Bryan McGinnis
2.1K posts







DraftKings King of the Court Bonus Bet Projection Model 👑📊 We don't have a ton of historical data, but there is enough to give us an idea of what to expect tonight. For anyone projected for 35+ PRA, the low-end model seems safer to use. Some of these guys will definitely miss the low-end, while others will have a 4 figure payout, but just don't get your hopes too high in this range. The rest of the players will have a ton of variance with their bonus bet payouts. Last 10 game slate, we had a 30 PRA guy hypothetically pay $50k. Relatively Overplayed based on Poll⚠️ 🔹 Payton Pritchard 🔹 Lamelo Ball 🔹 Josh Giddey See first reply for the classic scatterplot. There is a ton of overlap, so this format seems better.













Fanduel Home run Derby promo:


FanDuel - MLB Home Run Derby Choose Your Champion Cal Raleigh +300 🔗 account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/add… This is pretty much +EV no matter who you pick. Even with the worst value you only need 7 home runs to make it +EV. But you clearly want the guys who are going to hit the most home runs to maximize the value. I’d only consider Cal or Cruz. Most books lean Cal. Circa leans Cruz. Do not bet more than your minimum. Also I didn’t have to apply any token or anything. I’m in for my $25 minimum.












