John Robb

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John Robb

John Robb

@johnrobb

The Global Guerrillas Report -- Sense-making frameworks. War-Tech-Politics Book: Brave New War Patreon: https://t.co/y1d9WwM6EU Substack: https://t.co/lTSdS1iHmB

Boston Area US Katılım Temmuz 2007
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John Robb
John Robb@johnrobb·
The Global Guerillas Report Frameworks for understanding and anticipating events in warfare, politics, and technology. Substack (report): johnrobb.substack.com Patreon (report + discord + free form workspace): patreon.com/johnrobb
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John Robb
John Robb@johnrobb·
Openclaw is the start of autonomous social AIs I've been writing about for years. It's a good sign that it is; open source (fastest adoption rate of any software), runs on your PC (it's paired with you), treats the big AI models as commodities, and orients itself based on the human on the loop.
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John Robb
John Robb@johnrobb·
Writing. Drone deterrence.
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John Robb@johnrobb·
Hidden cost; >3k ships are trapped in the Persian gulf doing nothing (5% of the total global fleet and 50% of all LNG tankers). Daily damage with minimal effort/expense. The ROI from this effect alone is very high. Networked systems disruption can amply the effectiveness of drone attacks by up to a million to one.
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John Robb@johnrobb·
The first rule of drone deterrence is decentralization.
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John Robb@johnrobb·
Iran's conventional military power (airforce and navy) matter little in this war. So destroying them doesn't do much. What matters is a decentralized multitude of drones (UAVs, USVs, and UUVs) and missiles in close proximity to globally critical networked systems.
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John Robb
John Robb@johnrobb·
Brave New War (2007) Premise: Rapidly advancing, relatively inexpensive, and globally available technology will offer small groups (terrorists -> small states) extreme leverage in warfare. To maximize leverage these groups will focus on disrupting networked systems (max ROI). Decentralized use of this technology maximizes survivability. This development will unwind globalization by disrupting the networked systems that it relies upon.
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John Robb
John Robb@johnrobb·
@stephwakefield_ They willfully didn't adapt. I wrote about it when working for the Chairman of the JCS in 2016, and the pushback was intense.
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To-ad@LaymanGeopol·
Siri Island looks great this time of year. Siri and Abu Musa have made a beautiful pair on the chart for years (IYKYK). It's a package deal.
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John Robb@johnrobb

Abu Musa

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John Robb@johnrobb·
Abu Musa
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John Robb
John Robb@johnrobb·
Report; The Automated Killing Fields (March 20, 2024) Attrition warfare is back with a vengeance.
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John Robb
John Robb@johnrobb·
Global Guerrillas Report; A Contested World (May 17, 2024) "Small states and insurgent movements are rapidly finding new ways to use autonomous weapons to disrupt global commerce. Here's how it can all go wrong."
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