
Lucas Kello
3.3K posts

Lucas Kello
@KelloLucas
Associate Professor @Politics_Oxford. Director of ACE-CSR @Ox_CyberSec. Author of “The Virtual Weapon” and “Striking Back” (Yale University Press).








This is a new and unfortunately very low point from Angela Merkel: to blame the Baltic states and Poland for triggering Russia’s imperial war. Sadly, this casts a shadow over her entire period as Germany’s chancellor. I won’t even start talking about Nord Stream here.



NATO is just a bad joke. NATO does not rule out accidental violation of Estonian airspace by russian pilots, — Bild. One week after the twelve-minute violation of Estonian airspace by three russian MiG-31 fighter jets, disagreements arose within NATO over whether the incident was intentional. Eastern and Northern European countries are convinced that the airspace violation was deliberate. The aircraft penetrated 100 km into Estonia. At the same time, Germany and some Southern and Western European countries have not ruled out a technical defect. According to a German government official, the MiG-31 pilots may have accidentally crossed the international corridor between Finland and Estonia. Disunity in wartime is deadly. Our population is becoming unsettled, parties that support putin are gaining support, and putin is throwing another big party in the Kremlin.





Russia threatens NATO with war if Russian planes are shot down "If NATO shoots down a Russian plane, it will mean the beginning of a military conflict. It will be war," said Russia's ambassador to France, Alexey Meshkov, in an interview on RTL radio. How terrifying! I remember when Turkey shot down a Russian military plane that violated its airspace, Moscow made some noise but quickly backed down. Why? Because the Kremlin understands only the language of power. Now, the Russians are trying to intimidate the Europeans with the threat of war. But here's the problem: if they see that NATO isn't ready to defend its airspace, they will draw conclusions and, sooner or later, there will be war. All these provocations from the Kremlin, which have intensified recently, are about testing the waters — they're watching Europe's reaction. It's like a thug from an alley who will push weaker targets but will back off if he sees determination. And yes, for Russia, there's an ideal way to ensure their planes are not shot down: they just need to stay out of other countries' airspace.



"Putin never escalates when we help Ukraine. He escalates when we don't help enough." — Gabrielius Landsbergis, Former Foreign Minister of Lithuania



Wenlock Jakes rides again: The perils of irresponsible reporting and why Narva is not "Next" -- my latest for @foreignpolicy foreignpolicy.com/2025/09/11/rus…

Russia's rhetoric towards Finland is getting tougher by the day and just like they did towards Ukraine, they are questioning the existence of the Finnish state. Rhetorically, we are already at war. Some of the latest propaganda and threats from ryssä🧵


