Hari Sugiharto Lim

370 posts

Hari Sugiharto Lim

Hari Sugiharto Lim

@hari_lim

Tesla Long Term investor, Huge Tesla Bull

Katılım Kasım 2012
90 Takip Edilen51 Takipçiler
Hari Sugiharto Lim retweetledi
Trade Whisperer
Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
If you re-rate $MU and $SNDK to 17x forward PE $MU is $1,700 $SNDK is $2,650 It's called the "Embarrassment Case." The semiconductor sector average is 34x. 17x is only half. $DRAM Half the credit for companies building the Cognitive Capacity of AIs, the KV Cache.
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Hari Sugiharto Lim
Hari Sugiharto Lim@hari_lim·
It is somewhat priced-in, yes. But there are other variables not priced in, such as better cost efficiency, better production and yield rate, and the biggest of all, price increase. Micron will almost definitely increase price in not too distant future, given Samsung has increased the price by 100% in Q1. When that happens, it will just flow into profit and PE multiple.
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Trade Whisperer
Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
Key quotes and highlights from today's JP Morgan Conference $MU $DRAM $SNDK "Our financial outlook has strengthened since our last earnings call. We're on track for another substantial record free cash flow in fiscal Q3. Our balance sheet has never been stronger, and that's underscored by multiple credit rating agencies actually from all 3 -- upgrades from all 3 credit rating agencies this year." "Demand continues to outpace our ability and the industry's ability to supply due to persistent structural factors." Tightness in HBM, DRAM, and NAND is expected to persist "well beyond 2026." Structural issues include slower node transitions, larger HBM die sizes, and longer fab build times. The AI boom is "still just getting started," with memory as "one of the biggest bottlenecks in the whole system." There's a shift to agentic/machine-to-machine workloads that are more memory-intensive, and memory is now a "strategic asset" for customers (higher performance/reliability directly improves model accuracy). On technology ramps: Micron is on track for 1-gamma DRAM and Gen9 NAND, with both expected to become the majority of bit output by mid-year. Yields are ramping faster than prior nodes thanks to AI-driven manufacturing optimization. On HBM progress: HBM4 production ramp is "running at twice the speed" of last year’s HBM3E ramp, with improving yields. It uses Micron’s 1-beta DRAM and in-house base die. Work on HBM4E has begun, with the first JEDEC-standard part ramping in 2027 Nothing short of bullish 🔥
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Eva McMillan ♥️
Eva McMillan ♥️@EvasTeslaSPlaid·
Cathie Wood predicts Tesla stock $TSLA to reach $4,000. Thoughts? @Tesla
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
True currency is steadfast friendship
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
Two Cybercabs spotted today on the highway near Tulsa, Oklahoma.
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tata
tata@tataalifa2·
Weukk
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Hari Sugiharto Lim
Hari Sugiharto Lim@hari_lim·
@GordonJohnson19 I would have more respect and believe you a little bit if you put your money where your mouth is. Talk is cheap.
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Gordon Johnson
Gordon Johnson@GordonJohnson19·
So... two "robotaxis" avail. in Austin after 7 months of service (not to mention 9 crashes in just 5 months with an employee behind the wheel)... and this is something to "celebrate"? Is this a joke? Seems earnings are going to be REALLY, REALLY bad, no? $TSLA
Gordon Johnson tweet media
Elon Musk@elonmusk

Just started Tesla Robotaxi drives in Austin with no safety monitor in the car. Congrats to the @Tesla_AI team! If you’re interested in solving real-world AI, which is likely to lead to AGI imo, join Tesla AI. Solving real-world AI for Optimus will be 100X harder than cars.

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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
NEWS: Tesla now has 200 Model Y Robotaxis operating across Austin and the Bay Area. Number of Model Ys: • Bay Area: 158 • Austin: 42 This fleet of 200 vehicles is now generating an estimated $1.5 million to $2 million in revenue per month. Cybercab production is scheduled to start in less than 103 days Source: robotaxitracker.com/vehicles?area=…
Sawyer Merritt tweet media
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Jo Bhakdi
Jo Bhakdi@JOBhakdi·
Thanks Cern! Think about it like this: Someone tells you that would will get a billion dollars by March 31st 2026. Then, the bad news: You will get the billion dollars by March 31st 2027. How much less happy are you? The delay doesn’t matter too much - what matters is that you get a billion dollars.
Cern Basher@CernBasher

Tesla Robotaxi: Impact of Delay Are you worried about the slow (delayed) rollout of Robotaxi? What's the impact of any delay to Tesla's valuation? My long-term valuation model calculates the present value of future earnings - so we can use the model to see what the impact of a delay is on Tesla's valuation - just by shifting back the robotaxi assumptions built into model. In this example, I pushed the robotaxi assumptions back by one year. By doing that we get 100 Robotaxis in the fleet in 2026, 1,000 in 2027, 100,000 in 2028 and 1,000,000 in 2029. Independent of the discount rate you use, the present values before a one year delay vs the present values after a one year delay are only about 2% to 3% lower. The reason for this small impact on Tesla's overall valuation: by shifting all the earnings to the right by one year you lose the 60th year, but the present value impact of that is small (this would still be true if you used a shorter time frame like 40 years). So pushing everything back a bit (in this example, by one year) the overall impact on Tesla's valuation is immaterial. So don't despair, the fact that Tesla is taking some time to ensure that Robotaxi is working as safely as possible is giving me greater confidence in the longer term earnings potential of the business. Afterall, it's not like a new competitor is going to show up tomorrow (no, not even Nvidia) and take away Tesla's cheese.

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squawksquare
squawksquare@squawksquare·
$TSLA now back to lows from Friday delivery number. Took just 30 min to remove any gains in the past week.
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TheSonOfWalkley
TheSonOfWalkley@TheSonOfWalkley·
BREAKING: GOLDMAN SACHS SAYS HUMANOID MARKET TO REACH $38 BILLION WITHIN 10 YEARS 👀 $TSLA Tesla will lead the way !
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Hari Sugiharto Lim
Hari Sugiharto Lim@hari_lim·
@Tesla It's now Dec 31 and Elon has promised unsupervised FSD this year. So, how is it going? Fulfilled promise or broken promise?
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Tesla
Tesla@Tesla·
Slowly, then all at once
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Hari Sugiharto Lim
Hari Sugiharto Lim@hari_lim·
@MothershipSG What is wrong with this guy? What's the big deal about birthday cake and why is it so important to receive it in flight? Bring his own birthday cake if he wants. Duh! So narcissist and attention seeking!
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Mothership
Mothership@MothershipSG·
SIA passenger, 36, 'very displeased' after request for birthday cake on return flight rejected bit.ly/4oPl1f8
Mothership tweet media
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大趙
大趙@zhongwen2005·
BNP Paribas Raises Tesla Price Target to $313 From $307
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Whole Mars Catalog
Whole Mars Catalog@wholemars·
I'm convinced that Tesla will sell their Optimus robot with a steering wheel. Think about it. The AI won't be able to do everything itself. Adding a steering wheel will allow us to sell Optimus in Europe much sooner.
Whole Mars Catalog tweet media
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squawksquare
squawksquare@squawksquare·
Just sold and took the $16,500. Based on volatility today, I'll take the risk of getting a dip. $TSLA
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Hari Sugiharto Lim
Hari Sugiharto Lim@hari_lim·
@TeslaBoomerMama For those in Singapore using Tiger brokers, you can ask for the control number. It will take at least 2 days for them to provide you that number.
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AleXandra Merz 🇺🇲
AleXandra Merz 🇺🇲@TeslaBoomerMama·
🗳️ worldwide Can I please have the attention of those who cannot vote as of today? Will ask you to fill out a short survey between Friday and Sunday, so we can make a push next week, but to best prepare, can you please TODAY or TOMORROW (Thursday, Sept 25) 1. Contact your bank / broker and ask for the control number for each account in which you hold TSLA shares. 2. if you get the number(s), vote on proxyvote.com (and smile) 3. if you don't get the number(s), ask why and note their response and put it Friday in the survey. This will help a lot.
GIF
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