James Alliss

I’m now expecting a market correction as per my post 4 days ago. Closed multiple positions.

The one stock that I like the most across all ~600 stocks I've scanned in the US is: $ADI - Analog Devices, Inc If we see the pullback I'm looking for, I'll be trying to get in on this stock. Near $350 would be the perfect entry point. The earnings report is due in 3 days days time.

$LPK – LPKF Laser & Electronics I've been holding this one and recently trimmed most of my position into strength. The thesis isn't mine – credit to @aleabitoreddit, who has done the supply chain work on this. I'm sharing my own read on top of his. The setup: the semiconductor industry is shifting to glass substrates for advanced packaging. Intel, Samsung and most major players are adopting it. LPKF holds the patented laser process (LIDE) that the industry needs to do this, and supplies roughly 80% of the players working on it. In simple terms, it's the ASML of this particular chokepoint. A near-monopoly on a piece of equipment everyone needs as the packaging shift happens. The risk is equally clear. Equipment makers are cyclical. The financials are weak right now because the volume ramp hasn't started – mass production is expected in 2027. If that timeline slips, this is dead money on a poor balance sheet for a year or more. I took most of the trade off into the move and I'm letting a small runner play the structural story with my risk already removed. I'm not adding here. Price has run and earnings are close. I'd want to see how it behaves around the next print before doing anything with the remaining position. Credit to @aleabitoreddit for the original work. The framework is his. The position management is my own. You're responsible for your own trading decisions.

@BULLOFBRITAIN The embedded crypto promotion in point 8 is disqualifying this entire thesis. I notice you also copy @aleabitoreddit a lot, and post the information as your own. Untrustworthy information!

$NOW - I see a lot of chatter about this stock but I don't see price action confirming a buy. If I see price above $100, I'll start to pay attention. Market status: Uptrend Under Pressure. I'm still siting on the sidelines waiting for a market correction.

I may have been too early with my prediction that the markets will drop, but even so, it’s very obvious that we need a breather. So many X “Traders” talk about how much money they’re making. How many will post losing trades when the market corrects? Answer: very few

$MU - Honestly, I'm pretty gutted that I didn't get in on this trade after talking about it and then deciding not to take it. That was truly awesome run! x.com/james_alliss/s…

$RDDT - Add it to your watchlist. Then they reported Q1 last week: • Revenue +69% YoY • EPS up 7x • 40% EBITDA margin • 47% FCF margin • $1M quarterly capex Stock is still down 48% from highs. Something’s off. I can’t see a trade setup yet but worth preparing for it.

Post 10/10 $PYPL I’m in and I’ll add to my position as a value play, not a structural conviction trade. PayPal Ads ID launched April 27, 2026. This is a new advertising business snd extremely valuable to advertisers in a post-cookie world.

Post 9/10 $PYPL $45 or lower: You’re buying a beat-up payments business priced for failure. 1. Free option on Venmo monetization or spinoff. 2. Free option on Ads ID scaling. 3. Free option on PYUSD becoming a real revenue line. There’s a lot to like about this stock.

Post 8/10 $PYPL PYUSD monthly circulating supply. DeFiLlama, Etherscan, Solana explorers — all public, all real time. Above $4.5B = intact. Below $2B = bear case winning. You don’t need analysts. The chain shows you.

Post 7/10 $PYPL Three scenarios over 2-3 years: 1. Bull (top-3 stablecoin): $20-40B supply. +$500M-1B revenue at 80% margin. $PYPL re-rates 30-50%. 2. Base ($5-10B): Marginal. Stock needs Venmo or ops to move. 3. Bear (CLARITY kills yield): Supply → $1-2B. Footnote.

Post 6/10 $PYPL The bear case: 42% of PYUSD supply sits in top 100 wallets — mostly DeFi yield farmers, not merchants or retail. CLARITY Act could ban the 4% yield driving adoption. Whales rotate out. Supply halves. Don’t ignore this. It’s the real risk.

Post 5/10 $PYPL Kite AI’s mainnet lets PYUSD settle machine-to-machine payments. When AI agents start transacting at scale, they need a regulated dollar primitive. PYUSD is positioned. USDT/USDC aren’t. This is a 2027-2028 catalyst.

Post 4/10 $PYPL The revenue mathematics: T-bill yields ~5%. PYUSD pays out 4% as rewards. Net spread today: ~1%. If CLARITY Act bans stablecoin yields → full 5% spread captured by PayPal. $4B × 5% = $200M annual high-margin revenue. $20B × 5% = $1B annual. USDT pulls $13B/yr

Post 3/10 $PYPL Catalysts nobody is pricing in: • Mar 17: Expanded US/UK → 70 markets • Mar 30: Nium launched PYUSD-funded Visa/Mastercard cards • Kite AI mainnet: PYUSD as rails for AI agent payments • PYUSDx: stablecoin-as-a-service framework for devs.

Post 2/10 $PYPL Meet PYUSD. • Circulating supply: $4.1B at March peak ($3.4B today after a burn) • Growth: 5x in 12 months • Distribution: 200-country PayPal network • Federal regulatory approval: ✓ • 6th largest stablecoin globally

Post 1/10 Everyone seems bearish on $PYPL after another ~10% yesterday. They’re missing the actual story buried inside the company. PayPal quietly owns the 6th largest stablecoin in the world.

Is it time to consider buying $PYPL? I’ll post my reasons in the following 10 posts. You should probably consider reading these posts and make your own trading decisions based on the information I’m about to share with you.