Itasdlae_FX

XAUUSD . 💀 IF YOU’RE LONG ON GOLD — READ THIS BEFORE IT’S LATE ⏰🚨 so as per our last week analysis, the structure we were expecting in the market and the levels below which we anticipated movement — along with the lower targets — were respected by the market. i hope the overall weekly analysis was helpful for all of you. now let’s talk about what could happen in gold in the last week of april and how we can plan our trades by understanding the psychology of big players (market makers). so overall, april was designed to invite buyers into the market and trap them at higher levels — and the market has done exactly that. if you remember, at the start of april i clearly mentioned that gold had been in a strong selling phase for several weeks, and no previous weekly high had been broken. the moment a previous week’s high gets broken and price sustains above it, buyers naturally enter the market due to breakout and change in character. because of this, above $4600 a lot of retail buyers entered the market expecting a strong reversal. but personally, based on april’s behavior, i don’t think those expectations will be fulfilled until the market traps these buyers. until these breakout buyers are forced out, i don’t see any strong institutional buying coming in. now if you look at the higher timeframe structure from 23rd march to 17th april, you’ll see higher highs and higher lows, which gave many price action traders confirmation of a bullish trend. but last week gave an important signal that many are still ignoring — the market failed to create a new higher high. still, some buyers are holding positions because the higher low hasn’t broken yet. but last friday, the market created a perfect trap. many retail traders saw it as a buying opportunity near the higher low and entered, expecting continuation — but in my view, these traders are likely to get trapped. if you observe closely, on 13th april there was strong buying from the asian session, and last friday the market took support from that same area and reversed. with price closing above $4700 and the higher high structure still intact, many traders bought in that zone. this has created a large amount of liquidity there — and i believe the market will target this liquidity with a panic selling move in the final week of april. from a structural perspective, the selling move looks more valid to me. the buying lacks a strong base and appears emotional — driven by hope rather than confirmation. one key level to watch is $4734. throughout the month, price attempted multiple times to sustain above this level but failed each time. even last week’s closing was below this level with bearish price action. this indicates that smart money is not interested in pushing gold higher right now. until current buyers give up and exit, institutional players are unlikely to deploy real buying capital. institutional money typically operates in two ways: creating fake moves to generate liquidity and attract retail traders using heavy capital to trap that liquidity once it’s built the buying above $4600 in recent days looks like liquidity generation to me. and in the final week of april, i expect the market to trap these buyers. now coming to my plan for next week: in the past two weeks, we’ve seen gap-down openings followed by recovery. but this week, i’m expecting something different — possibly a flat or gap-down opening without recovery, followed by continued downside. the reason is simple: friday’s low was formed near the same zone as the strong buying on 13th april. many traders bought there, with stop losses around $4650–$4640. i expect the market to continue selling, take out these stop losses, and potentially break the key psychological level of $4600. $4600 is not just a psychological level — it has historical importance. during the week of 6th april, monday’s low was exactly around $4600, and the market tested this zone multiple times but failed to break it. it also aligns with the change in character where gold broke previous weekly highs. this means a large amount of liquidity is sitting around $4600 — and that’s where my focus is. so overall, i expect: breakdown below $4600 continuation towards $4515 only after this kind of move do i expect real institutional buying to step in. this entire plan remains valid as long as price stays below $4734. { if the market opens with a gap up by mistake, my overall plan will still remain the same. i will simply wait for the market to hunt the liquidity created by the previous lower low selling, and then look for a reversal. once the market comes back below $4734 again, my plan will be activated. make sure everyone keeps this in mind.} i hope this detailed psychological analysis helps you understand the market better and adds value to your trading. trade with a plan and stay disciplined. also, let me know your view on gold 👇