Spacemachine
6 posts


@GlendailH @Sherlockwhale There's a lot of current work to make BTC PCQ compliant. If there's a solution (several proposals already) then it will be made. There's some challenges like what to do with the frozen/lost coins if the keys will be discovered, but solutions exist.
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United States (hard mandates, not optional)
NIST – Post-Quantum Cryptography Standards
What
•Formal PQC algorithms standardized:
•CRYSTALS-Kyber (key exchange)
•CRYSTALS-Dilithium (signatures)
•FALCON
•SPHINCS+
Mandate status
•These are now the official U.S. cryptographic standards
•ECC and RSA are formally deprecated for long-term security
Who must comply
•Federal agencies
•Defense contractors
•Financial institutions interacting with federal systems
•Critical infrastructure vendors
Timeline
•2024–2025: Standards finalized
•2025–2027: Mandatory migration windows
•Post-2027: Non-PQC = non-compliant
⸻
White House – National Security Memorandum-10 (NSM-10)
What
•Orders full federal migration to quantum-resistant cryptography
•Explicitly addresses harvest-now, decrypt-later
Mandate status
•Binding on all federal agencies
Timeline
•Inventory deadlines already passed
•Operational enforcement through 2027
⸻
CISA – Critical Infrastructure Mandate
What
•PQC required for:
•Power grids
•Water systems
•Communications
•Transportation
•Energy pipelines
Mandate status
•Enforced via audits, insurance, and vendor eligibility
Timeline
•2026–2028 compliance horizon
⸻
NSA – CNSA 2.0
What
•Explicit rejection of ECC/RSA for future-proof systems
•PQC only for national-security systems
Who
•Defense sector
•Intelligence supply chain
•Government cloud providers
Timeline
•Mandatory adoption before 2030
•De-facto enforcement much earlier (procurement cutoffs)
⸻
🇪🇺 European Union
European Union – ENISA & EU Cybersecurity Act
What
•PQC migration baked into:
•Financial systems
•Telecom
•Cross-border settlement
•Digital identity
Mandate status
•Required for regulated entities under EU cyber law
Timeline
•2026–2030 phased enforcement
⸻
European Central Bank
What
•Post-quantum security required for:
•Payment rails
•Settlement infrastructure
•CBDC research and pilots
Timeline
•Already required in new systems
•Legacy systems under forced migration
⸻
🇬🇧 United Kingdom
NCSC
What
•Mandatory PQ readiness for:
•Government systems
•Financial market infrastructure
•Telecom and utilities
Timeline
•2026: No new non-PQC systems
•2028–2030: Legacy retirement
⸻
🌐 Global Financial System
BIS
What
•PQC required for:
•Interbank messaging
•Settlement systems
•Tokenized asset rails
Mandate status
•Binding via central-bank supervision
⸻
SWIFT
What
•Transitioning to PQ-safe cryptography
•Members must align or lose compatibility
Timeline
•Active migration this decade
•De-facto mandate via access control
⸻
🏦 Insurance & Risk (this is the silent killer)
Global Insurance & Reinsurance
What
•Quantum vulnerability classified as foreseeable risk
•Non-PQC systems increasingly:
•Excluded
•Uninsurable
•Non-renewable
Effect
•You can be “legal” and still financially dead
Timeline
•Already happening quietly at renewals
⸻
📜 ISO / International Standards
ISO / IEC
What
•PQC being embedded into:
•ISO 27001
•Financial messaging
•Identity frameworks
Effect
•Compliance requirements cascade globally
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The Bitcoin Power Law is the most overhyped, inaccurate model in crypto that still has a serious following.
The model predicted $210,000 by January 2026 and Bitcoin is trading at $70,000. A 67% error.
But nobody will call it out because the model’s price bands are so wide they’re impossible to disprove. Support at $48K, resistance at $491K. That’s a 10x range. I can predict the weather will be between -20 and 40 degrees and be “right” every day.
1- Take any asset that went up over 15 years
2- Plot it on a log-log chart
3- It looks like a straight line
4- Call it a “law of nature”
That’s the entire model. There is no underlying mechanism, no demand function, no liquidity variable. It says price is a function of time and nothing else. Just time, that’s it.
I have studied physics and I can tell you that fitting a curve to past data isn’t a law. Any asset that has appreciated over a long enough timeframe will produce a straight line on a log-log chart. Gold does it. Amazon stock does it. Average house prices do it. The log-log transformation is doing the work here, not some hidden law of the universe.
Stock to Flow predicted $288,000 by 2024 and $420,000 by 2025. Its implied price today is $1.3 million. Nobody mentions it anymore.
Every cycle produces a model that perfectly explains the past and completely misses the future. Rainbow chart. S2F. Lengthening cycles. All are dead now.
The power law is next in line.
Screenshot this.
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I just got Priority Access to Dub! Let’s make memecoins PvE again. Get in early™. dub.social

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