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Kosmos
306 posts

Kosmos
@kosmosdotfyi
Real-time intelligence for prediction markets.
Katılım Mart 2026
11 Takip Edilen985 Takipçiler

@Cointelegraph Sad, the odds of an exploit are always there, security has to stay ahead.
English

@lookonchain Bro tested fate with the odds.
His wins are close by.
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Gambler gud.hl bet $1.23M on Argentina to win the 2026 World Cup when the odds were just 10%. 👀
If he had won, he would have turned $1.23M into $12.35M.
Instead, he lost the entire $1.23M.
polymarket.com/profile/0xa7b7…

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🚨 𝗢𝗙𝗜𝗖𝗜𝗔𝗟 | Recordad sus nombres.
Este es nuestro 𝗢𝗡𝗖𝗘 𝗜𝗡𝗜𝗖𝗜𝗔𝗟 para la 𝗙𝗜𝗡𝗔𝗟 𝗗𝗘𝗟 𝗠𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗜𝗔𝗟.
#VamosEspaña | #CopaMundialFIFA
Español

@coinbureau Will Tether fully adjust its reserves to match the GENIUS Act requirements before the July 2028?
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🚨TETHER'S $184 BILLION USDT TO FACE A U.S. BAN BY 2028
Tether will be delisted from every U.S. exchange if it doesn't fully comply with the GENIUS Act by July 2028.
25% of USDT reserves are still in non-compliant assets including precious metals, lending, and $BTC.
The law requires cash and Treasuries only.
CEO Ardoino said "Tether will comply" a year ago but when asked this week, the company did not respond.


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In 2021, an anonymous account predicted Argentina would beat Spain 3-2.
What's interesting is that, if you analyze the top holders, the people who believe this old post, are deeply negative PnL accounts.
The people fading this tweet are the most successful traders, with the top holder up nearly +$20M PnL.
The combined PnL of the top 10 Yes holders is -$5.5M, while the top 10 No holders have a combined PnL of +$29M
We have seen a massive increase of roughly 1,000% betting volume on the exact score 3-2, this week.
Around $11M has been wagered on this exact score. Whereas it would normally get ~$1M in volume
The odds have risen from 2.3% to 3.9%, which means the market is now slightly mispriced. Smart money is happily picking up the pennies by predicting that the match will not end 2-3, or by arbitraging against other platforms/bets.
Will this be the greatest wealth transfer in history?
Personally, I bought a tiny No position. I think its extremely unlikely and since the odds have gone up because of the tweet, I think its +EV to buy No.
Would you buy Yes or fade this?


dilemma@actuallyimthe
Argentina just beat Spain at the 2026 World Cup final, 3-2.
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