i Got Options

“I don’t buy stocks, I buy businesses.” Check out my Substack for more investing philosophies. ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️ igotoptionsmembers.substack.com

@HiThere144 @elonmusk But then how will my congressmen afford their 3rd vacation home?

@elonmusk 30% of all medical costs in the US are administrative So...eager to see that all go away, that's like 10% of the budget Oh, and the welfare fraud, we could just put an AI on the task and enable complete transparency. I don't know, though, that would require honest polticians

Where will AI be in 1, 2 or 3 years?

youtu.be/U7hILvUF_v8 #SpaceXIPO $TSLA #ElonMusk

youtu.be/dXSWb7eWRtw $CRBS

youtu.be/sEagl8e47iw?si… $STM

The REAL Reason Ryan Cohen Wants to Buy eBay ($35B Payday) youtu.be/r2F_vwzPwRA?si… via @YouTube

Hyperscalers are CapExMAXXING! Will they go up from here?

Dear Mr. Buffet, Take $77B buy 5% of $META. Sincerely, Retail Investors

$700 Billion CapEx from these 4 companies is INSANE! AI train continues…

@TrungTPhan Sitting on near $400B cash while having 5-10 trillion+ mega caps growing earnings/rev >20% is quite the gamble Mr. Buffet!

Warren Buffett at Berkshire’s 2026 AGM talking about waiting to deploy its $397B cash pile: “I’ve compared the markets to the church with a casino attached. People can move between the church and the casino. The casino has gotten very attractive to people. If you’re buying one-day options, it’s not investing or speculating. It’s gambling. We’ve never had more people in a gambling mood…Prices for a lot of things look very silly.” Says Greg Abel and Berkshire are still always “a phone call away” from making a massive investment. “We’re big enough to handle anything. We make decisions faster than anybody. And our word if good.”

@JasonL_Capital And if meta is at $600 youll lose everything!

You could buy 100 shares of $META right now for ~$61,000. Or you could buy the $600 call LEAP expiring January 2028 for $14,300. Same directional exposure. ~76% less capital. Over 635 days of runway. The trade: Strike: $600 Expiration: January 2028 Premium: ~$143 per contract Breakeven: $743 If $META hits $750, this LEAP returns ~5%. If $META hits $850, this LEAP returns ~75%. If $META hits $950, this LEAP returns ~145%. 100 shares at $950 returns ~56%. The LEAP returns nearly 3x that on a fraction of the capital. Why I like the setup: - Q1 revenue up 33% to $56.3B with adjusted EPS of $7.31 beating estimates - Raised capex guidance to $125-145B - doubling down on AI infrastructure - 3.56B daily active users across the family of apps - Post-earnings pullback of ~8% creates a better entry point - 635 days of runway gives this trade time to work through short-term noise The max you can lose on a LEAP is the entire premium you paid. In this case, that's $14,300 per contract. LEAPs are leveraged and can lose value quickly if the stock drops or stays flat. Only size this so you're comfortable losing all of it. Note: LEAPs are one tool inside a broader portfolio. Owning shares is always the primary use of capital. This is a selective add-on for high-conviction moments when conditions align. NFA DYOR

@xynth_m Alerts

Tesla Q1 recap and what's in store for shareholders! $TSLA

3 Call Debit Spreads I’m watching now on FeedMeTrades.com

@VigiaCiudadano7 “Nothing i can do im gonna run” bro literally has the video to show cops

Se voló un alto y desmadró un McLaren.

@gnoble79 Classic boomer mistake. Looking at past performance to indicate future performance.

Last night was the biggest disaster in the history of Tesla. Let me walk you through what actually happened on that earnings call, because the headlines are doing you a disservice: Elon Musk got on the call and admitted (his words) that Hardware 3 "simply does not have the capability to achieve unsupervised FSD." He said he wished it were otherwise. He said the memory bandwidth is one-eighth of what Hardware 4 has. And that's the end of the conversation. Approximately 4 million Tesla vehicles on the road right now have Hardware 3. Many of those owners paid $8,000 to $15,000 for Full Self-Driving capability based on Musk's repeated promises (going back to 2016) that the hardware was sufficient for full autonomy. As recently as 2022, Musk was publicly assuring owners that HW3 had the processing power to get it done. BUT IT DIDN'T Those promises are now officially broken. The solution is a "discounted trade-in" toward a new car with Hardware 4. Not a refund or a free upgrade... A discount on buying ANOTHER Tesla. Investor Ross Gerber said it too - all HW3 owners got screwed, and with roughly 285,000 FSD purchasers affected, the potential liability runs into the BILLIONS. But that's not even the worst part. Musk was asked if the current FSD v14.3 was ready for unsupervised deployment. He said yes. Then immediately walked it back and admitted Tesla has "major architectural improvements" in the pipeline that would significantly improve safety. What he really means: the software isn't SAFE ENOUGH to deploy without a human watching. Full unsupervised FSD for consumer cars is pushed to Q4 2026. At the earliest... Maybe. How many times has this deadline been pushed? I've lost count. And trust me, I've seen a lot of broken promises. But this one takes the cake. Now let's talk about the numbers everyone is celebrating: Tesla reported $22.4 billion in revenue and $0.41 in non-GAAP earnings. A "double beat." The stock popped 4% after hours. Victory, right? WRONG Dig into the actual filing: The number one driver of operating income improvement wasn't cost reductions, wasn't volume growth, wasn't FSD revenue. It was - and Tesla listed this FIRST in their own shareholder letter - "one-time benefits related to warranty and tariffs." They released warranty reserves. They booked tariff refund windfalls. They stretched supplier payments by 10 days. They took on billions in new debt. Then they presented everything through non-GAAP metrics that strip out over $1 billion in stock-based compensation. GAAP net income was $477 million on $22.4 billion in revenue. That's a 2.1% net margin. On a $1.4 trillion market cap. Let me put that in perspective: 3.75 billion shares outstanding. Annualize the Q1 GAAP profit and you get roughly $1.9 billion. That's a trailing P/E ratio north of 700. Use the adjusted number - strip out stock comp, which is a REAL cost to shareholders through dilution - and you're still at around 250x earnings. All of this is extremely bad, but I didn't even talk about the CAPEX BOMB yet... 3 months ago, Tesla guided to "over $20 billion" in 2026 capital expenditure. Last night they raised it to over $25 billion. A $5 billion increase in a single quarter. That's 3x their historical annual capex run rate - $8.5 billion in 2025, $11.3 billion in 2024. The CFO confirmed on the call that Tesla expects NEGATIVE free cash flow for the rest of the year. So you have a company generating roughly $6 billion in annual free cash flow on a good year, and they're about to spend $25 billion. The math doesn't work. They will almost certainly need to issue equity. Which means dilution. Which means the $1.9 billion in annual earnings gets spread across even MORE shares. The core auto business is literally deteriorating in real time: Tesla delivered 358,000 vehicles in Q1 (missed estimates again). They produced 408,000. That's 50,000 cars sitting on lots that nobody bought. Inventory days jumped from 10 to 27 in just a few quarters. California (their most important US market) saw registrations crash 24% year over year. Their market share in the state fell from 9.2% to 7.7%. That's on top of a Q1 2025 that was ALREADY weak from Model Y retooling. They're declining off a decline. And here's what really kills the bull case... The entire valuation rests on robotaxis, Optimus robots, and autonomy. So let's put numbers on it: Waymo - the actual leader in autonomous driving with 15 million completed rides in 2025 alone, over 127 million autonomous miles driven, operating commercially across 6 US cities with plans to expand to 20 more - just raised $16 billion at a $126 billion valuation. That's the market's verdict on what the LEADING robotaxi company is worth. $126 billion. And Waymo is YEARS ahead of Tesla in actual deployment. Tesla has 3.75 billion shares outstanding. So even if you assign $126 billion in robotaxi value (giving Tesla full credit for matching Waymo despite being nowhere close) that's $33 a share. Add the auto business at generous auto-industry multiples, maybe $20 a share. Throw in energy storage and services, $10-15. Sum of the parts gets you to roughly $65-70 a share if you're feeling generous. Maybe $50 if you're not. The stock is $387. So what exactly are you paying for? You're paying for a STORY. You're paying for PROMISES that keep getting pushed back, technology that keeps falling short, and a business plan that requires spending $25 billion a year while the core product sells fewer units at declining margins in a market where California sales just fell 24% and the federal EV tax credit is gone. I managed the number one mutual fund in America. I founded two billion-dollar hedge funds. I've been doing this since 1981. And I am telling you: Tesla at $387 is one of the most egregious mispricings I have seen in my entire career. THE CRASH WILL BE EPIC

@michaelsikand Whats the expected rev for 2027, 2028? Want to figure out the Forward P/S…

My newest long $AVEX cooked my port today. I've got over $1M of this in my fund and a big position myself. Thesis is completely unchanged. Tiny float + brand new IPO = massive volatility. Nobody has done ANY work on this. No sell side coverage. No X coverage. A lot of IPO buyers play short term. Cool to hear @StockSavvyShay, who is a big $ONDS bull, took a position today on the dip, emphasizing the "integrated software" angle. $75B drone budget only makes my upside case stronger. Stand by my thesis posted to my Substack. Will continue to accumulate on dips and see the 20's as prime territory. Currently have a drone specialist in my discord helping source some information from the battlefield on the product set. Feel like the defense supercycle trade is stronger than ever on continued Iran tensions and the new budget.

My bots thoughts on $NOW Is his estimate too high or low? Let me know!

@DarkMiner FeedMeTrades.com #1 trade tracker for option income trades

Options income isn’t about hitting home runs. It’s about stacking singles: • sell puts • collect premium • manage risk • repeat Boring strategies tend to pay the most.