
jdot
702 posts




Win Rate Predictor is live on treadtools! treadtools.vercel.app/win-rate Pick your exchange, pair, and bot config- get the probability of hitting your stop loss, profiting, or losing before you trade. Hit "Find Best Configs" to auto-score 10K+ setups and find what works in current market conditions. The model is a gradient-boosted tree classifier trained on 200K+ real executed trades from the past 90 days across 180+ pairs and 11 exchanges. It learns from features like volatility, spread, leverage, stop loss settings, time of day, and how each pair has historically performed. Probabilities are calibrated using isotonic regression so what you see reflects actual outcome rates, not just relative confidence. Ranking score for the best configuration is (0.6 * SL safety + 0.4 * profit if no SL) * confidence * sample factor











I DID IT!!! Turned $12 into $100,000 (over 8,300x) by going all-in and doubling my bankroll 16 times in a row on short-term BTC moves - while sharing my bets and the reasoning behind them along the way. This is only possible on @Polymarket !!! It took a lot of work and real skin in the game, so if you’re reading this, a simple RT or comment would really mean a lot. Huge shoutout to @shayne_coplanand @Polymarket team for building the best prediction market platform out there. And special thanks to @zscdao and @PolymarketTrade for the support🤝 Track my progress here: @ascetic0x?via=share" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@ascetic0x?via…



(New) Record 24h Volume for tread,fi $457,985,029 Still very early though








