Manipuhator

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Manipuhator

Manipuhator

@manipuhator

Self-appointed prediction markets regulator

Katılım Mayıs 2026
44 Takip Edilen23 Takipçiler
0xDinosaur
0xDinosaur@0xDinoCrypto·
Many people have asked me whether I am taking legal action regarding the Polymarket dispute. For now, based on legal advice, I have been advised not to comment publicly on this part. I will continue to document the facts, preserve evidence, and speak up for users who were harmed by unfair resolutions. #StopPolyScam
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Manipuhator
Manipuhator@manipuhator·
Hey @Polymarket and @devjoshstevens here are a bunch of known market manipulators on your platform that have recently made over $250k in profits from manipulating the BTC price. If you'd like any help to detect and ban these manipulators please reach out. In the meantime, I hope you haven't forgotten about TWAP settlement which is the strongest tool you have to combat manipulation in the short term. @0x10dd34c32ddbeff39219a509cb9a617d5afee5fc-1781142990471" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x10dd34c32dd@0x4d2db6c8e9900405379df2990418f94c02fbf5cc-1779042502779" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x4d2db6c8e99@0x65d887fcfb195022ddc1084b8063027300e6b2dd-1779042749073" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x65d887fcfb1@0xserasjq21" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xserasjq21 @0x8d2d7bae900cc62bbac531f900dbf58a6f8c5517-1779036172957" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x8d2d7bae900@0xfb386c41d989c18b5cd8d3d15233f70b53f836f4-1779042990353" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xfb386c41d98
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Manipuhator retweetledi
poop scientist
poop scientist@ohiobug981·
Thursday, May 28, 2026
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Mustafa Aljadery
Mustafa Aljadery@mustafap0ly·
@HarryDCrane might be the most retarded thing i’ve read this month. not sure how you’re a professor. - Soccer is the majority of polymarket sport volume - 90% of website visitors never trade and just look at the odds - NBA and other sports are huge in asia etc, etc
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Harry Crane
Harry Crane@HarryDCrane·
Research Brief: Estimating U.S. User Activity in Offshore Prediction Markets Key Findings: - $ 11-27B of Polymarket volume May 2025-April 2026 is attributed to U.S. users - $ 11-34B of all offshore volume came from U.S. users Full report below: cranezeng.com/prediction-mar…
Harry Crane tweet media
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Variance Lover
Variance Lover@variance_lover·
Open letter to @Polymarket and especially @shayne_coplan: I've been trading on Polymarket for a long time. I am one of the biggest traders on the entire platform and I interact with it on a daily basis. And at this point I'm seriously questioning whether the team has simply given up. I'm not even trying to be dramatic. Wtf is actually going on? Has everyone made enough money that nobody cares anymore? Is the team completely overwhelmed? Are priorities completely broken? Is there no leadership? Is it incompetence? Because the current state of the platform is honestly embarrassing. Every maintenance seems to follow the exact same script: announce 10 minutes of downtime start 20 minutes late stay down for an hour deploy changes that break multiple existing systems leave the bugs in production for weeks And somehow nobody seems concerned. Example: ~1.5 weeks ago an update broke tick sizes. The matching engine started rejecting orders that matched the correct tick size after a tick size change was published. This was immediately visible after deployment. It's still broken. Nobody seems to care. Then for the last two days Polymarket's own RTDS feed, the feed used for all crypto markets, has been broken. The issue was marked "resolved" 10 hours ago. It still isn't resolved! Did anyone spend literally 5 seconds checking whether data was actually being published before closing the incident? Because it sure doesn't feel like it. Communication is somehow even worse than the bugs. Half the changes never get announced. The other half are hidden in random Discord side conversations. Major trading-impacting changes get silently rolled out with zero documentation. You ask support. They say they'll ask the team. Then you never hear back. Or you get the same canned response you've already received three times. The team keeps saying communication will improve. It never does. Then there's the rebate and fee situation. Taker tiers were supposed to launch on May 28. A week later they still weren't live. Nobody acknowledged the delay. The docs still said May 28. To this day there still hasn't been a single taker rebate payment. And the official position is apparently that missed rebates won't be back-paid. How is that acceptable? How are traders supposed to adjust strategies, thresholds, and risk when nobody knows what fees they are actually paying, what rebates they are actually earning, or how much of the promised rewards the platform simply decides not to distribute? That isn't transparency and it is clearly destroying trust. The craziest part is that every update creates fresh opportunities for exploiters. Just in the last couple weeks we've had: queue position jump exploits taker delay bypass exploits ghost fill exploits various matching and infrastructure bugs order spam exploits Millions of dollars have been extracted from legitimate users through platform failures. The response? Increase rate limits. Seriously. A huge amount of latency issues today are caused by order spam that is directly incentivized by broken infrastructure and exploitable mechanics. Fixing the root causes would help. Instead we get band-aids. Which raises another question: Does Polymarket have a testing environment? Does it have staging? Can updates be rolled back? Because from the outside it honestly looks like production is the testing environment. Every maintenance introduces new failures. Every maintenance gets partially reverted. Every maintenance creates more issues than it solves. This shouldn't be happening at a company valued in the billions. Meanwhile manipulation that has been repeatedly reported for months continues largely unchecked while manipulators keep extracting money from normal users. And surprise: Volume is declining. Prediction markets as a whole are growing. Yet Polymarket just posted its second consecutive month of declining volume. Meanwhile Kalshi has become the clear market leader in many categories and is now outperforming Polymarket by large multiples in areas where Polymarket used to dominate. Honestly? It's not hard to see why. Every serious trader I've spoken to says the same thing: Kalshi feels stable. Polymarket feels like you're one deployment away from disaster. I know multiple people who would happily trade Polymarket full-time if they trusted the platform. They don't. Not because of competition. Because they don't trust Polymarket itself. My trust in this platform is at an all-time low. And I genuinely don't understand what is happening internally. Maybe the response will be that the team is busy with the World Cup or other initiatives. Fine. Then stop shipping half-finished features. Stop deploying untested fixes. Stop breaking live trading. Slow down. Focus on fewer things. Do them properly. The most concerning part is that so many decisions feel like they were made by people with no actual trading experience. The product decisions show it. The infrastructure decisions show it. The market structure decisions show it. Building the future of prediction markets requires understanding how markets actually function. Right now it often feels like nobody is steering the ship. I want Polymarket to succeed. But from the perspective of someone who uses the platform every day, this is bordering on unusable. @Polymarket @shayne_coplan What is going on?
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poop scientist
poop scientist@ohiobug981·
Suhail tried to run, feet pounding against the cracked pavement but the figure glided forward, ever so futile from his glare "you cannot flee what lies within your soul" the voice cut through: claiming control. the phone buzzed with messages bleeding through the night "trade polymarket with text: make the right flight!" one message, one word, and it will short mustafa with ease. liquidate all that he owns.. bring him to his knees! suhail laughed, a hollow, bone chilling sound. his thumb hovered over the phone, ready to embark "mustafa taken, into the dark?" Yes: 1c No: 0c He bought yes, ready to pounce mustafa was never seen again, not an ounce. suhail pleased the figure.
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Manipuhator
Manipuhator@manipuhator·
@ohiobug981 Ok but even if you believe in “pulling mustafas limbs off” look at it as random noise in whatever strategy you're doing. The limbs will end 50/50 on or off so ripping them will be in your favor or not 50% of the time
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poop scientist
poop scientist@ohiobug981·
im gonna rip mustafas limbs off
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poop scientist
poop scientist@ohiobug981·
through a cheddar dome did a cheese bug creep . carving tunnels of gouda; seven layers deep. feasting on swiss, so cheap- come to find: the truth made him weep. the delightful cheese, was concrete, painted gold. the gouda was grout; dusty and old. that dark truth emerged that night when the feast he'so eagerly embraced— was at grace: cutnpaste.
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Manipuhator
Manipuhator@manipuhator·
Polymarket's CLOB feels like a lemonade market that's being run into the ground by poor management. The customers keep pointing out the same problems: fake-looking lemonade orders, kids gaming the rules, and obvious exploiters running around grabbing free lemonade while nobody stops them. Every few weeks the manager's solution is another temporary rule instead of fixing the stand. @mustafap0ly is like the owner of the lemonade stand who customers keep trying to talk to, but from the outside it feels like he's never around to answer questions or explain what's going on. Danzu (@BrahmaFi) feels like the one employee who actually understands how the lemonade stand works and could probably improve things, but somehow never seems to have the authority to make the big decisions. Meanwhile, the kids abusing the system have mapped out every blind spot in the stand and are having the time of their lives. The honest customers are stuck staring at broken signs, wondering why the same issues keep happening. At some point you stop asking why the lemonade stand is struggling and start asking why the people running it seem unable or unwilling to fix the obvious problems.
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Manipuhator
Manipuhator@manipuhator·
I got RUGGED $120 by @Polymarket I was YES on "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?" MicroStrategy sold 32 BTC. Market resolved NO. #StopPolyScam
Manipuhator tweet media
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Manipuhator
Manipuhator@manipuhator·
@willo2_Poly Doubt the team will do anything about this. Whales are manipulating the crypto markets daily and there has been no action.
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willo2
willo2@willo2_Poly·
I was just scammed for $500K by Polymarket. I am "willo2", the top holder of YES on "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31st". Here's what happened:
willo2 tweet mediawillo2 tweet mediawillo2 tweet mediawillo2 tweet media
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Manipuhator
Manipuhator@manipuhator·
@devjoshstevens Just wondering, did you release perps to distract from the constant market manipulation in your crypto prediction markets?
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