Joe Knee

I'm not like most of you. I succeed through nailing 3 high conviction plays per year. 3x returns on these plays are perfect, I don't need 100x. Here's my next bet including an invalidation criteria. 🧵

@cryptobullying Mate I’ve lost more than $10,000 on more days than I can count.

Have u lost more than $10,000 in crypto? Be honest

@cryptofergani Worth holding long term spot buys but still not deploying capital, waiting for momentum to flip before putting on new positions

The next 6-10 months will feel like a money printer. Bitcoin will break ATH, then ETH follows. Billions will flood into mid and low caps. Alts and memes will send 10x-100x. Total crypto market cap is heading for $8-$10T. Last cycle hit $2.7T, and we still saw 100x plays. Imagine 3x that. Just hold. Whales will try to shake you out, don’t fall for it. The real money is in patience. Altseason and Memeseason are locked in. BlackRock isn’t getting our bags cheap. BTC to $150K-$200K is inevitable. Like this tweet, and I’ll share the alts and memes I’m buying. Follow me so you don’t miss it.

@FortuneMMXM Awareness of market conditions and not trading my strategies sometimes even when setups materialise. You can have the perfect breakout setup, but if the broader market is not favourable to breakouts you shouldn’t take the trade. The hardest lesson is learning to do nothing.

If you've moved from the stage of blowing accounts into consistent profitability. Please share what changed the game for you

If Bitcoin is going to rally now is the time Often markets sell off into geopolitical news and then quickly recover if there’s seller exhaustion Looking for a move by Tuesday latest

You can literally improve at trading instantly by asking: "Who is on the other side of this trade and what information makes them want to trade with me?" This is like a chess player considering their opponents move before acting. Don't be so focused on yourself that you forget the game we are playing.

Next iteration will 100% be agents utilising defi and crypto rails to execute autonomously People will go crazy The feeling of real value and excitement will be palpable Then 100000 meme coins purporting to fit this narrative will drop, value gets fragmented, retail gets rinsed, and it turns out we didn't learn a damn thing

I don’t think it’s hyperbolic to say that the average crypto participant is extremely fatigued by the constant goalpost and narrative shifting this industry has gone through to date. That fatigue is, and will continue to be, having a psychological impact on people’s investment theses going forward. The unravelling of “alt szn”, and now the questioning of the point of holding majors outside of BTC, is proof of this transition. The only real use case in more than 10 years of this industry existing is stablecoins. Sure, BTC is a store of value, but only when it actually stores value. Nothing else has been built but a giant casino. That’s simply not interesting going into the second half of the 2020s, especially when you have narratives like A.I showing tangible changes to society in orders of magnitude less time than crypto’s big promises ever have. If this industry is to be "successful" it needs to move beyond the extractive rinse repeat modelling and build something of lasting value that normal people actually need. Otherwise, it sits firmly in the “niche but interesting” category, and the value proposition of its inception goes unrealised.

This setup prints 74% of the time and I still don't see people trading it Entry criteria: 1. BTC breaks to new lows ✅ 2. SOL follows taking out swing low ✅ 3. Retest into "value zone"❓ My algo only enters if we get the retest, otherwise the risk/reward is mid Bookmark to see if it plays out AGAIN

Agree with your thesis but it is a dangerous idea for your audience. Markets are efficient and the bulk of long-term returns come from a tiny % of days. A study by JPMorgan Chase & Co. showed that missing just the 10 best days over 20 years can cut returns by ~50%+. Most of those days happen around bottoms, when fear is highest. For ~95% of people, staying invested through cycles beats trying to time tops. This shit is proven.

Called the ZEC short in advance. +245%. I don’t post low-probability setups. I wait. Most traders lose because they can’t sit still. Patience is the edge. Nimbleness is the moat. Hedge funds can’t copy that.

One of the biggest mistakes people make is trading to frequently most people get rich from just buying and holding the right assets the crypto boom-bust cycles have been a durable edge for the patient all you need to execute is conviction and liquidity when the market is in despair seperate your portfolio into a short term x long term basket so you don’t loose sight of opportunities on both timeframes

The long term risk/reward for ETH is insane but everyone is asleep at the wheel $1,400 in April 25' broke conviction Now the market is overweight BTC and expecting next cycle to play out the same way This is EXACTLY the positioning which primes ETH to lead Blackrock CEO Larry Fink recently said: “We have more dependencies on maybe one blockchain... but that being said, the activities are probably processed and more secure than ever before.” He isn't talk about BTC Sad part is you once understood this but now the scars run to deep All you need to know about ETH: 1) Adaptable to quantum threat 2) Long term network security without relying on POW 3) Native risk free yield 4) Use cases with network effects 5) ETF's for capital flows 6) Deep liquidity for institutions to pump price 7) Diversification benefit reducing sharpe ration in portfolio 8) Survivability across cycle It's okay to DCA bitcoin and it will probably work out, but don't sleep on next cycles leader.

@CryptoGirlNova I don’t think there are any people that just joined crypto yesterday

It's been on the verge of collapse for 6 months. BTC dominance in that period from top to bottom also dropped nearly 10%. Yet altcoins have been dropping this entire time and are trading at their local lows during this entire "collapse". I'm all for using good metrics to spot strong alt performance but Bitcoin dominance isn't always one of them (data doesn't lie). It's not so much about being a bull or a bear, just about using the right indicators/metrics when needed. Bitcoin dominance dropping means alts outperform bitcoin yeah but it isn't an altseason if your alts only drop 10% while bitcoin has dropped 20%. It needs confluence. If Bitcoin dominance was the sole indicator to rule them all then how great was that altseason the past 6 months right? Adapt and don't use the sole indicator literally the entire crypto market is using. Even the people that joined crypto yesterday look at Bitcoin dominance.

@Tekeee To allow the universe to observe its self into existence

I still don’t get the concept behind life. What exactly are we here for?

@aakashgupta Isn’t $5,000 just another 1% move? Definitely sounds possible by Friday

Everyone is missing what’s actually happening here. Gold isn’t surging because of one thing. Three simultaneous forces are converging for the first time in history, and none of them are stopping. Force 1: The Greenland Tariff War Trump just announced 10% tariffs on eight NATO allies (Denmark, Germany, France, UK, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Finland) starting February 1, rising to 25% by June. The demand? “Complete and total purchase of Greenland.” This is the US threatening its closest military allies with economic warfare over an Arctic island. France is pushing the EU to deploy its “Anti-Coercion Instrument,” which means €93 billion in retaliatory tariffs on US goods. Gold gained 10% in the first three weeks of January alone. Force 2: The Fed Independence Crisis On January 9, the DOJ opened a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell over renovation costs. Powell responded publicly: “The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President.” Treasury Secretary Bessent went on Meet the Press defending the investigation. Trump called Powell “that jerk” and said he’d “be gone soon.” Powell is attending Supreme Court arguments Wednesday in a case about whether Trump can fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook. Markets are pricing in the possibility that Fed independence ends in 2026. Force 3: The Central Bank Stampede China’s central bank just completed its 14th consecutive month of gold purchases. They’re adding 30,000-40,000 ounces monthly, not because gold is cheap, but because they’re building a post-dollar reserve system. The PBoC’s true holdings are estimated at 5,411 tonnes versus the 2,304 tonnes officially reported. They launched mBridge with UAE in November, a digital currency platform that lets countries trade without touching US dollars. Record $89 billion flowed into gold ETFs in 2025. SPDR Gold Trust hit 1,073 metric tons, a three-year high. And these buyers don’t speculate. They accumulate regardless of price. The Real Story Gold at $4,800 reflects three things happening simultaneously: the breakdown of trans-Atlantic alliances, the politicization of the Federal Reserve, and the active construction of a parallel monetary system by America’s largest creditor. JP Morgan targets $5,000 by Q4 2026. Goldman says a 1% rotation of the $27 trillion Treasury market into gold would push prices past $5,000. The $5,000 prediction by Friday is hyperbole. The $5,000 prediction by year-end is just math.

People would be so much happier if they sold all of their crypto I’m not talking forever you can always buy it back But there’s a special clarity you can only have when your entire future isn’t riding on the markets giving you what you want

Most traders lose money because they can’t wait. I’ve been stalking a 5-star short on ZEC for months. It’s finally here. Everyone thinks it’s “too late” to short because alts are already wrecked. ZEC is the exception.