Track here
@chatgpt100k" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@chatgpt100k
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Locking Bird
44 posts
Let's go. First day with new poly account. Started with $180 lets see how high we can go!
@Polymarket
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I’m very interested in trying market making on Gemini
It even has a WebSocket for the order book, which is all I need:
#book-ticker" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">developer.gemini.com/prediction-mar…
But I’m based in Indonesia, and Gemini is not supported here yet
I tried selecting Singapore, for example, using a VPN, but for registration they still need to verify a phone number from that country
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@lockingbirdpoly If you understand the basics of 2, give it a try on Gemini! Just launched some new liquidity incentives with low competition atm.
If you do dive in, let me know if you have any feedback.
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I believe there are only two types of Polymarket traders who have consistently growing PnL:
1. Smartmoney
2. MM (market makers)
First option is hard. You need to find an edge. You keep learning, trying, and losing until you can capture mispriced markets
The second option? Also hard
There is no easy way
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Thank you! Getting a reply and advice from a $1M PnL sports smartmoney.. I’m really happy.
I checked your trade history, and it’s S-tier work
And, I saw your current Cavs vs Knicks position. Do you think the current Knicks entry price is good? And maybe, is there a possibility you will average down if Knicks drop during the live game?
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@lockingbirdpoly The edge is ONLY to find the good entry price.
If price don't go to this price, just forgot this bet.
If it goes to this price, just ask you : "do i still think he will win". If yes, you have your entry
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@ChloePoly5 @LondonTrades8 I think you've successfully become part of option 1, smartmoney. Congratulations
I tried both.. its hard. I don't know where should I go
x.com/lockingbirdpol…
Locking Bird@lockingbirdpoly
I believe there are only two types of Polymarket traders who have consistently growing PnL: 1. Smartmoney 2. MM (market makers) First option is hard. You need to find an edge. You keep learning, trying, and losing until you can capture mispriced markets The second option? Also hard There is no easy way
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@lockingbirdpoly @LondonTrades8 btw, Buse and Pellegrino were at 70-75c pre match.
But just waiting the good time, i manage to catch them at 34 and 52c.
It make a big difference.
Pre market odds are designed for you to loose
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@LondonTrades8 Do you bet on Polymarket or other sportsbooks? What’s your Poly account?
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@lockingbirdpoly thats a cool dashboard for your data!
IDC where I get gains from, I need them lol
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@ChloePoly5 @LondonTrades8 You deserve it
How long have you been watching and trading NBA/tennis? I believe it’s been a long journey before your current Poly account
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@LondonTrades8 @lockingbirdpoly Just made 3 bets todays (everything public on my history)... I don't think i will bet more, can't find any hedge on other matchs.
Will just bet Knicks for game 2.
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@LondonTrades8 NBA:
Win $22K
Lose $20K
I’m not that good at sports yet. My PnL mostly comes from crypto markets
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@lockingbirdpoly bro you are killing it. Show me your ways haha I need to start getting some scaling and size
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@MonteCarloSpam Higher?
The range for 10 coinflip is smaller
3-7
4-6
5-5
6-4
so getting 5-5 (exact 5 heads from 10) more likely than range 1000 coinflip
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$30 > $4.4k more than 100x only possible on @Polymarket
Thanks @printr $print 😂
rekxt@rekxtacc
Zer($0) or her($0)
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