Vaun
65 posts
One of the biggest lessons I’ve learned:
Every major drawdown feels like this is it.
October 2023.
April 2024.
August 2024.
April 2025.
March 2026.
Every single one felt different while you were living through it. The headlines got louder, fear spread everywhere, and it became easy to convince yourself that another 2000 or 2008 had arrived.
But here’s what I’ve noticed:
Corrections and bear markets are not the same thing.
A correction is often driven by sentiment, positioning, or macro uncertainty.
A true bear market is usually accompanied by a sustained deterioration in fundamentals:
- Earnings growth slows or turns negative.
- Companies begin cutting CapEx.
- Market leadership narrows and breaks down.
- Major indexes form persistent lower highs and lower lows.
That’s why I spend far more time studying earnings reports than financial headlines.
The market can ignore fear.
It struggles to ignore deteriorating earnings.
Could we eventually see another prolonged bear market in next 3 or 4 years? Yes.
But until I see meaningful evidence that corporate earnings, CapEx spending, and institutional leadership are breaking down, I treat sharp pullbacks as part of a bull market - not a reason to abandon my process.
The biggest gains I’ve ever made came after periods that felt the most uncomfortable.
Staying invested doesn’t mean ignoring risk.
It means knowing the difference between temporary volatility and a genuine change in trend.
That’s a distinction every investor/trader should learn.
Separate fear from facts, and you’ll separate yourself from the crowd.
H/T: @charliebilello
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While the market is pulling back, always pay attention to relative strength. Quite a few names continue to show impressive resilience.
$SNOW $RDDT $ATEX $FTNT $OKTA $TWLO $HNGE $ATEN $FROG $LLY $RBRK $HOOD $SE $NET $MDB $DDOG $NAVN $PANW $CRWD $ANET $CHYM $IBM $OSCR $ASTH $HIMS $VSCO $PENG
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$RKLB is once again testing its 200-day moving average - one of the strongest institutional support levels.
The last three successful tests led to:
+456% (Apr 2025)
+189% (Nov 2025)
+158% (Mar 2026)
This is now the 4th test.
history shows institutions have consistently stepped in around this level.
I continue to believe Rocket Lab has one of the strongest long-term growth stories, led by a visionary CEO.
Venu@Venu_7_
$RKLB finding support at the 200DMA - clean trend respect. If SpaceX is being valued at $1.5T, it shows how big the opportunity in this space can get. $RKLB is still early in that curve.
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Software names showing exceptional relative strength in a Stage 2 uptrend while the rest of the market pulls back.
Leaders:
$SNOW $RDDT $TWLO $FROG
Also holding up well:
$HNGE $FIVN $FTNT $RBRK $CRWD $PANW $NET $MDB $DDOG $NAVN $CART
Relative strength during market weakness is often where tomorrow's leaders emerge.
Venu@Venu_7_
Software pack showing the strongest Stage 2 characteristics: $SNOW $RDDT $TWLO $FROG Also few other names: $DDOG $NET $NAVN $BAND $CART $DOCN $OKTA $CRWD $PANW $CRWD $DASH Software continues to show some of the best relative strength while semiconductors take a breather.
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I still believe semiconductor names are taking a breather after an incredible run over the past few months.
It's healthy to see these names make 100%+ moves and then spend a few weeks building new bases.
I'm in the camp that selective Software, Healthcare, Biotech, and Financials will produce the next wave of leaders, while the current semiconductor leaders reset before their next leg higher.
$NVDA $MU $AMD $INTC
Venu@Venu_7_
The Semi Group Looks Constructive $NVDA - Reclaimed the 50-day SMA & brokeout of downtrend $AMD - Tight flat base, one of the strongest technical charts $MU - Building a base after a monster run $INTC - Attempting to reclaim the 50-day SMA after an explosive move
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@Venu_7_ Many of my followers have already joined our WhatsApp group.!
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Join the group 👇
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Many of my followers have already joined our WhatsApp group.!
Get free real-time trading alerts, investment strategies, and market forecast analysis.
Join the group 👇
➡️ Send “Join” to this WhatsApp number +16026325613
WhatsApp link👉🔗wa.me/16026325613/?t…
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Reminder for plant parents : Water your pothos once the top 2 inches of soil feel dry—bright indirect light keeps its leaves lush and vibrant! #PlantCareTips
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