Jake

4.4K posts

Jake

@jakepickz

death, taxes, and Phillies baseball ⚾️ mediocre sports bettor and Cribbage god.

Katılım Haziran 2020

239 Takip Edilen482 Takipçiler

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Jake@jakepickz·27 Tem

MLB July 26th Recap: 4-0, +5.3u Michael Wacha u2.5 ERs (-110) ✅ +1u Andrew Abbott u2.5 ERs (+115) ⭐️ ✅ +2.3u Merrill Kelly u2.5 ERs (-130) ✅ +1u David Peterson o17.5 Outs (-125) ✅ +1u don't usually do a ton of volume, haven't had one of these in a while. feels pretty good.

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Jake@jakepickz·1h

don't see the Jays being an above average BB% team this year, and with Sugano's walk rate last year and 14.5 outs line for this game i see no reason this should be priced this way. his decline in overall effectiveness gives me some pause, but not enough to dissuade me.

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Jake@jakepickz·1h

Tomoyuki Sugano u1.5 Walks Allowed (-120 B365) 0.6u been waiting for this line to drop for hours. didn't want to fall asleep and miss it because i doubt it'll be here at this price by morning. available on Underdog, Prizepicks, basically every DFS app.

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Jake@jakepickz·3h

@Krayffbets very bad April, 66-52 +15u from May-September, broke even overall during the regular season. then 11-4 +6.67u in the playoffs. going light this April to avoid making the same mistake. spreadsheet was available all of last season as well, removed it yesterday to add the new one.

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Pickss4@Krayffbets·4h

@jakepickz what was the record last season

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Jake@jakepickz·1d

new bet tracking spreadsheet for the 2026 MLB season is linked in my profile. will try my best to keep it up to date.

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779

Jake@jakepickz·3h

@ChanceEVs i do have a public Pikkit, but a lot of my bets are placed in places that won't appear on my Pikkit

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Chance@ChanceEVs·4h

@jakepickz Why not use Pikkit ?

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Jake retweetledi

Patty21@Patty21NHL·9h

MLB POTD tomorrow, what am I missing here? Been up to 70 in ST, doesn’t throw hard enough that arm trouble is really a risk by jumping him to 80-85, seems like this should be 15.5 #PrizePicks #GamblingX

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Jake@jakepickz·6h

looks like it will move to at least 13.5, it's been taken down temporarily in most places.

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Jake@jakepickz·6h

may have slightly over exaggerated my reaction to this line, but i still think the assumption that Ranger will have a strict playoff-esque 18 batter limit in his Red Sox debut, which is what this line seems to be suggesting, would be very surprising.

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Jake@jakepickz·8h

Ranger Suarez o12.5 Outs (-120 HR) 0.6u am i tweaking or is this not an insane overreaction? did his left arm get torn off last night? played this on Underdog.

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Jake@jakepickz·7h

@oSilver_ valid. i'm interested to see what happens to this line when it opens on DK and other books. the Red Sox didn't hand him 130m this offseason just to turn him into a 4-inning pitcher after a couple of bad ST games.

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Silva@oSilver_·8h

@jakepickz Too fishy I’m concerned

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Jake@jakepickz·1d

@danieoull @BipriExotics you're just mad because i blow up your phone at 2am yapping about my MLB bets

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DANIEL@danieoull·1d

@jakepickz @BipriExotics he got lucky

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Jake@jakepickz·1d

3-0 SWEEP 🧹🧹🧹✅ got hit hard a few times but still kept his pitch count plenty low enough to cash with ease. not one, not two, but THREE plus-money cashes on the day.

Jake@jakepickz

Eury Perez o15.5 Outs (+140 B365) 0.5u i bet this on Chalkboard at 2.29. David Peterson is also currently available on Chalkboard at 2.34, and Sonny Gray at 1.94. these are laughable numbers.

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Jake@jakepickz·1d

@BipriExotics thank you bro 🙏

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Bipri@BipriExotics·1d

@jakepickz Good shit today 🫡

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Jake@jakepickz·1d

@MattZylbert Glasnow is good but his stuff just doesn't look the same as it used to in my opinion. i think we're gonna see some decline from him this year (outside of the obvious injury concerns). think the Dodgers may continue to use him in the more limited role he was used in late last year

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Matt Zylbert@MattZylbert·1d

Third over/underrr of the season now from night slaatee Diamondbacks/Dodgers Under 9 (-115) Can get that price on FanDuel, Caesars and others. Tyler Glasnow still doesnt get enough credit how good he is

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Jake@jakepickz·1d

@oSilver_ you already know i had to throw a little taste on there 😋

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Silva@oSilver_·1d

@jakepickz

GIF

QME

Jake@jakepickz·2d

Eury Perez o15.5 Outs (+140 B365) 0.5u i bet this on Chalkboard at 2.29. David Peterson is also currently available on Chalkboard at 2.34, and Sonny Gray at 1.94. these are laughable numbers.

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Jake@jakepickz·1d

balls drenched in sweat ✅ walks the second batter of the game, struggles mightily through 4, and doesn't walk another batter. pulled after 80 pitches. all eyes on Perez for one more out... if they keep him in

Jake@jakepickz

Sonny Gray u1.5 Walks Allowed (+105 B365) played this one on Underdog at 1.08x i'd love to know which algorithm they used to spit out these numbers. i'd go bigger if it wasn't still March, might've even gone 2u on both this and Peterson but i'll stay patient.

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Jake@jakepickz·1d

and then pulled after 76 pitches 😅

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Jake@jakepickz·1d

✅ stayed at around +115 all morning somehow. did everything he could possibly do to sell it at the end and still cashed in 73 pitches.

Jake@jakepickz

David Peterson o15.5 Outs (+140 B365) 0.5u got one more coming in a minute. i'd still take this one lightly at +115 where it's sitting at most books, but +140 is crazy.

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Jake@jakepickz·1d

@BoilerInTexas because in a separate sample of games the teams in the middle have won both one game and two games. obviously.

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Boiler in Texas@BoilerInTexas·1d

Why did this need to be a venn diagram??

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Keşfet

@Krayffbets @ChanceEVs @oSilver_ @danieoull @BipriExotics @MattZylbert @elonmusk @BarackObama