hedgopia

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-…

Possibility of $VIX spike reversal coincident with major indices near crucial support. $VIX $NDX $SPX $RUT hedgopia.com/possible-vix-s…

Non-commercials' net shorts in $VIX futures at 35-week low. In past, these traders either go net long or get close b4 vol peaks. Cash (27.19) showing early signs of reversal as Mon's high 35.30 given up, w/ week ending lower. Weekly RSI, too, turning lower after hitting 70. $SPX

Non-commercials continue to cut net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures. Cash (6632) continues to march toward 200DMA (6604), which has not been tested since last May, unlikely to breach on at least 1st test. That said, week ends up w/ another lower high, w/ weekly shooting star. $SPY

200DMA acting as a magnet for both large- and small-caps. $SPX $RUT $NDX hedgopia.com/large-and-smal…

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-…

Non-commercials net short $RUT mini-index futures for 3 weeks. Cash (2525) breaches 2540s breakout retest, but barely. Index under pressure making lower highs since tagging 2735 on 22 Jan; ↓ 2.3% Fri, unable to rally on rate-cut hopes on news of Feb loss of 92k jobs. $IWM

Non-commercials' net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures at 3-week low. Bulls could no longer defend 6800 on cash (6740). ↓ 3.4% from Jan 28 high. Drop comes after several weeks of fatigue signs. Last Apr, troughed at 4835 and rallied big. 200DMA at 6583; worse, support at 6100s. $SPY

Bullish sentiment has been in overbought territory for weeks, even though it is not out-and-out frothy. Investors Intelligence ratio of bulls to bears 3 or higher for 12 weeks straight, with 3 4+ readings last 18 weeks. $SPX $NDX $RUT

Record #Nasdaq short interest, even as index goes sideways for weeks after massive rally post-Apr '25 bottom. $NDX $SPX $RUT hedgopia.com/one-after-anot…

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-…

Non-commercials reduced net shorts in 10-year note futures, but maintain heavy bearish bias, expecting higher yields. $TNX (3.96%) gaps down Fri to lose 4% for 1st time in 3 months. Lower highs since Oct '23 when rates peaked at 5%. Horizontal support at 3.9s make or break. $TLT

Non-commercials upped net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures to 12-week high. Cash (6879) begins week by defending 6800 on Mon-Tue, but was denied Wed at trendline resistance from 28 Jan when index peaked at 7002. Weekly spinning top, which also shows up 3 out of prior 6 weeks. $SPY

Jan margin debt up 50.4% from Apr '25 low to a record $1.28tn. Up 9 months straight m/m, and up $153bn from Sep close. Major large-cap equity indices such as $SPX and $NDX, however, essentially sideways since late-Oct high, while $RUT sideways for nearly 2 months now.

Margin debt at new high, but major equity indices sideways for weeks, even months. $SPX $NDX $RUT hedgopia.com/margin-debt-se…

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-…

After staying net short for 35 weeks, non-commercials switched to net long $USD futures. Cash (97.71) up 2 in 3 weeks. 4 weeks ago, huge buying interest just under crucial horizontal support at 96. In Jan '24, reversed hard at 110.18. Daily overbought, w/ nearest resistance at 98

Non-commercials upped net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures to 10-week high. Cash (6910) started holiday-shortened week with Tue's defense of 4 1/2-month horizontal support at 6770s and constantly attracted bids on weakness. Further gains likely once 6920s resistance gives way. $SPY

Large-cap indices poised to catch up to $XLY that has lagged $XLP for a while now. $SPX $NDX $RUT hedgopia.com/large-cap-indi…

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-…