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💧gm. your ilqdty daily.
16 Feb 2026
crypto etps -$3.7b (4w), btc -2.2% to $67.5k, fear & greed 12
📊 MARKETS
S&P 6,836 (+0.05%) | NASDAQ 22,547 (-0.2%) | $VIX 21.5 (+4.5%)
Gold $4999 (-0.5%) | Oil $63.5 (+0.9%) | $DXY 97.1 (+0.2%) | 10Y TSY 4.06% (-5bps)
$BTC $67.5k (-2.2%) | $ETH $1,956 (-2.6%) | $SOL $83 (-4.7%) | $HYPE $29.82 (-3.5%)
$BTC.D: 56.4% | mcap: $2.39t (-1.9%)
$BTC ETFs: +$15m | $ETH ETFs: +$10m
top gainers: $SIREN +60%, $HNT +32%, $STABLE +22% | top losers: $H -17%, $ZRO -10%, $COMP -9%
fear & greed: 12/100 (extreme fear)
🗓️ Thu 19: Claims 8:30a | Fri 20: GDP 8:30a | Fri 20: PCE 8:30a | Fri 20: New Homes 10:00a
🎯 POLYMARKET
• fed cut rates 25bp mtg: 6% (+0.0%) | $273k vol
• us strikes iran by feb 28, 2026: 14% (+2%) | $1.2m vol
• trump deport 250,000-500,000 people: 88% (+2%) | $403k vol
• google have best ai model at end of feb 2026: 28% (+5%) | $291k vol
• btc up or down on feb 17: 50% (-2%) | $490k vol
🌍 MACRO
• canada december manufacturing sales +0.6% vs +0.5% expected (forexlive)
• pemex's jumbo debt sale pushes mexico issuance to monthly record (bloomberg)
• euro-area finance chiefs push for bigger role of single currency (bloomberg)
• uk proposes audit changes to attract chinese listings (ft)
• uk's reeves will get a boost from falling debt interest (bloomberg)
• swiss economy estimated to grow by 1.4% overall in 2025 (forexlive)
💼 BUSINESS
• hapag-lloyd to buy competitor zim in $4.2 billion deal (bloomberg)
• african defensetech terra industries raises additional $22m in a month (techcrunch)
• bytedance says it will add safeguards to seedance 2.0 following hollywood backlash (cnbc)
• banks prep sale of basf coatings' €4 billion buyout debt (bloomberg)
• schroders sells out to us rival (ft)
🤖 TECH & AI
• pentagon is close to cutting ties with anthropic, report says (bloomberg)
• import ai 445: timing superintelligence; ais solve frontier math proofs; a new ml research benchmark (importai)
• ai fears are hitting software stocks the hardest. citi sees a buying opportunity in many names (cnbc)
• the scientist using ai to hunt for antibiotics just about everywhere (mit_tech_review)
• urbn tests agentic ai to automate retail reporting (ainews)
• all the important news from the ongoing india ai impact summit (techcrunch)
• qwen3.5: towards native multimodal agents (qwen blog)
⛓️ CRYPTO
• Top Movers: $SIREN $29 (+60%) on new protocol launch | $HNT $8.2 (+32%) on helium mobile growth | $STABLE $1.22 (+22%) on defi adoption (coingecko)
• global crypto etp outflows extend to fourth week as $3.7 billion exits in past month (theblock)
• harvard trims bitcoin etf holdings by 21%, builds $87 million ether position (theblock)
• metaplanet posts $619 million net loss on bitcoin valuation as holdings climb to 35,102 btc (theblock)
• debridge launches mcp, enabling ai agents to execute non-custodial cross-chain transactions (theblock)
• nexo re-enters the u.s. market three years after exiting due to regulatory issues (coindesk)
• apollo moves into defi lending with morpho token deal (unchained)
• okx snags european payments license for stablecoin and crypto card expansion (coindesk)
• russia's daily crypto turnover is over $650 million, ministry of finance says (coindesk)
• animoca brands secures dubai vasp license to provide broker-dealer and investment services (theblock)
• russians move $129b in crypto yearly 'outside our attention': official (cointelegraph)
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extreme fear at 12. lot happening. stay sharp. @ilqdty
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