さぶろう

精度悪いです！水着のお姉さんばっかり流れてきます！

激リバに怯えて株ショートよりはゴールドロングの方が立ち回りやすい気がしています

ショート取れるかは別としてこの下げを避けるのはかなり簡単だったので顔面から受け止めてるインフルエンサーの言うことは聞かないようにしましょう。下手くそです。ワイの今年の損益グラフ貼っとくで

Goldman on CTA flows: CTAs have sold almost $55bn in US equities since the beginning of the month putting them short $18.41bn. This selling pressure has been more visible in price action as liquidity remains poor. The good news? It’s almost over (barring any major shock on the macro front) and the asymmetry lies to the upside as conditions stand. The reduction in pressure is catalyzed by elevated vol levels, so although unlikely, a meaningful reset in vol can change CTA behaviour. Over the next 1 week… Flat tape: Sellers $10.68B ($3.42B out of the US) Up tape: Buyers $23.84B ($15.32B into the US) Down tape: Sellers $25.92B ($8.05B out of the US) Over the next 1 month… Flat tape: Buyers $5.37B ($3.04B into the US) Up tape: Buyers $172.09B ($85.85B into the US) Down tape: Sellers $40.62B ($1.89B out of the US) To the upside, we estimate CTAs will buy almost $86bn of US equities over the next month if we do see a sustained rally in spot – this is in the 99th percentile on a 1y lookback (chart). The “Down Big” scenario has shifted up to less than $2bn out of the US over the next 1 month which is in the 90th percentile on a 1y lookback (chart).