James Picerno
24.4K posts
James Picerno
@jpicerno
Editor, US Business Cycle Risk Report, https://t.co/qclMswULhy, author (Quantitative Investment Portfolio Analytics In R), dir of analytics:The Milwaukee Co
Katılım Haziran 2009
1.3K Takip Edilen4K Takipçiler
US jobless claims fell last week, close to the lowest level post-pandemic. The implication: the Iran war is having minimal effect on the labor market, at least so far:
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Markets Are Decoupling Again, Based On Return Correlations: capitalspectator.com/markets-are-de…
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The ETF Portfolio Strategist: 25 MAR 2026
-- Trend Watch: Country Funds: etfps.substack.com/p/the-etf-port…
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Weakening but still growing, US economy edition for March. Business activity slowed to an 11mo low, marking "an unwelcome combination of slower growth and rising inflation following the outbreak of war in the Middle East." pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/Pr…
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Rate Cuts on Ice as Inflation Expectations Surge at the Short End: capitalspectator.com/rate-cuts-on-i…
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Trump’s Strike Freeze Lifts Markets, but the Calm Looks Fragile: capitalspectator.com/trumps-strike-…
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Reasonable or not, another sign that the end-game (still) doesn't look imminent: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Rolllover risk, S&P 500 edition: the index is on track to slide for a fourth week in a row, the longest string of weekly losses in over a year:
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Upside breakout, 10yr yield edition: the benchmark rate spikes higher today, topping 4.392% at the moment--highest since last summer. Inflation risk is increasingly top of mind for the market:
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Steady Today, Uncertain Tomorrow: Iran War Tests US Resilience: capitalspectator.com/steady-today-u…
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