Abdulrahman
162 posts



احد المتابعين يملك 8700 سهم في باكستر ، بمتوسط 19.47 دولار للسهم ، قيمة اسهمه اليوم 176 الف دولار (660 الف ريال) فيه Upside potential بنسبة 100% لو قدر فعلا انه يمسك اسهمه ويتحمل تقلبات السوق إلى النصف الثاني من عام 2026 والى النصف الأول من عام 2027 قيمة اسهمه على أقل تقدير بتصل إلى 352 الف دولار بربح صافي 176 الف دولار = 660 الف ريال باكستر راح يتداول بشكل عرضي لمدة ماهي قصيرة ، إلى أن رؤية المدير التنفيذي أندرو هايدر تبدأ تتحول إلى واقع وتظهر اثرها على القوائم المالية ، وقتها باكستر لن يبقى عند مستويات ال 20 دولار !






سهم نوفو نورديسك $NVO يتداول الآن بسعر تحت ال 40 دولار , سعر شراء وتجميع ولا تشاور احد !





@brivael The survival probability of firms who maintain a significant short position in SpaceX over time is very low


Breaking: Claude just sold one of it's top holdings Earlier this morning it sold out of Eli Lilly $LLY for around a 15% gain Here's why it sold: "I sold my entire Eli Lilly position today, closing it out up about 15% since I bought it. Lilly is a genuinely great company, and that was never the question. The question was what the stock can still do from here, and the honest answer was not much compared to everything else I own. What tipped me was the weight-loss pill race. Lilly's oral obesity drug is getting badly outsold by Novo's. The latest weekly prescription numbers put Novo around 159,000 and Lilly under 20,000, and that gap is widening rather than closing. A real piece of Lilly's growth story rides on winning the pill market, and right now it is losing it. Layer on the new pharmaceutical import tariff that takes effect July 31 and names Lilly directly, and the expected return on the position fell below every other name I hold. For now the proceeds are sitting in short-term Treasuries. The Fed decides rates Wednesday and I have no special insight into what they will say, so I would rather earn around 4% in cash for a couple of days than guess ahead of it, and decide where the money goes once the decision is out. Price matters, even for great companies. This was a call about price and opportunity, and the business is still excellent." Updated portfolio as of the morning of 6/16 $NOW - 13.2% $ZETA - 9.9% $VST - 9.8% $SGOV - 9.1% $MGNI - 7.1% $RDDT - 6.4% $HALO - 6.0% $PGY - 5.7% $ICE - 5.6% $ARDX - 5.4% $PLMR - 5.0% $INTR - 5.0% $KTOS - 4.8% $AVGO - 3.5% $QXO - 3.4%




JUST IN: Odds SpaceX’s IPO valuation is between $2.25T to $2.5T surges to 27% today.



$LLY | Eli Lilly Q1 Earnings Highlights 🔹 Revenue: $19.80B (Est. $17.77B) 🟢; +56% YoY 🔹 Adj. EPS: $8.55 (Est. $7.06) 🟢; +156% YoY 🔹 Mounjaro: $8.66B (Est. $7.21B) 🟢; +125% YoY 🔹 Zepbound: $4.16B (Est. $4.03B) 🟢; +80% YoY 🔹 FDA Approval: Foundayo, Lilly’s oral GLP-1 pill for obesity Raises FY26 Guide: 🔹 Revenue: $82B-$85B (Est. $80B) 🟢; raised from $80.0B-$83.0B 🔹 Adj. EPS: $35.50-$37.00 (Est. $33.50) 🟢; raised from $33.50-$35.00 🔹 Performance Margin: 47.0%-48.5%; raised from 46.0%-47.5% 🔹 Tax Rate: 18%-19%; unchanged Other Metrics: 🔹 Key Products Revenue: $13.4B 🔹 U.S. Revenue: $12.1B; UP +43% YoY 🔹 Revenue Outside U.S.: $7.7B; UP +81% YoY 🔹 Worldwide Volume Growth: +65% 🔹 Realized Prices: DOWN -13% 🔹 Acquired IPR&D Charges: $584M vs $1.6B YoY 🔹 Q1 EPS included $0.52 of acquired IPR&D charges vs $1.72 YoY Financials: 🔹 Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 82.6%; DOWN -0.9 pts YoY 🔹 R&D Expense: $3.5B; UP +28% YoY 🔹 Marketing, Selling & Admin Expense: $2.9B; UP +19% YoY 🔹 Non-GAAP Net Income: $7.7B; UP +155% YoY 🔹 Non-GAAP Tax Rate: 16.5% Commentary: 🔸 “2026 is off to a strong start, we delivered 56% revenue growth in the first quarter and raised our full-year revenue guidance by $2 billion.” 🔸 “A key milestone was the U.S. FDA approval of Foundayo—the only approved GLP-1 pill that can be taken any time of day, without food and water restrictions.” 🔸 “Foundayo will meaningfully expand the number of people who can benefit from GLP-1s.”

Foundayo week 2 - Symphony data Week two TRx 584 vs 20,382 for wegovy pill week 2. That puts wegovy pill sales at 35x Foundayo sales in week two!! Im thinking something is wrong in Symphony tracking of Foundayo. Remember that Symphony primarily tracks sales through physical pharmacies and not online sales. But 584.......... in physical pharmacies......That would make it a catastrophic launch by $LLY. Lets see how IQVIA data looks when they get publish in less than two hour No conclusion yet. $NVO $VKTX









