
Ashwin Kumar
303 posts


@KillaXBT PA playing out is a weekly accumulation coming off a monthly SFP on a retest of a multi-year range breakout. Just BULLIEVE - We are going so much higher
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Study how $BTC PA has reacted over the past few years.
Study how nearly every significant weekly resistance gets rejected on the first retest.
Study how major weekly structural areas almost never flip on the first attempt.
You know where we are.
You know what we’re testing for the first time.
The market has a funny way of making people flip bias at the exact moment it’s least appropriate to flip.
Even in bull markets, price forms ranges. It retests levels. It rejects key areas. You don’t get straight impulsive moves without months of consolidation, ranges, and failed breakouts along the way.
This is the market maker way & this is exactly what has been happening for years.

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Its true.
Every time Zcash has made a major move, it's lined up perfectly with a $BTC top.

Killa@KillaXBT
Its true. Every time Zcash has made a major move, it’s lined up perfectly with a $BTC market top. 4/4 times. A perfect record. Are you really willing to bet against those odds?
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@KillaXBT Study weekly accumulation patterns.
God Weekly Candle Loading.
As I mentioned at the beginning of April, the crypto bottom is in.
We are in a Giga Bull Market. The sooner you realise it, the better.
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@KillaXBT I believe context and the structure is more important then previous patterns and the time around which they happened. If the cycles continued the same way then everyone can just be waiting for the similar time period and be making money. IMO that's not how the markets work
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@KillaXBT Been calling it since early April on all your posts. IMO Crypto BOTTOM IS IN. If we start to look at the charts rather then just depending on the historical data it's all seems obvious but again people's emotion would make them feel like it's debelief 😊
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A bear market rally is basically people wanting it to be over before it actually is.
After a long drop, everyone’s tired. People are down bad, underexposed, or sitting in cash. The moment price starts pushing up, it feels like relief.
At the same time, shorts start getting uncomfortable.
(Ironically me)
They close positions, which means buying, and that pushes prices even higher. The move starts looking stronger than it really is.
Then comes the narrative:
People go from cautious “wait… is this the bottom?” “I’m gonna miss it.”
That’s where FOMO kicks in. Late buyers pile in right when price is pushing into areas where bigger players are happy to sell. You’ll also notice the narrative changes after the move starts.
Suddenly there are reasons for it, macro, STRC, ETFs, whatever, but really the move came first, the explanation came after.
The key part is nothing fundamentally changed. Liquidity just got pulled upward, shorts got squeezed.
So it becomes a loop: pain, relief, hope, FOMO, trap, then pain again.
That’s why bear market rallies look so convincing, they’re built on emotions people want to believe, not on a real shift in the bigger trend.
My short might be wrong/early, but it doesn't change where $BTC is positioned in the cycle based on historical data.
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@KillaXBT IMO BOTTOM IS IN. One final dip towards 70-69.5k this week and then full send. I think even if you double or triple or quadruple your margin to push your liquidation, BTC will come and take you out. I'm trading against you. Let me get back to this message in a month or two 😊
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So many people are eager to see me get stopped out.
I can easily triple my margin & push my liquidation above 120K $BTC.
Then what?
I don’t trade like most people. This is God mode. The Market Maker strategy. Full conviction.
My analysis leaves me completely confident we haven’t bottomed. Because of that, I’m holding my conviction without a single doubt.
I live life in the fast lane.
So please, trade against me.
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@KillaXBT I'm confident the bottom is in. We could range some more within this range but no more sweeps of the monthly lows.
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@KillaXBT Good luck on your shorts Killa. I really value your market analysis and insights that you provide. Deeply researched and highly resourceful. But IMO Crypto has bottomed and I believe we look back to this period in history and think it was the greatest crypto bull run ever 😊
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@KillaXBT Speaking in absolutes in a speculative market, with all due respect to your analysis, this overconfidence doesn't sound very good.
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@KillaXBT Well all I see and can say is that Bullish April Loading 😊
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Not seeing anything sustainably bullish for $BTC right now.
Binance spot order books are showing seller dominance.
Nearly every failed rally since October has come with negative delta.
What we’re seeing now is spot supply stepping in at the highs while BTC moves are largely driven by liquidations.

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@KillaXBT Above charts along with my thesis where I believe this a smaller correction in a multi year bull market is what suggests we have bottomed in a Higher timeframe perspective
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$BTC
My point is, the current BTC structure suggests that after we have formed our next high, there’s a strong chance of revisiting some of the untested lows.
67K & 65K.
Right now, as always, the market is just hunting leverage to the upside before sweeping the lows yet again.
From this image, over the past 5 years of PA, these diagonal inclines have consistently resulted in moves back down to the lows or lower.
No bottoms have formed with diagonal higher lows.
I see no reason to believe this time is any different.
Range bound till proven otherwise.
Killa@KillaXBT
$BTC bottoms don’t form through clean HLs. They’re deliberately messy, involving multiple sweeps. Tops show similar behavior. Diagonal bottoms rarely play out. Structurally, it makes more sense to expect a retrace below 70K to sweep untested lows before a true bottom is established.
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