@CallingOurShot Details matter if you're trying to hit 10 in a row. Lock in!
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JustOneLegAway
18 posts
❌ Day 2 🪜
Edgecombe cooked us.
Combination of 3 Things:
1. Thunder lazy on defense
2. Edgecombe is hooping
3. Grimes getting sick.
Would’ve never played his under had I known Grimes was OUT, but alas, that’s the NBA for ya.
Ladder returns Wednesday.
Calling Our Shot@CallingOurShot
Ladder Challenge: Day 2 🪜 SHOW LOVE IF YOU'RE CLIMBING!
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@MemeDitka You might be better predicting these numbers than the NBA. Good Work!
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Reposting in case any Texas bettors missed my projected bonus bet payout for King of the Dogs 👑
The two most popular options on day 1 & 2 had hypothetical payouts of $83 & $84.
For the round of 32, Texas was the most popular option based on polls & had highest odds to win the promo so far this tournament. They were likely the most owned team for this weekend.
Upside catalyst: after seeing all of the favorites win on Friday, bettors may have held onto their token for Day 2 of this promo.
I am thinking somewhere between $56 - $76. As always, hope it's higher! Good luck all 👊
Unfortunately, since this is a 2 day promo, bonus bets likely won'y be paid until Monday. I haven't seen DK announce Texas as the winner yet
Ditka Bets@MemeDitka
DraftKings King of the Court Bonus Bet Projections 💰📊 Texas holds on 🤘(11 seed, +205 ML)‼️ Model Projection: Base Case: $56 High-End: $76 This bonus bet projection feels a bit low, but trusting the poll results and yesterday's hypothetical payouts to get here. Akron was the most popular team yesterday and paid out $84. Today, Texas was the clear favorite and actually had a much better win case for this promo than Akron, so it seems likely that ownership was higher. Yesterday, we saw some waiting games being played for Missouri. Today, bettors may have tried a similar strategy, which may have held some people off of using the token on Texas. Still, I'd be pretty surprised if this is over $100. Congrats to the winners! All 35,000 of you😆 Let's see some slips 👇
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@MemeDitka Will be interesting to see if people go for Texas/VCU/HP or wait for Day 2. Any of those 3 winning cancels out Day 2.
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DraftKings King of the Dogs Day 2 Bonus Bet Payouts 💰👑
Bonus Bet Payout: $340 ‼️
Model Projection: $275 👍
As 9 seeds, Iowa & Utah State somehow managed to be the highest underdogs to win yesterday and paid off big time for their bettors!
Congrats all! Massive longshot that paid off very well. Good luck with the bonus bets 👊
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@DKSportsbook What would Iowa and Utah State pay by themselves?
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Iowa and Utah State are the King of the Dogs!
5,898 bettors have received $340 in Bonus Bets 🐶
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DraftKings King of the Dogs Bonus Bet Projections 👑🐶
Utah State & Iowa hold on as 9 seeds and will split the $2 Million pool.
Both of these teams were bottom 6 options for the promotion today, which puts their estimated bettor ownership at 5.5%
Model Projection Base Case: $275
Either team could’ve easily paid out $500+ if won outright.
Congrats & best of luck to the winners 👊
Full breakdown below 👇
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@MemeDitka Trying a different strategy. Taking a higher seed and hoping for no upsets.
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DraftKings King of the Dogs Update #2
If you still have your token, waiting for Missouri at 10PM is easily your best option.
If a higher seed wins before then, just don’t use the token.
“E Share” is essentially likelihood of winning promo outright.
Value incorporates the voting share from the polls and gives a score based on each team’s E-Share.
Best of luck 👊
Ditka Bets@MemeDitka
DraftKings King of the Dogs Update 🐶👑 Akron crumbles vs. Texas Tech Akron had a MASSIVE 26% ownership in the polls run on here for KOTD. I do believe that was an overstatement of how many people truly played them. Regardless, Akron losing is awesome news for the rest of us. If I told you that their payout would've only been ~$70, would you still have taken them?
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@MemeDitka Good point on the waiting if you're not picking anyone from the early games. If Troy wins that could change everyone's picks. Also the token expires at the start of the last game which is 10:10 EST.
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DraftKings King of the DOGS 👑🐶
I have no historical data on this and there are only 18 teams to choose from, so I won’t be doing any bonus bet projections now. I can give a prediction later once we have a winner 📊
The payouts won’t be great. I’m pretty sure March Madness is one of the most popular betting events in all of sports. A ton of people will be on this promo.
The token expires at midnight, so there could be some advantage to waiting 🤔
Who do you got OR who are you fading? 👇
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@CallingOurShot It was because of the giveaway $25 to a 1 random person if the parlay loses tonight.
You have to do it everytime until it loses now.
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✅ DAY 1 🪜
WE DID IT! BROKE THE CURSE!
THE CLIMB HAS STARTED. 🔥
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Ladder Challenge: Day 1 🪜
I'll giveaway $25 to 1 random person if this parlay loses tonight. Just like this post to enter. 👍
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@MemeDitka I'm jealous that all the winners now have a story to tell every time someone brings up the Bam Adebayo game.
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I chose Bam Adebayo for King of the Court LAST week 👑
Last night, Bam was #1 on my “Underplayed” value screener, but I faded due to blowout risk
I live bet his PRA unders a few times throughout the game out of spite 🥴
Any winning slips? Rub it in! 👇👇
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Halftime Update 🪜
KAT: 14 (u39.5)
Brunson: 9 (u39.5)
Hart: 14 (o15.5)
SGA: 11 Pts (o21.5)
SGA: 19 (u52.5)
Pretty good half for us.
Can we finally get a W? 🙏
Calling Our Shot@CallingOurShot
Ladder Challenge: Day 1 🪜 This one will cash tonight. 🤑 Don't believe me? Just watch. 👀
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@CallingOurShot Over and under on the same player. That's thinking outside the box.
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Ladder Challenge: Day 1 🪜
This one will cash tonight. 🤑
Don't believe me? Just watch. 👀
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@CallingOurShot Taking 2 Knicks for the three ladder on the second night of a road/home back to back is a bold strategy
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2 IMPORTANT QUESTIONS❗️❗️
1. Who allows the most corner 3s in the NBA?
2. Who has made the most corners 3s this szn?
Answer:
1. OKC Thunder
2. Mikal Bridges.
Bonus Question:
3. Who does Bridges play tonight?
Bonus Answer:
3. The OKC Thunder.
Alright, I'm in. Ladder him.
2+ Threes (-130, FanDuel)
3+ Threes (+250, FanDuel)
4+ Threes (+630, FanDuel)
See you later when he's chucking.
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DrafKings King of the Court Result 👑‼️
Bettors who chose any of the top 3 PRA scorers will recieve a share of $1M:
Anthony Edwards: $184
Paolo Banchero: $230
Luka Doncic: $40-$50 ❔
Luka never took the lead, so we don’t have an exact number on him. Edgecomb early exit probably added a few bettors to him.
Overall, a pretty uneventful night for anyone who stayed away from the favorites. All 3 winners were top 6 options last night, which is disappointing since 44 PRA is a very beatable number.
Congrats to all the winners 👊
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I love you, Brandon Miller. ❤️
I also hate you. 😭
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@CallingOurShot Don't worry guys. He's just lining it up so that day 10 is the Super Bowl!
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