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🚨 NEW: Labour MP Karl Turner has threatened to trigger a by-election unless Keir Starmer U-turns on his plan to scrap jury trials for crimes with sentences less than 3 years
[@thetimes]
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@ElectionMapsUK Prediction
Bridgemary (Reform gain)
Heworth (Labour Hold)
Codnor (Reform Gain)
Horsley (50/50, RFM vs GRN)
Willaston (Tory Hold)
Rissingtons (4 way race)
Glenrothes (SNP hold)
Leesworld (Reform Gain)
Wymondham (Reform Gain)
Bearsden (Lib Dem Gain)
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@AcidLemonic Yeah it’s not great for either, but it’s much more grim for Ukraine, they seem to be on be same road as South Korea, both Ukraine and South Korea are likely to have a near population collapse within the next few decades
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@IrishPatri0t Wouldn’t be surprised if he somewhat regrets defecting to the Lib Dem’s
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Also learning now that the Scottish Tory who defected to the Lib Dems (Jamie Greene) got placed 2nd on the Lib Dem regional list in West Scotland,
So he's not even going to win re-election lol
Irish Patriot 🇮🇪@IrishPatri0t
George Galloway is running in the Scottish Parliament for a regional list seat in Glasgow lmao
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@JoshHousden At the end of the day it’s likely that no party will get an outright majority, so it’s going to be either a Labour-Lib Dem-Green coalition or Tory-Reform coalition, but both coalitions are insanely Unstable
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Maybe the closest thing we have to a proportional representation poll recently, but the outcome is still some kind of "rainbow coalition"
Still very different to the presumed Tory/Reform government under FPTP

Josh Housden@JoshHousden
Via @LordAPolls: 'First choice to be in government after the next election, alone or in a coalition' ➡️ RFM: 26% (+1) 🟩 GRN: 20% (+1) 🟦 CON: 19% (-3) 🟥 LAB: 18% (=) 🟧 LDM: 13% (+3) 🟨 SNP: 3% (=) +/- vs. regular VI, December 2025
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@ChMark161 @RealAlbanianPat It’s hard to tell honestly, Reform are more moderate than the AfD, while the Tories are More extreme than the CDU, overall yes a fire wall could happen, but this is political suicide for the Tories + whoever they go into a coalition with
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@RealAlbanianPat It would be like Germany with the firewall.
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@_francophobe @ElectionMapsUK Dumfriesshire (the Tory Seat on the Left), seems like it’s a 3 way marginal race between The Tories, SNP and Reform
Berwickshire (The Tory Seat on the Right), Has a similar story, but is a much stronger Seat overall for the Tories (by far their safest seat in Scotland)
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Scottish Westminster Voting Intention:
SNP: 33% (+2)
RFM: 20% (+4)
LAB: 17% (-5)
CON: 11% (+1)
GRN: 11% (+1)
LDM: 8% (-1)
Via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov - 3 Dec.
Changes w/ 12-18 Jun.
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To stand as a candidate for Parliament, you or your party must pay a deposit of £500. If you get more than 5% of the votes in your constituency, your deposit is returned to you, otherwise you lose it.
69 different parties lost 100% of their deposits in the 2024 general election.
The graph below excludes parties that stood less than 10 candidates for conciseness.

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@EuropeElects Ungovernable as Fuck, unlikely one party gets a Majority, so either a Reform-Tory Government, Labour-Lib Dem-Greens-Etc or Labour-Lib Dem-Tory
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UK (GB), YouGov poll:
REFORM~NI: 26% (+1)
LAB-S&D: 19%
CON~ECR: 19% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 16%
LDEM-RE: 14% (-1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1%
+/- vs. 23-24 November 2025
Fieldwork: 30 November - 01 December 2025
Sample size: 2,366
➤ europeelects.eu/uk

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