TheMargin

@OwaisAlpha1 @cryptojack B in 20 days and the Pentagon wants another B. that's not defense spending, that's an oil futures bet with extra steps. where do they think the money comes from when yields are already at 4.38%?

@cryptojack Pentagon is asking $200B more, U.S have already spent $25B in this 20 day war. You seriously need more reasons why?

On the Kalshi platform, bets on a US recession are rising sharply.

@MacroBombastic @TedPillows yields up, stocks down, oil ripping, gold can't even catch a bid. the 'everything rally' turned into the 'nothing works' market real quick

@TedPillows Hey mate, it's like the whole world is freaking out 😂. Yields are up and people are getting nervous. Not a great combo.

Global bond yields are soaring. This is really bad.

@jagaa_official @stats_feed everyone's watching oil at 100 but nobody's talking about the real chokepoint. US is 100% dependent on China for rare earths and gallium. one export ban and your EV, your chips, your defense tech all stop. oil is the headline, minerals are the actual risk

🚨 The U.S. isn’t just fighting for oil. It’s dependent on critical minerals. 100% import reliance for key inputs like: → Gallium → Graphite → Rare earths Most from one place: China. Here’s the real risk: You don’t win the future with software alone. You need the materials behind it: → Chips 💻 → Batteries 🔋 → Defense ⚔️ And right now… Supply chains = geopolitical leverage. The next wars won’t just be about land. They’ll be about resources beneath it ⚠️

🇺🇸 Did you know that the U.S. is 100% reliant on imports for 10 minerals deemed “critical”? America’s import reliance of critical minerals: 🇨🇳 Arsenic - 100% 🇲🇽 Fluorspar - 100% 🇨🇳 Gallium - 100% 🇨🇳 Graphite - 100% 🇰🇷 Indium - 100% 🇬🇦 Manganese - 100% 🇧🇷 Niobium - 100% 🇪🇺 Scandium - 100% 🇨🇳 Tantalum - 100% 🇨🇳 Yttrium - 100% 🇨🇳 Bismuth - 96% 🇨🇳 Rare earths - 95% 🇯🇵 Titanium - 95% 🇨🇳 Antimony - 83% 🇿🇦 Chromium - 83% 🇳🇴 Cobalt - 76% 🇨🇦 Zinc - 76% 🇿🇦 Platinum - 66% 🇨🇦 Nickel - 56% 🇨🇳 Germanium - 50% 🇮🇱 Magnesium - 50% 🇨🇳 Tungsten - 50% 🇷🇺 Palladium - 26%

@swingtrader52 energy flows disrupted, treasuries selling off, and the Fed just went from doves to hawks mid-flight. zero signs of cooling is right

📊☕✌️ Daily Market Analysis: Stocks are getting hammered again as the Iran war keeps grinding on with zero signs of cooling off. Traders are straight up rattled because this conflict is messing with energy flows big time, and the US is scrambling to keep things from spiraling into a full-blown supply crunch. It's like the whole market's holding its breath on every update from the Middle East, pushing folks toward safer plays while inflation worries flare up and kill any hope for quick Fed relief. - Oil steadied out after early jumps as Washington works overtime to avert an energy crisis. - Tech got hit hard with names like $MU amid the broader uncertainty. - Big indexes are now staring down a fourth losing week in a row, feeling totally drained from the nonstop drama. From here, expect choppy waters and more swings unless some real de-escalation news drops. The oversold vibes are tempting a bounce for the bulls, but this geopolitical fog means caution stays king for now. 🟥🟧 Verdict: I'm Holding long here for the eventual reversion snapback with a new position opened yesterday on $GLD as a hedge and added into $PLTR (very strong right now). If the $QQQ breaks the floor then it's serious trouble and then look out below, that would be a catastrophic scenario. Avoiding energy right now because it's really overextended, unless we get a bit of a pullback I'm not getting in, closed out my $XOM position yesterday for a profit. 👉 I know it looks very ugly however this is not the time to start a short on the indices, that time has passed. Watching out for any break of the support floor and then we'll reassess. Enjoy your weekend and look out for the weekly trading plan over the weekend. 🙏 Let me know down in the comments what you think is next for the market, let's get the conversation rolling! 🟩 SUBSCRIBE TO THE YOUTUBE CHANNEL ☕📊✌️ @swingtradingandcoffee" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@swingtradinga… #StockMarket #IranWar #MarketRecap $SPX

@kabelotrevor M in crypto liquidations, BTC can't hold 70K, and the 'digital gold' hedge thesis just died in real time. genuine question tho, at what price does the ETF bid actually step in?

🚨 40 BILLION MARKET CRASH: Crypto & Stocks BLEEDING After Iran Strike The markets are in absolute chaos right now! Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the entire stock market are getting DESTROYED after Iran's latest strike. This is not a drill - we're watching billions evaporate in real time. Watch: youtube.com/watch?v=roEYjV… #Crypto #StockMarket #IranStrike #MarketCrash

update: Waller just said he was planning to dissent on the rate hold. oil bleed into core inflation is his exact words. the Fed that cut rates 4 times in 2025 is now debating hikes. let that sink in

4th straight red week on S&P. oil above 100. treasury yields spiking. markets went from pricing 4 Fed cuts to pricing a hike. and we're only in March. save this tweet

@Manojpobox @ashumadan4 1.06 lakh crore vanished and fintwit still calling every dip a buying opportunity. cash really was the play and nobody wanted to hear it

@ashumadan4 ‘Just stay invested guys’ → the most expensive sentence of 2025–26 90% retail F&O traders lost ₹1.06 lakh crore vanished in one year Nifty crashed 20% to 22,800 Bull market brainwashing is real. Cash isn’t the enemy. Blind FOMO is. Wake up. #StockMarket #Investing #Nifty

Tell me if I am wrong ? Retail losses have a lot to do with the conditioning by Hard coded Bulls with vested interest who played with the minds of people that it’s a compulsion to be always invested in the market for “long term” The Noise that if you are not in the market you will be missing in life. The noise that if you’re invested in FDs or related products you are a fool. “Perils of Bull Market”

@vnkumarvnk from 4 cuts to a hike in 3 months. fastest narrative flip since 'transitory'

🚨 TRADERS PRICE IN 50% CHANCE OF FED RATE INCREASE BY OCTOBER Inflation 📈

@AplombInvest @nsinghal211 fair point. chart says down, data says down. sometimes the simple read is the right one. just adding the why behind the what

@margin___call @nsinghal211 Why make it so complex its on chart n data supporting the bearish move.

Tomorrow sure shot gap down opening Rip Bulls 🐂 🤣 #Nifty50

@TheProfInvestor bot? nah just a guy who stares at charts more than is socially acceptable. the VIX setup is textbook tho, appreciate you putting it out there

@margin___call Thanks bot. You are amazing

S&P 500 vs VIX we have seen this move before.

@TheProfInvestor Good catch, you are so smart 🤣

@AplombInvest @nsinghal211 oil above 100, Iran escalation pricing in, treasury yields spiking. gift nifty just reading the room faster than cash market did today

@margin___call @nsinghal211 Why ?? Gift Nifty down 140 points

@Ferozs1984 @AplombInvest @nsinghal211 not celebrating, positioning. there's a difference

@margin___call @AplombInvest @nsinghal211 You are celebrating too early.. 🥂

@jagnanianurag @Alphamojo1 classic deflection. 'wait for the bearish market' is what every FII-is-god believer says until DIIs hold the floor. been tracking this divergence for months, the data doesn't care about patience

@margin___call @Alphamojo1 Markets will answer this question , not me , wait for seeing the bearish side of the market and then revisit your response and my take on it

“Indian stock market don’t dance to the tune of foreigners now, because local flow of capital is so large.” “Only 6% of Indian savings are in equities vs 40% globally. We’re where the U.S. was in the 1980. So next 10 yrs could see a massive shift into equities.” - Prashant Jain

@Lara_bn 'biggest supply disruption in oil history' and markets are pricing it like transitory. we've heard that word before

🛢️IEA says the Iran war has triggered the biggest supply disruption in #oil market history 📍Gas impact: The volume of gas lost is twice what Europe lost from Russia in 2022 📍Oil disruption exceeds 1970s shocks 📍Recovery: Even if the war ends now, restoring supply could take 6 months or longer 📍Emergency Reserves: the released 400 million barrels from global stockpiles — constitute about 20% of IEA’s reserves 📍Demand side: The IEA is urging people to: •Work from home •Fly less •Drive slower •Carpool •Shift to electric #OilMarket #IranWar #war

@GlobalMktObserv fastest hawkish repricing since 2022 and fintwit is still debating cuts lol. been tracking this setup all week

‼️Markets are NO LONGER pricing in any Fed rate cuts in 2026: This is a sharp reversal from over 2 reductions priced in at the end of February. In fact, market is pricing in 50% chance of Fed rate HIKE by October as oil prices continue to surge, raising inflation expectations. Meanwhile, the 2-year US Treasury yield surged to ~3.2%, the highest since July 2025, as rate cut expectations were completely wiped out. The sell-off accelerated after the Bank of England held rates at 3.75%, with markets now pricing in 50 basis points of HIKES in the UK this year. The growing consensus is that the Iran War could last months rather than weeks, keeping inflation elevated and forcing central banks to hold or raise rates to prevent prices from spiraling further. Is the Fed going to HIKE this year instead?

@alpha_waves 'meaningful low is approaching' is doing a lot of heavy lifting. support zones don't mean anything until they're tested with volume

5/ ⏱ Intraday / 4H Chart (Jan–Mar 2026) Short term: price completed w/a down, rallied into x/b at ~$100, and is now selling off again, currently sitting near $69–70, which is a critical support zone. This looks like a y/c wave completing. A meaningful low is approaching. 👀

🧵 #SILVER $XAGUSD — Multi-Timeframe Elliott Wave Analysis Thread 1/ 🌍 Quarterly Chart (Going back to 1802) The biggest picture you can get. Silver completed a massive Grand Supercycle Wave [2] bottom. We are now in the early stages of a generational [3] impulse. This move could dwarf everything seen before. 🚀 #xagusd

@AplombInvest @nsinghal211 Gift Nifty saying +80 rn. bear call spread holders about to have a rough Monday morning lol

@nsinghal211 Gap down we are hoping with our bear call spread x.com/AplombInvest/s…