Kenshi Ryo Kade

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Kenshi Ryo Kade

Kenshi Ryo Kade

@m11st3

Day Trader | #DeFi |#ICT | #Crypto | #TradFi

Terra Katılım Şubat 2019
1.3K Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
BareNakedCrypto 🫐,
BareNakedCrypto 🫐,@BullNakedCrypto·
All I'm going to say is Motherfucker would strike random Iran targets before Tuesday open After his friends pumped futures to ATH and prob got a short at the top
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The Inner Circle Trader
The Inner Circle Trader@I_Am_The_ICT·
I was thinking to myself this morning... I'd like to know what all of you have managed to do or buy, yes materialistically speaking, from my life's work? I won't use this as a lecture against having nice things... I am genuinely curious.
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Fanni F
Fanni F@fannitrades·
Trading Executions during London - Wed 13 May 2026 5 trades: 1 loss, 3 BE, 1 win (+1R)
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Bandz
Bandz@Bandz_Trading·
Tradingview colors: Ember Warm neutral chart colors if that's your thing
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Sunil Gurjar, CFTe
Sunil Gurjar, CFTe@sunilgurjar01·
🚨 WARNING: BIG TROUBLE AHEAD! $76K has been hit. The crowd buys, thinking the reversal has begun. They have no idea they're walking into the same meat grinder as 2022. The trap mechanism is repeating perfectly: Fake breakout → Reversal → Dump 10-14% → Repeat We've seen it play out three times already this year: February: Local peak → -11% March: Fake ATH → -14% April: $76K trap → next leg loading
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The Inner Circle Trader
The Inner Circle Trader@I_Am_The_ICT·
For fun and purely my enjoyment... Tell me when and on what basis did you come to believe these markets are rigged?
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Open Minded Approach
Open Minded Approach@OMApproach·
One famous Hadith says that when the desert starts turning green and returns to meadows and rivers, the time for Judgment is near. This entire region in Africa and Arabia turned into desert about 6,000 years ago, and now, due to axial and apsidal precession, the climate is changing again. We are approaching the tipping point of a geophysical event, and the early signs of a geomagnetic excursion, which began around 1850. Climate change and the weakening of the Earth’s magnetic field are all signs of pressure building up. This event has reset many civilizations, is described in the Bible and ancient texts, and will continue to do so in the future.
Open Minded Approach@OMApproach

Turkey is panicking, but the entire world should be as well. Nearly 700 sinkholes have been detected, opening up and destroying farmland. There is a severe drought, all of which points to a geophysical event and climate change connected to a geomagnetic excursion. During the desertification of the Sahara around 6,000 years ago, and during the Solovki geomagnetic excursion, there was also an extreme drought. Before 2000, only a handful of sinkholes appeared each decade, but since that time, the acceleration of the magnetic North Pole has made this process more rapid. This is why billionaires are building doomsday bunkers. It is all described in the leaked Pentagon report from 2003.

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ryandcrypto
ryandcrypto@ryandcrypto·
wait so the boomers want us to buy here?? starting to feel like exit liquidity
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FinancialFlowPro
FinancialFlowPro@CossamKapi11915·
THIS NEW AI INDICATOR IS INSANE
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marian pitu
marian pitu@marian_nok·
Ăsta este sistemul din România.
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さんがつの株日記
今年59歳、楽天証券を退職しました。 一度しか言いません。 昨夜、妻と話し合い、北海道の実家へ戻ることにしました。 私は22歳で投資を始め、今59歳。現在の月収は約1100万円、総資産は13億円を超えています。 東京の物価高が話題になる中でも、派手な生活はせず、今も8年前の車に乗っています。 「必要なものを大切にする」──この考えが投資でも人生でも、一番大事だと感じています。 なぜ情報を無料で公開しているのかとよく聞かれますが、子どもの頃から“先生になること”が夢でした。 そこで、初心者向けに誰でも読める投資資料を作りました。 専門用語なし、実践しやすい内容です。資料はすべて無料でお渡しします。 興味があれば、いいねとフォローをお願いします。 なぜ有料にしないのかとよく聞かれますが、株情報の発信はあくまで趣味であり、経済的に困 っていないため無料で公開しています。
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Armaan Sidhu
Armaan Sidhu@realarmaansidhu·
SpaceX just moved employee stock vesting from May to next week. Target IPO valuation: $1.75T to $2T. Target raise: up to $75 billion. Target listing: June 2026. If this prints, it's the largest IPO in human history by a factor of 2.5x. fejau called it "the biggest exit liquidity dumping event in history." That's funny. It's also directionally correct. Here's why the vesting acceleration matters. Here's what's actually happening. SpaceX confidentially filed with the SEC on April 1. The public S-1 lands late April or early May. The roadshow follows 15+ days later. Pricing is targeted for the week of June 15. Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley are the underwriters. The company is considering a dual-class share structure that would give Musk outsized voting power. Why move vesting from May to April? Because when 13,000+ employees suddenly know exactly how much stock they can sell at IPO, they can plan around it. They can exercise ISOs strategically. They can coordinate with financial advisors. They can model their tax exposure. Most importantly — they can decide whether to sell immediately at IPO or hold through lockup expiration. That's the real question driving the vesting timing. The concern fejau is naming is real. When SpaceX goes public, every employee who has been sitting on illiquid paper wealth for years suddenly has liquid stock. The natural instinct is to diversify — to take some chips off the table. If tens of thousands of employees simultaneously decide to sell 20-50% of their shares at IPO, that's billions of dollars of supply hitting the market in the first days of trading. The vesting acceleration gives employees more time to plan the tax-optimal path. The tax-optimal path for many SpaceX employees involves not dumping everything at IPO because of Alternative Minimum Tax exposure, ordinary income recognition on RSUs, and California taxes. Smart financial planning tends to produce staggered selling rather than day-one dumps. But the employees who don't plan will dump. The employees who need the money will dump. The employees who don't trust SpaceX's post-IPO trajectory will dump. That's baked in. Three observations about the valuation math. First, $2 trillion is extreme even by AI-era standards. At the targeted valuation, SpaceX's $18.5 billion in revenue implies a price-to-sales ratio of 108. For reference, Nvidia at its 2024 AI boom peak topped out at a P/S of around 40. SpaceX would IPO at nearly 3x Nvidia's peak premium. Meta's IPO P/S was around 30. SpaceX is asking public markets to pay 3.5x Meta's IPO premium for a company with lower revenue growth and ongoing losses. Second, the sum-of-parts story is genuinely unique. Launch business (Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, Starship): dominant global market share. Starlink: approximately $11 billion in annual revenue from satellite internet, growing fast. xAI (absorbed into SpaceX): the AI business previously structured separately. Defense contracts: NASA, DoD, allied governments. Orbital data centers: speculative but gaining institutional credibility. The integration story — launch capability + satellite infrastructure + AI + defense — doesn't exist elsewhere. Third, Alphabet's position deserves attention. Alphabet was an early SpaceX investor. Their position is reportedly worth ~$100 billion at IPO target valuations. That's the largest single VC return in history from a single investment. Sequoia, Founders Fund, and Draper Fisher Jurvetson also hold multi-billion dollar positions. The index inclusion dynamic. This is what @TreasuryEdge flagged. SpaceX could be eligible for Nasdaq 100 inclusion within days of listing. Normally, new listings wait months or quarters before index inclusion. But the Nasdaq 100 includes the 100 largest non-financial companies by market cap on the exchange, and SpaceX at $1.75-$2T would likely jump to roughly 6th-8th largest on day one — above Tesla, above Berkshire, above most current index constituents. The practical effect: every index fund tracking the Nasdaq 100 would have to buy SpaceX shares at inclusion. That's trillions of dollars in passive assets. The forced buying from index inclusion could offset employee selling pressure. Or it could front-run employee selling, creating a bizarre two-phase price pattern where indexers buy into a rising tape, employees sell into the strength, and price action becomes purely mechanical for weeks. This is similar dynamics to the Avis Budget short squeeze post earlier today but at exponentially larger scale. The price action isn't going to reflect fundamentals in the first 30-60 days. It's going to reflect mechanical flows. The historical comparison. Saudi Aramco 2019: $29.4B raised, current record. SpaceX IPO would be 2.5x larger. Meta 2012: raised $16B at $104B valuation. Stock traded down 50% in first four months post-IPO. Alibaba 2014: raised $25B at $170B valuation. Traded sideways to down for 18 months. Uber 2019: raised $8.1B at $82B valuation. Opened below offering price, traded down through lockup expiration. Lyft 2019: raised $2.3B at $24B valuation. Down 70% from IPO price 12 months later. Snap 2017: raised $3.4B at $24B valuation. Down 50% within 6 months. Most mega-IPOs underperform in the near term. Meta is the notable exception, and even Meta traded down significantly in its first year. The Motley Fool's analysis of the last five mega-IPOs shows one outperformer (Meta) and four that significantly underperformed the market. The structural point worth naming. IPOs at extreme valuations serve one audience primarily: early investors, employees, and pre-IPO shareholders. They're exit events. The public market is the buyer of last resort that provides liquidity to everyone who had access to the private market earlier. That's not inherently bad. The capital markets exist to serve exactly this function. VCs take risk early; public investors take liquidity risk later. The question is always pricing: is the public-market entry point a reasonable risk-adjusted return, or is the pre-IPO market fully extracting the gains that public investors would normally earn? At $2 trillion and 108x sales, the pre-IPO market is extracting essentially all the expected returns. Public investors would need SpaceX to grow into a $5-10 trillion company for the IPO valuation to make sense on traditional metrics. That's possible — SpaceX has structural advantages that justify some premium — but the margin for error is minimal. Connect this to today's broader content. The Avis Budget post showed how AI adjacency narratives can drive 325% moves in six weeks on fundamentally disconnected valuations. The Claude Opus 4.7 post showed actual AI infrastructure value creation at Anthropic ($380B valuation, real enterprise revenue, clear capability progression). The TSMC CoWoS post showed where the physical bottlenecks in AI actually are. The Anthropic revenue-per-employee post showed what 48x efficiency actually looks like. SpaceX at $2T is somewhere between all of these. Real business (launch, Starlink, defense). Real AI exposure (xAI absorption). Real strategic moat (no one else can land rockets at scale). Also: extreme valuation premium that can only be justified by future growth that hasn't materialized yet. The vesting acceleration isn't the story. The vesting acceleration is a signal that the IPO timeline is firm and the company is preparing for a specific structural event. The real story is: what happens when the largest IPO in history prints at the highest P/S ratio in mega-IPO history, into a passive-flow-dominated market with extreme concentration in the largest names? Either it's a generational wealth transfer from public markets to pre-IPO holders, or it's a generational compounding event for public investors who buy early. History suggests the former is more likely. Meta's trajectory suggests the latter is possible. The answer is probably knowable by December 2026. For SpaceX employees: congratulations. The next six months determine whether your illiquid paper wealth becomes generational wealth or becomes a tax bill on stock you watched decline. For public investors: wait for lockup expiration. Six months after IPO, when the initial flow dynamics resolve, the price will reflect something closer to fundamentals. Entering before that is buying into mechanical flow rather than business performance. For everyone else: watch the tape. SpaceX's IPO is going to be the defining market event of Q2-Q3 2026. It will suck liquidity from everything else. It will affect passive flows. It will create secondary trades across the entire AI/space/defense complex. This isn't just a big IPO. It's the market-structural event of the year. Vesting moved from May to April. Watch what happens next.
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IPO Newsroom
IPO Newsroom@IPONewsroom_·
SPACEX JUST MOVED UP EMPLOYEE STOCK VESTING FROM MAY TO NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF ITS $2T+ IPO The company is letting employees vest shares early so they know exactly how much stock they can sell when SpaceX goes public. Updated IPO timeline: • Employee vesting: April (moved up from May) • Public filing: late May • Expected pricing: week of June 15 • Target raise: up to $75B Why this matters: SpaceX could be eligible to enter the Nasdaq 100 within days of its debut, not months. That would force every index fund tracking the Nasdaq 100 to buy shares immediately. Alphabet’s early SpaceX investment is now worth a $100B gain according to filings. If this IPO prices anywhere near $2T, it would be the largest in history.
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Mohan
Mohan@Mohanlodhi_·
@lady_valor_07 Of course Britain, they've got the best food in the world
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LadyValor
LadyValor@lady_valor_07·
If you were forced to live in Europe, Where would you choose?
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BareNakedCrypto 🫐,
BareNakedCrypto 🫐,@BullNakedCrypto·
lmao they posted fake news about Bitcoin being taken for Hormuz ships 10mins before the open Then Iran said counter attack+close straight at 930am And then it came out that Hormuz payment can be in any crypto(stablecoin) or CHINESE YUAN LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOooo This casino man
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Soheil PKO
Soheil PKO@soheilpko·
@I_Am_The_ICT VWAP is a good indicator for scalping and day trading. Suitable for timeframes like 1m and 5m. Banks use VWAP a lot when they want to buy or sell currencies in the market. They use it as a benchmark to see if the price is trading above the average of the day or below that.
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Kenshi Ryo Kade
Kenshi Ryo Kade@m11st3·
@jadoodoo_ Same. Still think it’s going lower… probably wrong levels on my part. Or too early on the execution. Algo mind games, fk hate it!
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Jadoodoo 🍑
Jadoodoo 🍑@jadoodoo_·
Whats going on I short cause it looks like a short, and it just keeps going up
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JoelXBT
JoelXBT@joel_sabugal·
$BTC Outlook — Full orderflow breakdown. 🧠 In this video: -Range analysis break -TPO + single prints -Footprint aggression -Stacked imbalance continuation play -Liquidations map -Net positioning across exchanges
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