AlphaBTC

#Bitcoin LTF plan I think something happens this week which gives markets something to bounce off. That said, if $BTC loses 65.5K and takes out the March low then, I will have to concede lick my wounds. #Crypto #BTC

🚨 This Week's Market Movers: Mar 23–27, 2026 🚨 This is a PMI-driven macro week with heavy Fed commentary. Tuesday’s Flash PMIs give the first real look at US economic momentum in March, while Unemployment Claims and inflation expectations later in the week will shape rate-cut expectations. With multiple Federal Reserve speakers, markets will also watch closely for signals on timing of policy easing. Expect volatility across equities, bonds, FX, and crypto if growth or inflation expectations shift. 🇺🇸 High-Impact US Economic Events 📅 Monday, Mar 23 🔹 Construction Spending m/m (Med): Proxy for housing and infrastructure activity; weakness hints at slowing investment and GDP momentum. 🔹 FOMC Member Miran Speaks (Med): Markets watch for tone shifts on inflation progress and the timing of rate cuts. 📅 Tuesday, Mar 24 🔹 ADP Employment Change (Med): Early read on labor market momentum; large surprises can move rate expectations ahead of official payroll data. 🔹 Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q (Med): Higher productivity reduces inflation pressure by allowing wages to rise without pushing prices higher. 🔹 Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q (Med): A key inflation input for the Fed; rising labor costs suggest persistent service-sector inflation. 🔴 Flash Manufacturing PMI (High): First snapshot of March factory activity; a drop below 50 signals contraction and pressures cyclical equities. 🔴 Flash Services PMI (High): Covers the largest portion of the US economy; strength supports growth optimism but may delay rate cuts. 🔹 Richmond Manufacturing Index (Med): Regional factory gauge; useful early signal for the national manufacturing trend. 🔹 API Weekly Crude Oil Stocks (Med): Large inventory builds often pressure oil prices and energy stocks. 🔹 FOMC Member Barr Speaks (Med): As the Fed’s Vice Chair for Supervision, comments on inflation and financial conditions often move yields. 📅 Wednesday, Mar 25 🔹 Current Account (Med): Measures US capital flows; widening deficits increase reliance on foreign financing and can pressure the USD. 🔹 Import Prices m/m (Med): Early inflation indicator reflecting global supply chain pressures and currency effects. 🔹 Crude Oil Inventories (Med): Official EIA energy supply data; large draws typically support oil prices and inflation expectations. 🔹 FOMC Member Miran Speaks (Med): Additional Fed commentary could reinforce or contradict recent policy signals. 📅 Thursday, Mar 26 🔴 Unemployment Claims (High): The most timely labor market indicator; rising claims support the case for Fed rate cuts. 🔹 Natural Gas Storage (Med): Influences energy prices and inflation expectations, particularly during seasonal demand shifts. 🔹 FOMC Member Cook Speaks (Med): Often focused on labor market health and inflation dynamics. 🔹 FOMC Member Miran Speaks (Med): Repeated Fed commentary this week increases the risk of messaging shifts impacting markets. 🔹 FOMC Member Jefferson Speaks (Med): As Vice Chair, his tone on inflation and policy path carries significant market weight. 🔹 FOMC Member Barr Speaks (Med): Banking stability and credit conditions comments could influence financial sector sentiment. 📅 Friday, Mar 27 🔹 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment (Med): Consumer confidence influences spending expectations and economic growth outlook. 🔹 Revised UoM Inflation Expectations (Med): A critical Fed-watched metric; rising expectations could delay rate cuts. 🔹 FOMC Member Daly Speaks (Med): Typically influential voice on labor market and inflation balance. 🔹 FOMC Member Paulson Speaks (Med): Markets will parse comments for guidance on future monetary policy. 🌍 Geopolitical / Macro Risk Watch 🔹 Russia-Ukraine War: Energy markets remain sensitive to supply disruptions or escalation headlines affecting oil and gas prices. 🔹 Middle East tensions: Any escalation affecting shipping lanes or oil infrastructure could rapidly push energy prices higher. 🔹 US-China tech and trade tensions: Semiconductor restrictions or tariff rhetoric could impact global equities and supply chains. #CryptoNews #EconomicEvents #MarketWatch #Bitcoin #USData

#Bitcoin LTF plan I still have faith that $BTC sees 80K before 50K, as we see a bounce in Tradfi over the next few trading days. ⚠️ I don't want to see this weeks low lost, otherwise its going to break back down to range lows or lower! #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin Liquidity Sandwich 🥪 $BTC is sandwiched between liquidity pools at 50K and 80K. Will we see both runs this month? FOMC today — will J. Powell and his Fed cronies add fuel to the fire or pour water on it? That will give a good indication whether #Bitcoin reaches 80K or hits 50K first. #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin liquidity hunt 🎯 I'm still looking for a bit higher to take some of this upside liquidity before another drop later in Q2 and Q3 this year as the real impact pf the Middle East Conflict is realized in the data. #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin LTF plan After a successful back test of the broken down trend and holding 70K over the weekend, $BTC looks like it wants higher. I just needs to clear the 38.2 fib and early march high / Apr 25 resistance, which isn't going to be easy. ⚠️ Lose 71K now and range lows are coming! #Crypto #BTC

@CryptoCapo_ The ability to keep some things private, is a basic human right.

While news and market conditions take up most of the attention right now, the structural need for privacy remains. My December thesis hasn't changed: privacy is no longer a luxury, but a basic need. Especially as AI agents start moving billions on-chain. It should become one of the main narratives these next few years. This article breaks down why programmable ZK proofs are the only way to scale this without living in a glass house. Good technical read.

#Bitcoin LTF plan 70K is critical, $BTC needs o get back above and hold for another attempt at a range break out. If it can do that then high 70K's / low 80K's will be on the cards before the end of the month. #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin liquidity Sandwich 🥪 Liquidity to the upside in the LTF. Will $BTC finally break out of this range and push higher this week? #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin LTF plan Well 70K was lost and $BTC has struggled to reclaim it. A retest from below is likely IMO but unless there is a catalyst it will likely result in a Lower High and further downside. 👀 70k is key, looking at a test and the reaction. This Range is going to play out for a while longer IMO. #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin liquidity Sandwich 🥪 The liquidity picture has changed some what since last week, with a large volume of longs stacked all the way back to the range lows. I wouldn't be surprised to see a bit of a bounce to test the underside of 70K and then to see these longs get cleaned out! #Crypto #BTC

🚨 This Week's Market Movers: Mar 9–13, 2026 🚨 This is an inflation-dominated week. Wednesday’s CPI sets the macro tone, but Friday’s Core PCE + GDP + JOLTS cluster will drive Fed rate expectations and cross-asset volatility across equities, bonds, FX, and crypto. With markets already sensitive to inflation and liquidity expectations, any surprise in price pressures or labor demand could spark sharp moves. 🇺🇸 High-Impact US Economic Events: 📅 Monday, Mar 9 (No major US releases scheduled — markets typically position ahead of CPI week.) 📅 Tuesday, Mar 10 (No major US releases — positioning and macro headlines likely dominate.) 📅 Wednesday, Mar 11 🔹 Core CPI m/m (High): Fed-watched inflation gauge excluding food/energy; upside surprises quickly reprice rate-cut expectations. 🔹 CPI m/m (High): Monthly inflation momentum; short-term inflation shocks can drive immediate moves in yields and USD. 🔹 CPI y/y (High): Big-picture inflation trend; confirmation of disinflation supports risk assets, while stickiness pressures equities and crypto. 📅 Thursday, Mar 12 🔹 Unemployment Claims (High): Most timely labor-market signal; sustained rises signal cooling jobs and support easing bets. 📅 Friday, Mar 13 — 🔥 Major Macro Cluster 🔹 Core PCE Price Index m/m (High): The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge; a key input for policy decisions and rate-cut timing. 🔹 Prelim GDP q/q (High): Early estimate of economic growth; strong growth with sticky inflation complicates Fed policy. 🔹 JOLTS Job Openings (High): Measures labor demand; falling openings indicate easing labor tightness watched closely by the Fed. 🔹 Core Durable Goods Orders m/m (Med): Clean business investment signal; strength suggests resilient corporate spending. 🔹 Durable Goods Orders m/m (Med): Volatile capex indicator often influenced by aircraft orders but still a growth proxy. 🔹 Prelim GDP Price Index q/q (Med): Inflation component of GDP; confirms or contradicts CPI/PCE trends. 🔹 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment (Med): Consumer confidence signal; sentiment shifts can influence equity risk appetite. 🔹 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations (Med): Key Fed-watched metric; rising expectations are a red flag for policymakers. 🌍 Geopolitical / Macro Risk Watch 🔹 US–China trade and tech policy tensions: Any tariff or semiconductor restrictions could move global risk assets and supply-chain stocks. 🔹 Ukraine war developments: Energy markets remain sensitive to escalation or sanctions headlines. 🔹 Middle East instability: Oil price spikes can feed directly into inflation expectations and macro volatility. #CryptoNews #EconomicEvents #MarketWatch #Bitcoin #USData

@MacroCRG Congrats m8, keep those swimmers swimming.

Got some really exciting news to finally share I’m gonna be a dad It’s a boy 🫡

#Bitcoin LTF plan Still looking for Mar-May to play out something like this. #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin LTF plan I'm still looking for that pink box to get tapped in the coming weeks, but BTC must hold onto the 70K's this week and build a base first. ⚠️Lose 70K and i will reconsider altogether. #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin liquidity Sandwich 🥪 The thick slice of upside taken liquidity has been taken, but i still think there is more to come before the lower levels and below get tested once again. #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin liquidity hunt 🎯 So close, they won't leave that liquidity un touched for long! #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin LTF plan If $BTC is to continue higher from here without sweeping the lower, i don't want to see any H4 close below 68K. Ideally that level is the test and then up from there. #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin liquidity Sandwich 🥪 Lower liquidity below is think compared to above. I'm not ruling out a drop lower as markets digest the war in the middle east, but I think in March we see the 2 large liquidity zones above get run through, before any longer sideways & down. #Crypto #BTC

#Bitcoin LTF plan I am still looking for the 80Ks to get hit this month, the question is will the markets freak out today and give that final swipe down and the opportunity to buy lower first? or will we see $BTC go up from here? Either way, I'm bullish for a nice bounce in March. #Crypto #BTC