Joshua Kayce-Ogbonna

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Joshua Kayce-Ogbonna

Joshua Kayce-Ogbonna

@kaxyce

Radiation (Cancer) Epidemiology Scholar|Data Scientist | Academic Writer. 📩 [email protected]

Katılım Mayıs 2016
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Joshua Kayce-Ogbonna
Joshua Kayce-Ogbonna@kaxyce·
I’m Joshua, a medical physicist focused on the deployment of digital technology in healthcare, particularly in radiation and cancer epidemiology. As an academic, I'm building models for disease patterns, radiation risks & policy-relevant insights
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Joshua Kayce-Ogbonna
Ask why: Nigeria exports crude but imports refined products & other derivatives? We can't invest in alt energy research despite the abundant supply of tin, tantalum and lithium. China is generating electricity with thermal salts that are replaced after 30 years.
Mohammed Jammal@whitenigerian

Has anyone ever actually studied the reason why we can’t have 24hrs power in Nigeria? Is there a curse in the power sector or what? All those that like reading and writing books do you have any explanation? I mean, no be juju be dis?

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Joshua Kayce-Ogbonna
Here I am building links and research collaboration on nuclear and radiation energy.....
Felix Prehn 🐶@felixprehn

Microsoft paid to restart a nuclear reactor at Three Mile Island. Amazon spent $650 million buying a nuclear-powered data center campus. Google signed the first-ever corporate deal to buy power from small modular reactors that don't even exist yet. Three of the most valuable companies on earth are so desperate for electricity that they're buying nuclear plants. Global data center power demand is projected to double to over 1,000 TWh by 2026. The grid operator serving 65 million Americans says it will be six gigawatts short by 2027. Retail electricity prices are up 42% since 2019. Elon Musk couldn't get grid access for his xAI data center in Tennessee so he brought in mobile gas generators and powered the entire facility off-grid. The demand for power is growing faster than the grid can supply it. And every month it takes to build new generation capacity, the companies that already own power plants get more pricing power. I'm buying the power generators and the nuclear operators. Constellation Energy (CEG) operates the largest nuclear fleet in the country. They're the ones restarting Three Mile Island for Microsoft. Nuclear runs 24/7, produces zero carbon, and operates at 90%+ capacity factors. It's the only baseload power source that meets every requirement data centers have. Every major hyperscaler is now negotiating long-term power purchase agreements with nuclear operators. Those contracts lock in revenue visibility for 10-20 years. Constellation hasn't had that kind of earnings certainty in its history. Vistra (VST) is the largest competitive power generator in the US. Natural gas and nuclear in Texas and PJM territory where data centers are concentrated. When data centers sign decade-long PPAs at premium rates, the revenue certainty transforms how you value these companies. They stop looking like volatile utilities and start looking like infrastructure monopolies with contracted cash flows. Cameco (CCJ) is the uranium play underneath the nuclear renaissance. 34 countries pledged to triple nuclear capacity. There are only 8 publicly traded uranium miners at scale. Supply is already in a 7,000 tonne annual deficit before a single new reactor gets approved. When Microsoft, Amazon, and Google are all competing for nuclear power, uranium demand isn't theoretical anymore. It's contracted. On the infrastructure side, Quanta Services (PWR) and MasTec (MTZ) build the transmission lines and substations these data centers need. Transformer lead times are 2-4 years. Permitting takes a decade. The companies with existing crews and utility relationships are raising prices because there aren't enough qualified teams to do the work. I'm heaviest in the nuclear operators because the demand is locked in by 10-20 year contracts with the richest companies on earth. When Microsoft signs a 20-year PPA, that's not a forecast. That's a binding commitment. I break down nuclear, energy infrastructure, and uranium plays every week in a 100% FREE webinar. Link is in comments.

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Joshua Kayce-Ogbonna
My gut feeling says the global energy crisis will not go away any sooner as expected. Iran has figured a way to export its (internal) 47-year-old internal crisis and unless there are modalities to figure this out, the world will bear the brunt for now.
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Peter Girnus 🦅
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz·
I placed $1.5 billion in futures at 6:50 AM. Fourteen minutes before President Trump's Truth Social post. That's generous. Usually, I get five. The S&P was barely breathing. Premarket Monday. The kind of quiet where a single order echoes through the entire book. I bought $1.5 billion in futures. The index moved 0.3% on my entry alone. That's how thin the market was. That's how empty the room was. At the same time, I shorted $192 million in crude oil. Then I sat there. Three screens. One coffee. The futures blinking green on the left, the oil contract bleeding red on the right, and in the center, a Truth Social feed set to refresh every four seconds. Fourteen minutes is a long time when you know what's coming. Not because I was nervous. Because I was early. At 7:04 AM, the president posted. Productive discussions. Five-day halt on strikes. Peace talks with Iran. S&P jumped 2.5%. Oil cratered 6%. My position gained $60 million before most Americans' alarm clocks went off. Good morning. Iran later denied that the talks ever happened. Called it fake news. The speaker of their parliament accused the president of manipulating financial markets. The talks might not be real. The sixty million dollars is. The analytics accounts flagged it within the hour. "Unusual activity." "Orders 4-6x larger than anything else trading at the time." That's their word for it. Unusual. My word for it is Tuesday. They always flag it. That's their function. Flagging is not investigating. Flagging is the system's way of noting that it saw something, documenting that it will do nothing, and calling that process oversight. The actual investigation is conducted by the CFTC. The CFTC has one commissioner. Out of five seats. One. The other four chairs are empty. Not vacant. Emptied. There is a difference. Vacant means nobody applied. Emptied means somebody decided the body responsible for policing futures markets should not have enough members to hold a vote. That's not negligence. That's architecture. You know what we call this pattern on the desk? TACO. Trump Always Chickens Out. Escalate on Friday, capitulate on Monday, and extract in the window between the decision and the post. It's so reliable, we named it. We have a private Slack channel. #taco-tuesday. It updates automatically when Truth Social pushes a new geopolitical keyword. We don't teach it as insider trading. We teach it as a market structure. New analysts learn it in their first week. By the second week, they stop flinching. The phone rang at 6:47 AM. Three minutes before I entered the position. The call lasted ninety seconds. Ninety seconds of context. $60 million of outcome. You call that insider trading. I understand why. Insider trading is the word you learned. It's the crime from the movies. The whispered merger at a cocktail party. Four hundred shares of a mid-cap pharmaceutical. That gets prosecuted. That's the version of this crime the system was built to catch. What I do is different. I place $1.5 billion against a war decision made in a room I have the phone number to. On a platform overseen by a commission with one member. In a market where the president's social media account is the most powerful price-setting mechanism on earth. That's not insider trading. That's infrastructure. You would go to federal prison for trading on a tip from your brother-in-law. I made $60 million trading on a war. The difference is not the crime. The difference is the decimal point. Americans paid for this war with four-dollar gas and sixteen billion in taxes. I paid for a phone call. We are not in the same economy. Last month, $529 million was wagered on Polymarket's Iran strikes market. Six accounts pocketed $1.2 million. Deposited funds the same day. Hours before the bombs fell. One account cleared $553,000 at 17% odds, seventy-one minutes before public confirmation. He has not placed another bet since. The president's son sits on Polymarket's advisory board. Two federal investigations into the platform were quietly dropped this year. Twelve government officials sold stocks in the weeks before the tariff crash. All of them reported the sales after the deadline. Nobody calls any of that insider trading. They call it prediction markets. Delayed disclosures. Portfolio rebalancing. I call it the junior varsity version of what I do with futures. An Oxford law professor called it the most far-reaching securities fraud in history. We call it the window. Tomorrow, this will be gone. Buried under a new tariff. A new ultimatum. A new TACO. Next Monday at 6:50 AM, I will be here again. Coffee. Three screens. The phone. The ninety-second call. The fourteen-minute window. The game isn't rigged. Rigged implies something broke. Nothing broke. Every component is functioning exactly as specified. The one-member commission. The anonymous platforms. The four-second refresh on the Truth Social feed. The phone that rings at 6:47. I didn't exploit a flaw in the system. I am the system.
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Joshua Kayce-Ogbonna
Alex, Germany is facing a shortage of skilled professionals and this is due to the lure of jobs in consulting and management. They are actually on a recruitment drive for foreign professionals from Indian. bbc.in/4uJSNqn
Alex Onyia@winexviv

Germany didn’t become an industrial powerhouse by sending everyone to university. They built something smarter. It’s called Ausbildung, a structured apprenticeship system where young people earn while they learn inside real companies. A 17-year-old in Germany can train to become: • a mechatronics engineer • an industrial technician • an automotive systems expert • a precision machinist • a medical equipment technician They are paid during training. They graduate with globally respected skills. And many of them end up earning more than university graduates. Over 50% of German youth pass through this system. Now look at Nigeria. We push everyone into universities. Millions graduate every year. But the country is still importing basic technical expertise. We have degrees but we don’t have enough skills. This is why we are studying the German Ausbildung model closely to implement in the South East. Because the South East must lead Africa’s skills revolution. Imagine a structured apprenticeship system across Aba, Nnewi, Onitsha, Enugu and beyond where young people can train to become: • industrial fabricators • automotive engineers • robotics technicians • electronics specialists • renewable energy installers • precision manufacturing experts Training will happen inside real companies. With structured certification, modern tools and clear career paths. Not the informal “Igba Boy” system, but a world-class apprenticeship ecosystem. The South East already has the largest concentration of indigenous manufacturers and traders in Africa. What we need now is structure, technology, and certification. If Germany can power Europe’s manufacturing through apprenticeships, there is no reason the South East cannot power Africa’s industrial future. The next generation of millionaires in Africa will not only be software founders. Many will be master craftsmen, engineers, and industrial builders. And when Africa finally fixes its skills crisis, history may remember that the revolution started in the South East.

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Joshua Kayce-Ogbonna
@im2muneeb I see anyone who has a PhD as an unstoppable force. This is why the average post-completion age is somewhere around 38-40. It is not a game for distracted young adults still battling for a stable love life, or in places like Africa, job assurance.
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Muhammad Muneeb
Muhammad Muneeb@im2muneeb·
The PhD Journey: Expectations vs. Reality When I started my PhD, I was full of energy, ideas, and enthusiasm. A few years down the line, I was more like being – tested, a little exhausted, but definitely wiser.
Muhammad Muneeb tweet media
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