Heidi Gardner

228 posts

Heidi Gardner

Heidi Gardner

@heidilgardner

Kitties and Ballers

Canada Katılım Nisan 2016
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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Pro traders aren't any better at "predicting" where the market will go than a hobby trader, and its not the job. The difference is all in execution: Finding lvls, protecting profits once available, stopping out & adjusting when wrong, and consistant loss size control. Focus there
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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Closing update #ES_F: Basing around the 4050 level to setup another day of extreme volatility tomorrow. As long as above 4050 now, push back to 4080, 4110 in play. 4035, 4020 overnight supports. Newsletter out soon talking the setup into FOMC tomorrow tradecompanion.substack.com
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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
We started today at 4050 and after 135 point round trip, its pinned right back here. #ES_F taking a breather before more extreme volatility with FOMC & now hovering just above the 200dma at 4036 ES trying to reclaim 4050 which puts 4075-80 back in play. Supports now 4036, 4020
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

130 point bi-directional moves in #ES_F to end right where we started and ultimately all noise until FOMC wraps up tomorrow. 4080 was key support today for bulls to defend and after trying for 2hrs, failed. 4020 next down. Bulls need to reclaim a resistance to squeeze (now 4050)

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
130 point bi-directional moves in #ES_F to end right where we started and ultimately all noise until FOMC wraps up tomorrow. 4080 was key support today for bulls to defend and after trying for 2hrs, failed. 4020 next down. Bulls need to reclaim a resistance to squeeze (now 4050)
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

Today 4080 was key support as posted & we've been here 2hrs #ES_F. Technical analysis 101: This is the core downtrend line from January. We broke out this morning, now backtesting As long as above it, 4110 (squeeze trigger), 4150 remains in play. Fail here, we see 4050 next down

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Today 4080 was key support as posted & we've been here 2hrs #ES_F. Technical analysis 101: This is the core downtrend line from January. We broke out this morning, now backtesting As long as above it, 4110 (squeeze trigger), 4150 remains in play. Fail here, we see 4050 next down
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

After todays 9 month breakout in #ES_F, it was time for back-tests as posted with 4110, 4080 supports. We sold to 4110 and bounced 30 points, now returning there for test #2 Bulls want to keep holding 4110 (4080 lowest) which keeps 4150, 4175 in play. 4080 fails, we sell.

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
After todays 9 month breakout in #ES_F, it was time for back-tests as posted with 4110, 4080 supports. We sold to 4110 and bounced 30 points, now returning there for test #2 Bulls want to keep holding 4110 (4080 lowest) which keeps 4150, 4175 in play. 4080 fails, we sell.
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

CPI delivering vertical candle like the last CPI. Today's 4080 target easily cleared & #ES_F has formally broken its downtrendline from January at 4080. Now, bulls must hold 4110, 4080 (key) now supports. As long as defended, uptrend continues to 4150, 4175. 4080 fails we sell

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
CPI delivering vertical candle like the last CPI. Today's 4080 target easily cleared & #ES_F has formally broken its downtrendline from January at 4080. Now, bulls must hold 4110, 4080 (key) now supports. As long as defended, uptrend continues to 4150, 4175. 4080 fails we sell
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

Fantastic run & Target hit ahead of CPI. Yesterday I was looking to 4015 then 4045-50, and now at 4050. CPI 830, as always, its where #ES_F ends after 1st 30mins of noise that matters Plan today: 4075-80 next up. Bulls want to hold 4025 after any CPI dips. Sell to 4k, 3960 below

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Note: As stated since Friday these are now March contract (ESH2023) levels as ES has rolled from December to March front month.
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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Fantastic run & Target hit ahead of CPI. Yesterday I was looking to 4015 then 4045-50, and now at 4050. CPI 830, as always, its where #ES_F ends after 1st 30mins of noise that matters Plan today: 4075-80 next up. Bulls want to hold 4025 after any CPI dips. Sell to 4k, 3960 below
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

No time being wasted for #ES_F and fantastic follow through. Todays targets off 3960 support were 3995 (hit) then 4015 final & coming into it right now. This type of strength ahead of CPI not ideal for bulls though tomorrow Ideally, can dip/base here. 4045-50 next up above here

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Closing update #ES_F: Big pre-CPI rally. Todays final target from this morning was 4015. It hit and now closing right here. 4045-50 next up, bulls want to hold 3995-4k now. Newsletter out soon talking plan for a very volatile day tomorrow & some big risks tradecompanion.substack.com
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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
No time being wasted for #ES_F and fantastic follow through. Todays targets off 3960 support were 3995 (hit) then 4015 final & coming into it right now. This type of strength ahead of CPI not ideal for bulls though tomorrow Ideally, can dip/base here. 4045-50 next up above here
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

Today, 3995 was my 1st target and just hit (3995.25 high of day as of now). Slow day as expected as #ES_F waits on CPI tomorrow to make the real move Ideally, ES can base out for rest of the day then continue to 4015-20+ tomorrow which remains next up. 3980, 3960 now supports

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Todays 3995 target hit & now basing. Worth noting: The last 3 months, the largest days of each were the CPI days in #ES_F (last CPI saw 205 point rally, Octobers saw a 125 point drop then 170 point rally). Vol incoming - bulls want to stay above 3960 to keep 4015, 4050 in play
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

Today, 3995 was my 1st target and just hit (3995.25 high of day as of now). Slow day as expected as #ES_F waits on CPI tomorrow to make the real move Ideally, ES can base out for rest of the day then continue to 4015-20+ tomorrow which remains next up. 3980, 3960 now supports

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Note: As stated numerous times already but will repeat - these levels are now March contract for ES. ES has rolled and March is now the front month. The current high of day 3995.25 which was todays 1st rally target
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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Today, 3995 was my 1st target and just hit (3995.25 high of day as of now). Slow day as expected as #ES_F waits on CPI tomorrow to make the real move Ideally, ES can base out for rest of the day then continue to 4015-20+ tomorrow which remains next up. 3980, 3960 now supports
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

Good follow through in #ES_F and after defending 3955-60 support overnight, my 1st target today was 3995 and coming into it now. 4015 above. With CPI/FOMC tomorrow, bulls do not want to get too stretched today and ideally 4015 is max seen. 3955-60 remains must hold support

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Good follow through in #ES_F and after defending 3955-60 support overnight, my 1st target today was 3995 and coming into it now. 4015 above. With CPI/FOMC tomorrow, bulls do not want to get too stretched today and ideally 4015 is max seen. 3955-60 remains must hold support
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

After defending 3955-60 support perfect overnight, slow start for #ES_F. Choppy/poor directional day would not be surprising with real fireworks starting tomorrow with CPI Basing now ~3980. 3995, 4015 remain in play as long as 3955-60 holds. 3955-60 failure begins sell to 3925

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
After defending 3955-60 support perfect overnight, slow start for #ES_F. Choppy/poor directional day would not be surprising with real fireworks starting tomorrow with CPI Basing now ~3980. 3995, 4015 remain in play as long as 3955-60 holds. 3955-60 failure begins sell to 3925
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

Major week of data for #ES_F & tactical trading incoming. 3955-60 was 1st support as posted Saturday & bulls defended hitting 3956 overnight and running Plan today: As long as 3960 keeps holding, 3995, 4015 next up. 3960 fails, we sell to 3920. Final support before deep sell

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Note: These levels now reference the March ES contract (no longer the December contract). March is now the front month contract as roll is underway
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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Major week of data for #ES_F & tactical trading incoming. 3955-60 was 1st support as posted Saturday & bulls defended hitting 3956 overnight and running Plan today: As long as 3960 keeps holding, 3995, 4015 next up. 3960 fails, we sell to 3920. Final support before deep sell
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner

Have a great weekend! For 4 weeks, #ES_F has built a base @ 3920-4050. 2 support hits, 2 res hits, 1 fake-out. Breakout week likely Next week: 3955, 3920 = supports. As long as 3920 holds, run back to 4050, dip, then breakout in play. 3920 fails, sell to 3855 starts. Map below

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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
CPI, FOMC, Quad Witching this week & that means major trapping/randomness ahead. For me, sizing down 50% to compensate is key to stay objective to my process, flexible & green. 52 trading weeks a year & 100s of A+ setups; 0 need gamble with size on poor quality in post data noise
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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Have a great weekend! For 4 weeks, #ES_F has built a base @ 3920-4050. 2 support hits, 2 res hits, 1 fake-out. Breakout week likely Next week: 3955, 3920 = supports. As long as 3920 holds, run back to 4050, dip, then breakout in play. 3920 fails, sell to 3855 starts. Map below
Heidi Gardner tweet media
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Heidi Gardner
Heidi Gardner@heidilgardner·
Closing update: Round trip day as #ES_F ping pongs between 3975 & 3920, setting up big move next week. 3975 was 1st upside target and max bulls could do. Same drill & 3920 must hold on this test or we breakdown. Newsletter out later talking setup next week tradecompanion.substack.com
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