@graddhytrading Hi Graddhy, How does it translate for silver ?
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J.-Christophe MASSET
1.5K posts
@graddhytrading Hi Graddhy. Do you mean it could be the final low for PGM ? Hence for PM too ?
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@CubanInvestor86 @DVSignals On Substack app : chat icon on bottom> Deep value’s Substack > Trading signal / alert thread
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@DVSignals Where in the alert section? I looked at it and I don’t see it DVS. Thanks bro
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Something seems to be brewing in the precious metals market...
I just posted a trading alert in the alerts section on Substack..
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@DVSignals Thank you so much for your work, your updates and spot on analysis. Yesterday was a tough day and you mastered it 👍🏻
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$SILVER
That 71–72 magnet just keeps proving how important it is. In my three-scenario framework, late 2025, scenario one had the highest probability and called for a move back into 71–72 before year-end.. and that is what happened.
We did not get the cleaner continuation higher, and while we also did not get a sustained move into the deeper levels yet, we did get the kind of overshoot / instability I warned about. And now, with two intraday breaks below 71–72, I would absolutely call those warning shots, not something to dismiss lightly...
DeepValue Signals@DVSignals
$SILVER Following up on Friday’s roadmap... That earlier scenario work was based on a shorter channel framework. This update reflects the broader 3-month structure, which carries more weight and adds important context. This is an ongoing refinement, shared in real time, to help you to the best of my ability... Updated baseline scenarios (all remain structurally bullish): Base case | controlled rejection / handle formation (~55%) First touch of a multi-decade channel lid after a near-vertical advance still statistically favours a cool-off. The most likely outcome is a pullback into the inner structure: a move back toward the ~71-72 trendline, with scope to overshoot into the 0.236 Fib (~65). Over the coming 3-month candles, extensions toward the upper 0.382 zone (~55) are possible without breaking the broader bullish structure. This would represent a classic momentum reset before a stronger second attempt. Bullish continuation | clean acceptance above the channel (~15%) For this path to assert itself, price would need to close and hold above the channel lid on the 3-month chart, followed by only a (very) shallow pullback that holds above the low-70s area. Given current momentum extremes, this remains my lowest-probability outcome but it would signal a genuine regime shift rather than mean reversion. Hard rejection | sharp failure toward deeper Fibonacci support (~30%) A more forceful rejection from the channel lid could trigger an air-pocket move toward the 0.5 Fib (~48) or even the 0.618 (~41). While uncomfortable in the short term, this would still represent a higher-low within the multi-decade channel, keeping the long-term bullish thesis intact but delaying resolution. First touches rarely decide. Second attempts usually do... Quick clarification / context: x.com/DVSignals/stat…
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@graddhytrading Hi Graddhy. To better understand what you said : there will be a marginal downside move (not seen on shown curves) followed by the orange road. Is the pink road still a possibility? Thanks !
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@graddhytrading Hi Graddhy, From a TA point of view what would be the price area (downside) where, if met, would be a too much impact to continue a bull run ? Thank you !
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@DVSignals Thanks a lot DVS for your guidance ! Much appreciated.
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$SILVER
Channel still respected beautifully.
My primary bull view can still remain intact, but even then a correction into 65–72 would make plenty of sense first. That remains my highest-odds scenario here.
And if the measured move keeps unfolding, the bottom of the channel near 50 also comes into view.
I’ve been warning about this for weeks. The pushback was a tell in itself...
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@graddhytrading Do you have a minimum target for silver and gold ? Thank you !
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@graddhytrading Could you please explain what we should be careful of ? Volatility ? Further major downside if broken ? Thanks !
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$SILVER
What that guy said... 👇🏻
About 15 minutes later, the chart started agreeing...
DeepValue Signals@DVSignals
$SILVER $SLV Read this comment below again and overlay it on top of the chart: to me, this looks like a bear flag and a shakeout of weak hands - around support - before the next move lower..
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@graddhytrading Hi Graddhy . Would this means a up move from silver which is very far from gold move today ?
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If the Strait of Hormuz effectively closes from IRGC radio warnings (as reported by Reuters, EU Aspides, UKMTO, and shipping firms), it disrupts ~21 million barrels of oil daily—about 20% of global supply—plus LNG from Gulf exporters like Saudi Arabia, UAE, Iraq, and Kuwait.
Impacts: Oil prices likely spike sharply ($5–10+/bbl initially per analysts), driving global energy costs higher, inflation, and market volatility. Tanker traffic has already halted or turned back. Self-harm to Iran’s economy and probable US-led naval response limit duration, but short-term chaos is real. Fluid situation—watch for updates.
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The Strait of Hormuz situation:
Reuters is now reporting that Iran is notifying vessels that it is CLOSING the Strait of Hormuz.
If officially closed, 20+ MILLION barrels of oil PER DAY will be impacted, or 20% of global supply.
What's next? Let us explain.
(a thread)
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@graddhytrading @graddhytrading Kudo for your guidance Graddhy !
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@graddhytrading @bhavikjaguwala Will this advise stays just for today, or is 4.15 an important level being a line in the sand ? Thanks
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