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@huntx100
CS2 | Crypto | Gambling | @skinclubmedia partner
Katılım Mart 2016
1.5K Takip Edilen8.5K Takipçiler
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$64,49 GIVEAWAY! 🥳
★ Moto Gloves | Transport (FT)
To enter:
✅ Follow us & @huntx100
✅ Repost + Like
✅ Tag your friends!
Giveaway ends in 7 days!⌛️
#CS2 #CS2Giveaway #CS2Giveaways #Crypto

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🚨 AWP | The End (MW) Giveaway 🚨
To enter:
1️⃣ Follow @huntx100 & @Gerhardderechte
2️⃣ Repost and Like
🏆 Winner will be selected in 6 days. Good luck! 🏆

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@Gerhardderechte one of the best for crafts for sure, would love to get one but just feels overpriced rn
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i analyzed every CS2 case and found 5 investment anomalies and gaps
i have been around the cs market since 2018, actively arbitraging skins between gambling sites back in the day. recently i randomly found one of my old accounts with a decent balance sitting on it.
instead of cashing out into crypto with a 30% loss, i decided to rotate it into assets.
the long term trend for cases, capsules and most collectible items remains extremely bullish. 5-20x returns over the last 5 years are basically normal.
i remember buying katowice 2015 stickers for around $10. today many trade around $150. i bought shattered web cases for around $1. today they trade around $9. and those are just the examples i clearly remember.
over the last 24 hours i analyzed 29 different cases. i excluded the active drop pool and the current operation cases.
the dataset included:
- current price
- steam listings
- monthly volume
- market cap proxy
- buy orders
- age
- price appreciation since 2022
- estimated supply
- listings / monthly volume ratio
- buy orders / listings ratio
after running the numbers i found several interesting inefficiencies and hypotheses worth testing.
fact #1
age barely explains returns.
fact #2
listings / monthly volume works much better than age.
fact #3
most old cases have already received a large part of their re-rating.
hypothesis #1 — supply squeeze
remaining supply decreases. demand increases. price begins moving exponentially.
hypothesis #2 — re-rating cycle
new case > forgotten case > rare case > legendary case
the biggest multiples happen during the transition from forgotten to rare.
hypothesis #3 — new generation effect
for a player entering cs in 2026:
2014, 2015 and 2016 all look equally ancient.
a few years from now: 2020 and 2021 may start being viewed the same way.
hypothesis #4 — hidden supply matters more than visible supply
one of the most important conclusions. listings are not supply.
hypothesis #5 — knife pool matters most
cases containing highly desirable knife pools such as butterfly knives may have significantly more upside.
hypothesis #6 — ev gap
almost nobody analyzes this. the idea:
case price vs expected opening value.
if expected value rises faster than case price, opening becomes increasingly attractive. that can create a self-reinforcing buyback cycle from the market.
hypothesis #7 — the china factor
i am not explaining this one.
in the end i combined as many of these hypotheses as possible and allocated capital equally between:
> chroma case
> spectrum case
> operation riptide case
> operation wildfire case
if you want to know why i picked these specific cases and want access to the full spreadsheet, leave a comment so i know there is interest.
what is your outlook on the steam market?

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Don’t love how the @grok logo sits behind you Elon👹
Peter H. Diamandis, MD@PeterDiamandis
*Humanity's goal for the next century is... prevent WW3.* Elon: "Okay, this is going to sound pretty crazy." "I'd say the economy is 10 times the its current size in 10 years. Greater than. I feel like that's actually a fairly comfortable prediction." "Obviously if there's like World War III or something. that that could put a kink in those plans or those expectations. In the absence of World War II, if current trends continue, I would say the the economy 10xes in 10 years and have a base on the moon."
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