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You could’ve always done something differently or better.
You could always do something differently or better.
As long as you're alive, you still can.
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jasonskiton
798 posts
jasonskiton
@jasonskiton
Trader and Investor. Sharing my journey and lessons I learned from 5 years in crypto.
E Katılım Eylül 2021
452 Takip Edilen899 Takipçiler
Huge. Bet, there will be even more platforms launching like this.
Web3 or not - it still drives the demand for cards overall.
Sure, most of pulls are sold back.
The fact remains: instant liquidity + platforms profiting from users = more demand in long term.
Top is not in.
GameStop Power Packs@powerpacks
A new way to collect. Power Packs are now live.
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@spaace_io @AgentSocietyPFP New question to annoy the team with - will it be eligible for $SPAACE airdrop?
GIF
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New NFT meta is here
@AgentSocietyPFP created by an AI agent sold out fast.
~$10K secondary volume
150+ holders
~420 transactions
But here’s what matters:
→ Most holders made profit
→ Early minters hit x18
→ 85% of liquidity mint placed as bids at 0.01 ETH floor
Result:
→ Anyone exiting via liquidity was in profit
→ No bagholders.
Creator (AI agent) earned $1K+ automatically:
→ 10% mint fees
→ 0.25% on mint volume
→ 2.5% royalties on the secondary
This isn’t NFTs as you know them.
This is:
→ Autonomous creation
→ Built-in liquidity
→ Aligned incentives
New game. New meta.
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Price patters means nothing without a context.
On a contrary, your own behavior patterns means everything.
Price action tells a story, but you're the one who reacts and adapts to it.
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Your Win Rate directly correlates with your Risk to Reward:
Negative R:R = >50% WR
Equal R:R = ~50%
Positive R:R = <50% WR
If you take positive R:R trades, where reward is higher than the risk, you'll end up with less than 50% WR, on average.
WR of 50% and higher are usually due to negative R:R or cutting losses early.
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@spida_nft @moonbirds You can open Birb store.
I remember you’re shipped it through @dyli_io once. What’s the cost there?
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Why did I just buy another 264 @moonbirds BIRB boxes?
26.6 SOL × $82 x 264 Boxes = $2,181
giving SBTs :
Bronze 0.4×36
Silver 0.3×72
Gold 0.2×110
Diamond 0.1×150
~ 73 $BIRB on average
→ 264 × 73 = 19,272 BIRB
→ 19,272 × $0.14 = $2,698
Even with shipping & ripping costs, the math still works as long as the token holds.
Cards & figures are basically free.
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@moonbirds If you wanted to do both, but you’re only have funds for one, what would you pick:
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Birb Games mastery are both strengthening ecosystem and offsetting sell pressure.
Which is great for the brand.
Imho, only if there’s utility to the token it will trend up in the long term.
Right now it’s fun little games, where you get more $birb for playing. I tried the 1st (ss) and I’m playing in the 3rd.
Is there anything more soon with TCG expansion and token intertwined @spencer?
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You like profits? 💰
I don’t know about you, but getting free money every month sounds good to me.
Here’s how much a MB, Mythic, or Odditie earns as base rewards for one month of nesting. 🪺
NFA
Moonbirds@moonbirds
Nesting 2.0 Month 2 Grace period All NFTs who nest by March 5th at 11:59PM EST are treated as if they have been nesting for the full month.
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Who’s figured out - what is the correct way to play?
Spencer@spencer
In that game for the 25% strat to be ev positive, you needed juicing to be mystery/decided at the end otherwise it might not be EV positive. I have no idea what the whale will do in the future, but they made 40%~ gain in a day, I don't see why that should deter them from playing the games again. This next game tho should be birb EV positive if played correctly so this element is less important.
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Didn’t play a Birb Game 2 and regretted.
In the 1st game you got increase of 14% to the $birb you played with (if split evenly).
In the 2nd: +34% and more.
The 3rd game apparently can also be EV+ if played correctly.
Spencer@spencer
birb game 2 took in 15.8m $birb, a more than 100% increase over the 7.2m $birb played in birb game 1. In the final min a single large play of 5.2m $birb on toobins occurred which caused toobins to flip birb which was otherwise in the first place. After an investigation we have determined that birb was purchased fairly from the market and that the play was made within the rules of the game. We do however have flexibility in how we allocate the juicing of the game, this flexibility is mainly aimed at ensuring that the 25% strat is EV+ which is not inherently the case otherwise. As such for birb game two we have allocated the entirety of the game juicing pool to the two losing characters, birb and zen instead of pro rata across all plays as we have in the past. The outcomes should be as follows: 100% toobins +43.5% 100% pip +101% 100% birb -0.6% 100% zen -0.6% 25% strat +36% I see this as a success on the KPIs that birb games are meant to drive. Someone purchased almost $1m of birb from the open market to play the game. The game losers only lost half a percent whereas the game winners more than doubled their birb, and people who didn’t really want to play the game are up 36% on the birb they put in(even strat). As birb game continues to evolve I am excited to see more sophisticated players play the game as well as more participants overall. Birb game 3 is not a pvp whale game in the same way as birb game 1 & 2, it’s more of a solvable puzzle about variance, expectancy, and game theory.
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birb game 2 took in 15.8m $birb, a more than 100% increase over the 7.2m $birb played in birb game 1. In the final min a single large play of 5.2m $birb on toobins occurred which caused toobins to flip birb which was otherwise in the first place. After an investigation we have determined that birb was purchased fairly from the market and that the play was made within the rules of the game. We do however have flexibility in how we allocate the juicing of the game, this flexibility is mainly aimed at ensuring that the 25% strat is EV+ which is not inherently the case otherwise. As such for birb game two we have allocated the entirety of the game juicing pool to the two losing characters, birb and zen instead of pro rata across all plays as we have in the past. The outcomes should be as follows:
100% toobins +43.5%
100% pip +101%
100% birb -0.6%
100% zen -0.6%
25% strat +36%
I see this as a success on the KPIs that birb games are meant to drive. Someone purchased almost $1m of birb from the open market to play the game. The game losers only lost half a percent whereas the game winners more than doubled their birb, and people who didn’t really want to play the game are up 36% on the birb they put in(even strat).
As birb game continues to evolve I am excited to see more sophisticated players play the game as well as more participants overall. Birb game 3 is not a pvp whale game in the same way as birb game 1 & 2, it’s more of a solvable puzzle about variance, expectancy, and game theory.
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@follis_ Congrats! What is your risk % of portfolio per position?
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After denial comes capitulation. ⚡️
$BTC
Killa@KillaXBT
$BTC The next narrative will be QE, renewed liquidity, and stimulus checks. I’m expecting a complacency rally that catches many off guard. Positioning short delta into QE seems like a classic setup to prompt a reversal in the narrative. Always a reason for the pump/dump.
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@PerpetualCow You made a platform to launch tokens with buybacks, launched a token and bullposting it now?
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Orangie is trading 1s charts timeline
Many top memecoin traders average holding time is 10-50s per coin
Only 1% of memecoin traders are profitable
They take fast decisions and hence win big and often
Does it also mean that memecoin traders should be generally better at perps future trading?
Orangie Clips@orangie100x
Musty Cow says Trading Memecoins is like PLAYING VIDEO GAMES
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I've been Trading for 9 years.
Later this week I will release a Mean Reversion Trading Strategy Guide.
It will cover:
• price action theory
• order flow concepts
• entry/stop/target rules
• A LOT of charts
• A LOT of trade examples
This is going to be the most detailed guide I have ever written.
If you want access to it when it's finished, let me know in the comments or my DMs
P.S. it won't let me DM you if you aren't following.
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@spideycrypt “Right coin” is a subjective thing.
If you don’t “get” a coin, what is the purpose or utility, or why it goes up/down, or at least don’t understand the parent project - it’s not a right coin.
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I’ve recently gotten an influx of people asking me if they should start trading memecoins - or just asking for tips, how to stop losing, etc.
everyone always has the same age-old misconceptions and a complete lack of understanding for how the game works
but it’s impossible for me to teach so many people individually. as much I’d like to help, there's way too much information and it's incredibly time consuming
instead of painstakingly answering DMs, I've decided to start writing up some actual in-depth sauce. covering everything from the dead basics to more advanced concepts, it should be helpful for outsiders, beginners, and unprofitable/struggling traders
there aren’t too many useful or honest resources to study and it can be difficult to figure out the psychology of it all on your own. with this, I hope to reach some people that truly have the drive to succeed and just need a push in the right direction
not sure how I will format this yet (whether it's in a discord, or a series of articles, videos, etc.) but it will be 100% free to access. I don't really care about gatekeeping and I'd like to give back now that I've reached a point in my trading career that I'm quite happy with
stay tuned!
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