Nasdaq & Strat

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Nasdaq & Strat

Nasdaq & Strat

@iceman_cry

global macro meditations, anti-fragile.

various outskirts Katılım Ocak 2011
937 Takip Edilen578 Takipçiler
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Nasdaq & Strat
Nasdaq & Strat@iceman_cry·
> ♾8⃣
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Nasdaq & Strat
Nasdaq & Strat@iceman_cry·
Free with mad f'n money
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Nasdaq & Strat
Nasdaq & Strat@iceman_cry·
i love trading. new all-time highs. another chip incoming. dreams manifesting. the best is yet to come. believe it.
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Nasdaq & Strat
Nasdaq & Strat@iceman_cry·
$googl has slowly become my largest position and i caution any stock trader or portfolio manager on the danger of not owning any or enough $googl
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Nasdaq & Strat
Nasdaq & Strat@iceman_cry·
That's why it's in their best interest to suffer the collapse of a dependency on an ally that seeks to exploit them at will simply because they can. Weaker, smaller nations with less productivity that rely more on interdependence than exploitation from an overpowered, and now capricious, hegemon will ultimately benefit them either way by exposing these systemic inefficiencies and forcing their resolution.
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John Carter
John Carter@martianwyrdlord·
I keep saying. The UK, the EU, Canada, and Australia have exactly zero actual leverage. None of them have the ability to develop their own platforms, because their overly regulated business environments have driven most of their native talent out, and what talent remains has its hands tied by endless regulation. They are wholly dependent on American tech companies. If those American tech companies pulled out, or if they were blocked by national firewalls, those highly regulated economies would collapse.
Preston Byrne@prestonjbyrne

Google has exactly one data center in the UK. All it has to do is threaten to close it and pull out its personnel. That is the answer to foreign censorship, it is the only answer, and the longer Big Tech ignores the option the more cancerous foreign regulation will become.

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Nasdaq & Strat
Nasdaq & Strat@iceman_cry·
Not a big believer in iq scores, but what is the avg. iq of this group? 80? 90?
Phil Perkins@PhilPerkinsCP24

.@cp24 Ronaldo arrived in Etobicoke for practice here's the reaction once they see the Portugal bus

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Nasdaq & Strat
Nasdaq & Strat@iceman_cry·
$pltr stans rn
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Ricardo@Ric_RTP

Palantir's CEO just exposed Sam Altman and Dario Amodei for robbing every Fortune 500 company. Within two minutes, Alex Karp took the entire frontier AI industry apart on national television. His exact words: "Every single enterprise in this country, these people are LIVID. They are paying for tokens that create no value. These people are stealing the weights and alpha of my business." He literally said the entire frontier AI business model is intellectual property extraction dressed up as a subscription. Then he also destroyed the pricing model with a single question that Silicon Valley still refuses to answer: "If it was so valuable, let's say I can make you $1 billion tomorrow. Wouldn't I say I'll make you $1 billion and I want 30 percent? Why are they charging for tokens if it's so valuable?" That question breaks the industry. If OpenAI and Anthropic's models truly delivered the productivity gains the labs claim, they would take equity or a share of the profit they generate. They would not sell access by the million tokens. Token pricing is itself the CONFESSION that the product cannot produce reliable value at scale. If it did, they would price for the value. But they price for the compute because that is what they are actually selling. Karp went even further... He called the entire arrangement "a wealth tax that does not help the poor. It just punishes." American businesses are transferring the alpha of their operations, meaning the workflows, the customer data, the strategy memos, the internal models that make them competitive, directly into the training pipelines of a handful of Silicon Valley labs. Once those labs retrain, the customer's own edge becomes the next enterprise product sold back to their competitors. And the part the AI industry does not want anyone thinking about: Every enterprise running its confidential documents, its customer conversations, and its financial models through a frontier model is potentially teaching that model HOW to replace them. The vendor collects the token fee AND the compounding intelligence about that customer's business. That is the mechanism. And that is why Karp used the word "stealing." He claims this is why every executive he meets is furious in private and silent in public. Nobody wants to be the CEO who called out the labs and then discovered their next competitor was built on their own leaked workflows. The entire AI industry has been priced for perfection on one assumption: That frontier labs produce durable, defensible value that justifies infinite compute spend. But Karp just told us that the customers do not believe that assumption anymore. They believe they are being taxed without benefit, watched without consent, and copied without recourse. The moment enterprises stop believing, the whole valuation stack shakes.

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Nasdaq & Strat
Nasdaq & Strat@iceman_cry·
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Concretum Research@ConcretumR

Markets rarely fall in calm, orderly ways. As the old Wall Street adage goes, they take the stairs up and the elevator down. During downside moves, technical and behavioral forces can trigger positive feedback loops that amplify market sell-offs. ⚙️ Volatility-targeting funds deleverage. 🛡️ Hedgers rush to buy protection. 📉 Dealers adjust their hedges. 💸 Panicked investors rush to hit the bid. Can these episodes of panic become systematic trading opportunities? Today we're publishing an article we've been working on for weeks: a fully systematic strategy that uses information embedded in the #VIX Index to identify short-term mean-reversion opportunities in #SPY. The idea builds on our broader research into implied volatility, including our award-winning paper with @BearBullTraders. Rather than trading volatility itself, however, this framework uses the VIX as a behavioral stress signal to identify periods when equity prices may have temporarily overreacted. From January 2007 through June 2026, the strategy generated a 10.8% annualized return (net of transaction costs) while being invested on only 14% of trading days. In the article we explain: 1️⃣ How the volatility-burst signal is constructed. 2️⃣ Why many VIX backtests have a look-ahead bias. 3️⃣ A practical leverage framework with capped risk. 4️⃣ Complete historical and trade-level results. 5️⃣ Ideas for extending the methodology We hope you enjoy it. 🔗 Link in the first comment. #SystematicTrading #QuantitativeFinance #AlgorithmicTrading #Trading #Investing #SPY #VIX #Volatility #MeanReversion

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Tyler Hunt
Tyler Hunt@THunt07·
@L3DFORD We aren’t moving on from $RBLX until it’s over $200 a share
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Tyler Hunt@THunt07·
The problem with inexperienced gamblers is they have no bankroll management so they cannot weather a storm. They get sad and angry after losing for a week straight. The top 1% will learn to manage their bankroll and learn to see another day because they got to bet more tomorrow
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Nasdaq & Strat@iceman_cry·
$spcx congratulations to everyone that built a huge rocket company with a founder ceo intent on making humans interplanetary explorers and builders.
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Nasdaq & Strat@iceman_cry·
@ZeeContrarian1 She got the narrative right but the timing and the companies and the valuations completely wrong. Her analysts were supposed to be her edge but they have added negative value.
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Z@ZeeContrarian1·
This is incompetence on the highest possible scale. The last few years may have been among the most important periods of innovation in human history, driven by AI. The $QQQ reflects that reality. Yet $ARKK , INNOVATION ETF, is down ~35% over the same period. Mind boggling
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