LWS Financial Research

Since its launch in September 2022, the models and analytical methodology of @lwsresearch have shown a solid historical performance, with a 38.9% CAGR since inception, based on model portfolios and a methodology applied consistently over time.

🚨 Guyana’s oil production continues to surge, reaching ~918K bpd in February (vs ~915K in January), consolidating its rapid growth as a key South American producer. 🛢️ Exxon Mobil Corporation $XOM, leading the Stabroek block consortium, is driving the expansion, with output up sharply from ~716K bpd average in 2025. 📈 Further upside ahead as Exxon plans to boost Yellowtail capacity to ~290K bpd, pending government approval. #Oil #Energy #Growth

🚨 U.S. natural gas futures (NG1!) fall to a one-month low, dropping ~5% on profit-taking and rising production. 📉 Prices hit their lowest level since late February, reversing recent highs as output from the Lower 48 states increases. ⚖️ The decline reflects a shift in market sentiment after recent gains, with traders locking in profits amid stronger supply. #NaturalGas #Commodities #Energy

🚨 Georgia Capital PLC $CGEO reports share buybacks between Mar 23–27, 2026, totaling 65,000 shares purchased on the London Stock Exchange. 📊 The company paid a weighted average price of ~3,567 pence per share, with daily volumes ranging between 10,000 and 15,000 shares. 💼 The shares will be cancelled, leaving the company with 34,459,357 shares outstanding and no treasury shares. #Buyback #Equities #Markets

🚨 Pluxee N.V. $PLX reports treasury share transactions for Mar 23–27, 2026, with total purchases of ~409,029 shares at a weighted average price of ~€10.36. 📊 Daily volumes ranged between ~80K–110K shares, with prices trending from ~€10.67 down to ~€9.99 by week’s end across XPAR, DXE and TQE platforms. 💼 Activity reflects ongoing treasury share operations during the reported period. #Equities #Buyback #Markets

🚨 Argentine assets rally after a favorable court ruling overturns the $16.1B judgment related to the 2012 nationalization of YPF S.A. $YPDCB, boosting investor sentiment. 📈 The S&P Merval $IMV rises ~2.4% at open, led by YPF shares (+5%+), while markets remain cautious amid ongoing Middle East tensions. 💱 The peso weakens ~0.5% to ~1,394/USD ($USDARS), with sovereign bonds posting selective gains and country risk holding near ~615 bps. #Argentina #Markets #YPF

🚨 Sable Offshore Corp $SOC resumes operations and begins selling crude from the Santa Ynez Pipeline System in California to Chevron Corporation $CVX after restarting flows earlier this month. 🛢️ The pipeline, shut since the 2015 oil spill, is now transporting >50K bpd, with production expected to exceed 30K bpd from Platform Heritage and further upside as Platform Hondo comes online. 📈 Shares of Sable Offshore rise >3% premarket following the restart of the system along the California coast. #Oil #Energy #Markets

PRESIDENT TRUMP: The United States of America is in serious discussions with A NEW, AND MORE REASONABLE, REGIME to end our Military Operations in Iran. Great progress has been made but, if for any reason a deal is not shortly reached, which it probably will be, and if the Hormuz Strait is not immediately “Open for Business,” we will conclude our lovely “stay” in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating all of their Electric Generating Plants, Oil Wells and Kharg Island (and possibly all desalinization plants!), which we have purposefully not yet “touched.” This will be in retribution for our many soldiers, and others, that Iran has butchered and killed over the old Regime’s 47 year “Reign of Terror.” Thank you for your attention to this matter.

🚨 Aluminum prices surge as supply fears intensify following Iranian attacks on major Middle East producers, raising risks of prolonged disruption in a ключ global market. 📈 LME aluminum futures (ALI1!) jump ~3.8% to ~$3,423/t (intraday up to $3,492), near 4-year highs, while Shanghai futures also climb >3%, reflecting tightening supply expectations. 🏭 Aluminium Bahrain B.S.C. $ALBH is assessing damage and has already cut ~19% of capacity, while Emirates Global Aluminium reports significant impacts, with Gulf producers (~9% of global supply) facing export constraints via Hormuz. #Aluminum #Commodities #SupplyShock

🚨 Rising geopolitical risk in the Middle East is pushing oil majors to rethink strategy, as the Iran war damages key infrastructure, disrupts flows and undermines the region’s long-standing investment appeal. 🛢️ Giants like Exxon Mobil Corporation $XOM, Chevron Corporation $CVX, Shell plc $SHEL and BP plc $BP are now expected to expand exploration into new regions as higher oil prices improve project economics. 🌍 The conflict has disrupted ~20% of global oil & LNG flows via Hormuz, damaged Gulf energy assets and increased long-term costs, with Brent 2030 prices already up ~10% (~$72), signaling a structural shift in global energy investment. #OilMarkets #Energy #Geopolitics

🚨 Deep-sea mining moves forward: Glomar Minerals and Cobalt Blue Holdings $COB plan to build a U.S.-based refinery to process critical minerals extracted from the Pacific seabed within the next 3 years. 🏭 The facility would initially process 200K metric tons/year, with a total cost below $500M and a target to be operational before 2029; no supply contracts or confirmed government financing yet. 🔋 The project aims to secure supplies of nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese, while rival The Metals Company $TMC explores a larger 12M tpa refinery in Texas using seabed resources linked to former leases of Lockheed Martin Corporation $LMT. #Mining #CriticalMinerals #Geopolitics

🚀 AST SpaceMobile Inc. $ASTS plans to launch its BlueBird 7 satellite on April 10 aboard Blue Origin LLC’s New Glenn rocket. 📡 #Space #Satellites #Telecommunications

🚨 Chevron Corporation $CVX warns its Wheatstone LNG facility in Western Australia will take weeks to return to full production after damage caused by cyclone Narelle. 🛢️ The plant (8.9M tpa) remains partially offline, while the cyclone disrupted Australian LNG supply equivalent to >30M tpa; at the same time, Woodside Energy Group Ltd $WDS reports continued disruptions at its Karratha gas plant (14.3M tpa). 🌍 The outages add to global LNG supply disruptions already exceeding 25%, amid Middle East tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. #LNG #Energy #Markets

📈 Strong week for the models: while major indices dropped nearly -3%, our strategies moved in the opposite direction, reinforcing outperformance in a volatile market. 🚀 Model portfolio now stands at +18.01% YTD vs -4.87% for S&P 500 (EUR-adjusted), and an impressive +204.2% since inception (Sep 2022) vs +43.0% for the benchmark. 👉 More information about our research, methodology, and current positioning: locosdewallstreet.com/suscripcion-fr…

🚨 Saudi Arabia ramps up its emergency energy strategy: the East-West pipeline is now operating at full capacity of 7M barrels per day, allowing crude exports to bypass the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating geopolitical tensions. 🛢️ Saudi Aramco is already shipping ~5M bpd from the Red Sea port of Yanbu, plus an additional 700K–900K bpd in refined products, as global clients urgently reroute flows away from the الخليج chokepoint. 🌍 The move comes as Iran has effectively shut down the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting roughly 20% of global oil and LNG supply, sending crude prices above $100 and shaking energy and shipping markets worldwide. ⚠️ While the pipeline provides a critical workaround, it only partially offsets the scale of disruption—keeping supply tight and volatility elevated across global markets. #OilMarkets #EnergyCrisis #Geopolitics

🛢️⚠️ A New Oil Shock Is Building as Iran War Intensifies Date: March 28, 2026 Source: CNBC 🧠 A new global oil shock is emerging, and the next 1–3 weeks are critical. Analysts warn that if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened by mid-April, supply disruptions could escalate sharply, driving higher energy prices and economic damage. 🌍 Critical bottleneck: Strait of Hormuz ~20% of global oil supply flows through the strait Shipping has largely stalled due to attacks on infrastructure and vessels Current supply loss: ~4.5–5 million barrels/day (~5% of global supply) 👉 This could double by mid-April, creating the largest supply shock in years 📉 Markets underestimating the risk Brent futures up ~36% (~$113), but: Physical oil prices (Dubai) up ~76% (~$126) 👉 Gap between “paper” vs “physical” markets shows real shortages are worse than financial pricing suggests 🛠️ Temporary buffers are running out Governments have slowed the impact through: Strategic reserves release (~400M barrels) Temporary sanctions relief on Russian/Iranian oil Pipeline rerouting 👉 These measures are expected to lose effectiveness by early–mid April 📈 Inflation and macro risks LNG prices up ~48% in Asia Jet fuel and other commodities surging 👉 Risk of: Higher global inflation Delayed rate cuts Slower economic growth Markets are already reacting: S&P 500 down ~3.4% late in the week US 10Y yield rising to ~4.4% 🎯 Trump’s influence weakening Verbal intervention (“jawboning”) has helped contain oil futures But physical disruptions are overriding rhetoric 👉 Markets are starting to price in real supply constraints 🔄 Key scenarios ahead Possible outcomes include: Military reopening of the strait Collapse or negotiation with Iran Expansion of alternative supply (Russia, others) 👉 However, time is the key variable ⏳ The “oil cliff” risk By mid-April: Emergency supply buffers depleted Supply loss potentially doubles Even after war ends: Production recovery may take 3–4 months 📌 Conclusion The global economy is approaching a tipping point: 👉 Short-term buffers are masking a structural supply shock 👉 If Hormuz is not reopened soon, oil prices could spike sharply 👉 The result: higher inflation, tighter financial conditions, and slower growth The next few weeks will determine whether this remains a shock… or becomes a full-blown energy crisis.

🚨 Yemen’s Houthi group escalates the conflict, officially entering the war with a ballistic missile strike on Israel as the war reaches its one-month mark. 🌍 All eyes now on the Bab el-Mandeb Strait: a potential closure could remove ~6M barrels/day from global oil supply, triggering immediate pressure on energy markets. ⚠️ Rising geopolitical risk with direct implications for global trade and النفط prices. #Geopolitics #OilSupply #EnergyCrisis

🛢️⚠️ Oil Services Lag Despite Oil Rally Amid Iran War Disruptions Date: March 27, 2026 Source: Reuters 🧠 Global oilfield services companies are facing earnings pressure despite a sharp rise in oil prices, as the Iran conflict disrupts Middle East operations and delays new drilling activity. 📉 Activity slowdown despite higher oil prices Brent crude has risen ~53% since late February However, producers are not increasing drilling activity yet 👉 Higher prices alone are insufficient—operators need sustained price stability before committing capital. 🌍 Operational disruptions in the Middle East Security risks and infrastructure damage are: Reducing activity Delaying projects Increasing logistics and insurance costs Offshore rig count in the Gulf: Down ~39% (118 → 72 rigs) 👉 The region, a key hub for global supply, is seeing sharp operational contraction ⚠️ Immediate impact on oilfield services companies SLB expects weaker Q1 revenue and EPS hit Halliburton and Baker Hughes highly exposed to Middle East Borr Drilling has idled rigs and evacuated staff 👉 Regional revenue could fall 10–20% in Q1 🔄 Structural dynamic: delayed response from producers US producers signal they need several months of high prices before ramping activity Current environment characterized by: Cautious capital allocation Operational uncertainty 👉 Creates a lag between oil price spikes and service demand 🔧 Medium-term upside: reconstruction demand Estimated $25B+ in infrastructure damage in the Gulf Repairs expected to drive: Engineering & construction Equipment demand Maintenance activity 👉 Future demand likely to focus more on repair and maintenance than new drilling 📌 Conclusion The Iran conflict creates a disconnect in the oil value chain: 👉 Upstream (oil prices): strong 👉 Oilfield services: weak in the short term While near-term earnings face pressure, reconstruction and maintenance demand could support a recovery, depending on market stability and capital spending decisions.

Oil prices surge above $104/barrel after Iran says Israel has struck Iranian power plants.

"🍺 Shares of Molson Coors $TAP rose ~3% after analysts suggested the company could become a takeover target, particularly for European brewers. The view follows recent cross-border deal momentum in the sector (e.g., Brown-Forman $BF.A / Pernod Ricard $RI), pointing to a potential new wave of consolidation in global beverage alcohol. Molson Coors’ diversified portfolio (Coors Light, Miller Lite, Blue Moon) and transatlantic footprint make it a strategically attractive asset for expansion-focused players. 👉 Bottom line: M&A optionality emerging as a key catalyst for the stock 📈🍻 #M&A #Consumer #Stocks"}

"🛢️ U.S. oil & gas rig count fell for a second consecutive week, dropping by 9 to 543 rigs, the lowest level since mid-January, according to Baker Hughes $BKR. As a leading indicator of future production, the decline suggests potential supply moderation ahead, even as oil prices remain elevated. 👉 Bottom line: early signal of tightening U.S. supply growth, supporting the bullish energy backdrop ⚠️📊 #Oil #Energy #Macro"}