LJH
1.3K posts

LJH
@kyle_ljh
create your bio page on https://t.co/7JzWLcBFau


$MU @MicronCEO on CNBC. Three things the bears need to hear. One. Non-HBM DRAM is more profitable than HBM today. The entire portfolio is firing. Two. A meaningful supply ramp does not even begin until 2028. And even then, supply will not catch demand for a considerable period of time. Three. Revenue grew nearly $10B from Q1 to Q2. Another $10B from Q2 to Q3. "Bringing up supply is a very long lead item. DRAM needs new capacity. New capacity takes new construction. Construction is a long lead time item. So earliest that we see in the industry meaningful ramp ... gradually happen overtime starting in 2028 timeframe. So I do not see supply catching up to demand for considerable period of time here." "Today, Non-HBM dram has actually higher profitability than HBM. NAND has strong profitability as well, so we are managing the mix of the business, keeping in mind long-term considerations and absolutely, data center is the biggest growth driver. We are well positioned with our product portfolio, including HBM, to address these demand trends."







intelの株価ヤベーなと思って1年の株価パフォーマンスを調べたらもっとヤバいのがいっぱいいた。 相対的にNVIDIAがオワコンに見えて引くレベル。




Citron is Short $SNDK — They Don't Ring a Bell at the Top We don't need Anthropic to announce they're making NAND. Samsung is already the 800-pound gorilla, and they've been running this playbook for 30 years. While TV pundits pound the table herding retail into cattle cars, Western Digital, the long time investor, sold a significant portion of its holdings days ago, 25% lower. Ask yourself why. Because they know the cycle is approaching a peak, and they're not waiting for the bell. The market is pricing SanDisk like it's $NVDA. There's one problem: NVIDIA has a moat. SanDisk sells a commodity. We've seen this movie before 2008, 2012, 2018. It's never different this time. Memory is a cycle, and cycles peak. Samsung has a 30-year history of choosing market share over margins. They wait for pure-plays like SanDisk to get comfortable at 50% gross margins, then flip the switch. But this time it's worse. Every $SNDK bull should read attached article Samsung just told the world they won't sell anything under 50% margins and they're moving their best chips into the same premium SSD market SanDisk calls home. They're not just the capacity gorilla anymore. They're going after SanDisk's best customers with cheaper, newer technology. And the only thing keeping supply tight right now? Samsung's temporary yield problems in another product line. That bottleneck has an expiration date. With double the capacity of the 2018 peak waiting in the wings, this "shortage" is a supply mirage that can vanish in a single earnings call. Hockey shout-out: Shorting $SNDK is skating to where the puck is going. By the time the cycle normalizes, this stock will already be much lower. technetbooks.com/2026/02/samsun…





















