. Armament - large-caliber machine guns, light anti-ship missiles, 107- or 122-millimeter MLRS.
In addition to boats, the Iranian "mosquito fleet" includes several dozen mini-submarines of the Ghadir and Nahang classes, the destruction of which the US did not report. They can be used by the IRGC for laying naval mines.
@sashakots

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$100+/barrel as attempts to artificially suppress oil futures prices will fail.
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
BREAKING: Brent crude oil prices surge above $100/barrel as US-Iran peace talks are paused.
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Iran needs to be clear, fast.
If it is not attending the meeting in Pakistan, it must spell out why:
is it the port blockade?
the deal terms?
or both?
Because silence comes at a cost.
Iran earned global sympathy as the underdog.
It risks losing that quickly if it appears evasive or inconsistent.
The bigger concern is strategic judgment. War may have created leverage but leverage is fleeting.
It can disappear in days if not converted into outcomes.
History is a harsh reminder.
In 1988, after years of war and immense losses, Iran was forced to accept a deal it once resisted.
Leverage unconverted is leverage lost.
And misreading the moment can turn advantage into regret, very quickly.
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BREAKING: We have obtained more detail on Iran's "final decision" to not attend talks with the US in Pakistan tomorrow.
Details include:
1. Iran says a Pakistan-brokered "10-point" ceasefire plan was proposed
2. Iran believes this plan was undermined by "weak enforcement"
3. Iran believes the plan is also undermined by "ongoing maritime pressure"
4. Iranian officials believe talks are "pointless" amid the US' blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
5. Iran has informed the US via Pakistani mediators that it will not be attending talks on Wednesday
AP is now reporting that Vice President JD Vance has called off his trip to Pakistan tomorrow.
Turn on our post notifications at @KobeissiLetter for real-time analysis as this develops.
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BREAKING: Iranian Political Analyst / Advisor and Professor Seyed Mohammad Marandi issues significant threat.
"Everyone should immediately leave the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi, and Kuwait. Sailors on all ships in the Persian Gulf must also prepare to evacuate their ships. This is especially urgent for ships near the Strait of Hormuz, which will be DESTROYED FIRST. Time is running out."
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