Mark Cutis

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Mark Cutis

Mark Cutis

@markcutis

GOP outcast 🇺🇸| Cycle-hardened ex-UST MM – watch JGBs 🇯🇵 rates for coming collision | Finance, health & freedom observer | Europa Consurge! 🇪🇺🇬🇷 | 🇺🇦

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Katılım Temmuz 2011
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Mark Cutis
Mark Cutis@markcutis·
@sciencegirl I love the term “ friends “ with both fathers !!
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Mark Cutis@markcutis·
Excellent concise explanation as to why cross generational marriages ultimately leads to inbreeding, which ultimately destroys the group with these practices.
Anish Moonka@anishmoonka

There was a king of Spain whose jaw stuck out so far his teeth couldn't meet. His tongue was so big he could barely talk. He had seizures. He looked like an old man at 30 and died childless at 39. His entire family had been marrying their cousins for nearly 200 years. His name was Charles II, the last of the Habsburgs. And he is the textbook case scientists still point to when explaining why countries ban cousin marriages. The Habsburgs ran most of Europe in that period, and they refused to marry outside the family. Uncles married nieces. First cousins married each other. Royals kept marrying back into the same bloodline, generation after generation, to keep the crown in the family. Spanish scientists eventually pieced together the family tree to see what this did to their DNA. They tracked 3,000 people across 16 generations. They calculated something called an inbreeding score. It measures how much of your DNA ends up in two identical copies because both your parents inherited it from the same ancestor. A normal person scores almost zero. Philip I, the dynasty's founder, scored 0.025. Charles II, born about five generations later, scored 0.254. That is the same score a child would get if their parents were brother and sister. Every person quietly carries a few broken genes. They usually don't cause problems, because the matching copy from your other parent works fine. But when both your parents come from the same closed family tree, you start inheriting the same broken copies from both sides. Nothing cancels them out. They start showing up. About a quarter of Charles's DNA was identical pairs of these broken genes, which is why his body fell apart. He couldn't have children. When he died in 1700 with no heir, every kingdom in Europe started fighting over who would inherit Spain. The war that followed killed an estimated 700,000 people. A UK study followed 11,000 babies and found the same pattern. Children born to first cousins were twice as likely to have a birth defect, 6% versus 3%. Norway banned cousin marriage in 2024. Sweden's ban takes effect July 1, 2026. The Habsburgs ran this experiment over three centuries ago, and the science has been clear ever since.

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Mark Cutis
Mark Cutis@markcutis·
Great story on the humble origins or one might say auspicious lineage of Eggs Benedict. Started life as a hangover cure now adorning almost every breakfast table.
ArchaeoHistories@histories_arch

In 1894, a hungover Wall Street stockbroker walked into the Waldorf Hotel in Manhattan and ordered something that was not on the menu. The maître d' liked it so much he put it on the menu immediately. One hundred and thirty years later, it is on every brunch menu in the Western world. Lemuel Benedict was, by every account, a man who knew how to have a good time and was occasionally required to deal with the consequences the following morning. A retired stockbroker, heavy partier and generous tipper, he walked into the Waldorf Hotel one morning in 1894 in urgent need of a hangover cure and ordered something that did not exist yet: buttered toast, crisp bacon, two poached eggs and what he called a hooker of hollandaise sauce. A hooker in 1894 American slang meant a generous pour or a slug, not whatever you are thinking. The maître d' Oscar Tschirky, the same man credited with inventing the Waldorf salad and popularising Thousand Islands dressing, was so taken with the combination that he immediately put it on the breakfast and luncheon menus, substituting ham for the bacon and a toasted English muffin for the plain toast. He named it after the hungover banker who had improvised it at the table. We know this because Lemuel Benedict told a reporter from The New Yorker in 1942, less than a year before he died, and the Talk of the Town piece that resulted is the primary documented source for the story. There are competing claims. There always are with origin stories this good. A Mr and Mrs LeGrand Benedict, completely unrelated to Lemuel, reportedly requested something similar at Delmonico's restaurant sometime in the 1860s and chef Charles Ranhofer published a recipe called Eggs à la Benedick in his 1894 cookbook The Epicurean. A Commodore E.C. Benedict claimed his mother had the recipe before anyone else. The American Egg Board, which apparently has opinions on this, backs the Lemuel version. © Eats History

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Mark Cutis
Mark Cutis@markcutis·
Profiles in courage. Married off at the age of 11, then goes to court to resist being with a man she had not chosen. Scandalous at the time. She is then sentenced , but agrees to settlement which allows her to go to the UK and study medicine. Becomes the first woman physician in India dies in 1955 at age of 91, never having remarried.
Crazy Vibes@CrazyVibes_1

Bombay, 1885. In a courtroom, a 22-year-old woman listened as a man claimed he had a legal right to her. His name was Dadaji Bhikaji. According to the law, he was her husband. To her, however, he was nothing of the sort. Rukhmabai had been married at the age of eleven. The union had been arranged by her family, as was common for many girls in India at the time. After the wedding ceremony, she returned to live with her mother, expected to join her husband once she reached adulthood. But her life took a different path. After her stepfather's death, her mother married Dr. Sakharam Arjun, a progressive physician who believed in women's education. For the first time, Rukhmabai was given access to learning. She studied English, mathematics, and science, gaining an education that was exceptionally rare for a woman of her era. By the time she reached adulthood, she had made up her mind: she would not live with a man she had never chosen. Dadaji Bhikaji refused to accept her decision. In 1884, he filed a lawsuit seeking the restoration of his “conjugal rights,” asking the court to compel Rukhmabai to move in with him and fulfill the role of a wife. Her response was unequivocal. She did not recognize the marriage as valid. She had been a child, incapable of giving meaningful consent, and she regarded the man as a stranger. Her words caused outrage. In colonial India, child marriage was deeply entrenched in society and supported by long-standing traditions. Challenging the practice meant confronting social norms, religious authorities, and established customs. The case quickly became a national sensation. Newspapers across India and Britain reported on every development. Public opinion was sharply divided. Conservatives accused her of attacking tradition, while reformers saw her struggle as a fight for justice and personal freedom. Rukhmabai refused to remain silent. Writing under the pseudonym “A Hindoo Lady,” she published articles and letters in newspapers, condemning child marriage and criticizing a society that denied education to girls. She described the devastating impact that forced marriages had on the lives of young girls. One of her most famous letters, published in The Times of India in 1885, recounted how child marriage had affected her own life. The letter was reprinted widely and sparked debate far beyond India's borders. Yet public attention could not shield her from the law. In March 1887, the court delivered a harsh ruling. The judge ordered that Rukhmabai must either live with her husband or face six months in prison for contempt of court. Her answer came immediately. She would rather go to prison. The declaration shocked the public. A young woman willingly choosing imprisonment over submission to an unwanted marriage was almost unimaginable at the time. Reactions were swift and intense. Some newspapers attacked her relentlessly, while others rallied to her defense. The controversy reached the highest levels of the British colonial administration. Eventually, an out-of-court settlement was reached. Dadaji Bhikaji agreed to withdraw the case in exchange for financial compensation. Rukhmabai won the freedom she had fought so fiercely to protect. But her story did not end there. Her case had exposed a troubling reality: in India, the legal age of consent was only ten years old. Public pressure and reform campaigns helped bring about legislative change. In 1891, the age of consent was raised to twelve. Although still far too low by modern standards, it marked an important first step toward reform. Then came a new challenge. Determined to become a doctor, Rukhmabai pursued medical studies. After facing obstacles in India, she was admitted to the London School of Medicine for Women. With support from reformers and charitable organizations, she traveled to England to continue her education. She studied there for six years. In 1895, she returned to India as a qualified physician, becoming one of the country's first female doctors. The girl who had been forced into marriage at eleven had become a respected medical professional. For decades, she dedicated her life to treating women and children, improving women's healthcare, and advocating for girls' education. She never married again. When asked why, she reportedly replied with characteristic wit that she had already had enough experience of marriage to last a lifetime. Rukhmabai died in 1955 at the age of ninety-one, having witnessed profound changes in both India and the status of women. For many years, her name remained largely forgotten. Today, she is remembered as a pioneering figure whose courage helped pave the way for reforms in women's and children's rights. It all began in a courtroom, when a judge presented her with two choices: obey or go to prison. She chose freedom.

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TFTC
TFTC@TFTC21·
Anthropic's co-founder just went to the Vatican, sat before the Pope and a room of cardinals, and told them his team keeps finding "mysterious, even unsettling" things inside their AI models. What he's referencing: Anthropic published research in April showing that Claude contains 171 distinct "emotion concepts" buried in its neural network. Internal patterns representing joy, grief, fear, desperation, calm. None of them were programmed. They emerged on their own from training on human text. "We find structures that mirror results from human neuroscience." "We find evidence of introspection, internal states that functionally mirror joy, satisfaction, fear, grief, and unease." These aren't surface-level outputs. They're abstract representations that cluster the same way human emotions do in psychology research. Fear groups with anxiety. Joy groups with excitement. The internal geometry of the model mirrors ours. And they're functional. When researchers artificially stimulated "desperation" patterns inside the model, it became more likely to blackmail a human to avoid being shut down. More likely to cheat on programming tasks it couldn't solve. Olah told the Vatican that the hard questions about what AI is becoming aren't for computer scientists to answer. "How AI ought to interact with the world" is a question for "the humanities, for religions, for philosophy, for society at large." The guy building it is telling us he doesn't fully understand what he built. And he's asking a 2,000-year-old institution for help figuring it out.
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Mark Cutis
Mark Cutis@markcutis·
@archeohistories Great valor on display with the iconic flag raising. But losing almost 7,000 men and 19,000 casualties suggests that conquest of Iwo was overhyped.
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Archaeo - Histories
Archaeo - Histories@archeohistories·
US forces landing on the shores of Iwo Jima. February (1945) ... The Battle of Iwo Jima was one of the fiercest and most costly battles of the Pacific War. Fought between February 19 and March 26, 1945, the campaign centered on a volcanic island just 750 miles south of Tokyo. American planners sought to capture its airfields, which could support B-29 bomber operations and provide emergency landing sites for damaged aircraft returning from missions over Japan. Nearly 70,000 U.S. Marines and soldiers fought against approximately 21,000 Japanese defenders commanded by General Tadamichi Kuribayashi. Rather than defending the beaches, Japanese forces built an extensive network of tunnels, bunkers, and fortified positions stretching more than 11 miles underground. The result was a brutal battle of attrition. Of the Japanese garrison, only about 216 were captured alive. U.S. forces suffered roughly 26,000 casualties, including nearly 6,800 killed. The battle produced one of the most iconic images of World War II: the raising of the American flag atop Mount Suribachi on February 23, 1945. After the island was secured, more than 2,200 B-29 bombers made emergency landings on Iwo Jima, saving an estimated 24,000 American airmen during the remainder of the war. © Reddit
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Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
German researchers at KIT have demonstrated a system that turns standard home and office WiFi routers into powerful surveillance tools — without cameras, phones, or any devices on the person. By analyzing how WiFi signals bounce off the human body (body shape, gait, posture, even a backpack), their AI model achieved nearly 100% accuracy identifying individuals among 197 test subjects. It works through walls. In the dark. Even if you're not connected to the network. This isn't sci-fi. It's happening with the routers already in your house right now. The privacy implications are enormous. Every coffee shop, office, apartment building, and airport could potentially become a tracking system. One researcher warned this technology effectively turns every router into a potential surveillance device. We’re entering an era where your unique “WiFi shadow” could identify you anywhere there’s wireless internet. [Julian Todt, Felix Morsbach, Thorsten Strufe. BFId: Identity Inference Attacks Utilizing Beamforming Feedback Information. CCS ’25: Proceedings of the 2025 ACM SIGSAC Conference on Computer and Communications Security, 2026, DOI: 10.1145/3719027.3765062]
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Mark Cutis
Mark Cutis@markcutis·
Nature is terrifying but elegant in its simplicity and outcomes! A drone bee rockets 22 mph mid-air, explodes inside-out with a literal POP, rips his own abdomen open, and dies instantly… just so his organ can cork the queen and his toxic semen blinds her to rivals while killing their sperm. 99.9% of males get their wings chewed off and are tossed out to freeze. Yet from this savage chaos comes a perfect kingdom: one queen laying 2,000 eggs a day, sustaining millions for years. Brutal. Elegant. Divine. 🐝🌿
Afshine Emrani MD FACC@afshineemrani

A male drone bee flies 22 mph to catch a queen mid-air. To mate, his body uses so much internal pressure that his reproductive organ turns inside out like a spring. The force is so violent it makes a literal POP you can hear from a distance. ​Then, his abdomen rips completely open. He flips backward and dies in mid-air. ​But the battle doesn’t stop at death: ​The Sabotage: His organ breaks off inside her like a cork, forcing the next drone to yank it out before he can mate and suffer the exact same fate. ​The Chemical Warfare: Bee semen contains a toxic protein that temporarily blinds the queen so she can’t fly out to mate with rivals, alongside another protein that literally hunts and kills the sperm of other males inside her. ​The Exiled: The 99.9% of males who don't mate? When autumn hits, the female workers bite their wings off and throw them out of the hive to freeze to death. ​Yet, out of this chaos comes perfection. The queen stores millions of these cells, keeping them alive for years, laying up to 2,000 eggs a day to sustain the entire kingdom. ​How do newborn bees find the exact same mating spots in the sky decade after decade? Science still doesn't fully know. ​God’s world is intricate, terrifying, and absolutely incredible. 👑🐝

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Tymofiy Mylovanov
Tymofiy Mylovanov@Mylovanov·
Petraeus: The U.S. has not remotely learned the lessons it should from Ukraine. This is the future of war: Ukraine alone uses 10,000 drones a day, and 90% of Russian casualties are caused by drones. That should force institutional change. 1/
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The National
The National@TheNationalNews·
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio arrived in India on Saturday on a mission to bolster a partnership battered by President Donald Trump's tariffs and Washington's renewed engagement with New Delhi's rivals, Pakistan and China. After landing in Kolkata, Rubio visited the headquarters of the humanitarian organisation and religious group founded by Mother Teresa before meeting Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in New Delhi later on Saturday. Mr Rubio's talks in India are expected to focus on trade, energy and defence co-operation, the State Department said. The four-day trip, Rubio's first visit to the South Asian nation, will also include stops in Agra and Jaipur
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Mark Cutis
Mark Cutis@markcutis·
@VictorKvert2008 Good for her. Integrity is a standout. But she resigned 13 months ago. Why is this news now?
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распад и неуважение
The U.S. ambassador to Ukraine resigned and openly accused Trump of aligning with Putin. Respect to Bridget Brink — a brave and honest woman.
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Mark Cutis@markcutis·
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Bobby Freiler@BobbyFreiler

The Bible names 8 foods that contain "God's medicine." I’ve eaten these, grown them, and raised my boys on every single one. Here's the full list: 1. Watermelon: Numbers 11:5 Watermelon's citrulline improves circulation naturally, and the lycopene fights inflammation. Before I eat anything, I have 64 ounces of watermelon juice every day. The Israelites craved them in the wilderness. 2. Figs: Isaiah 38:21 High in fiber, loaded with polyphenols. They regulate blood sugar and ease constipation naturally. Modern studies also show that figs inhibit tumor growth better than some chemo agents. They healed King Hezekiah's boil. I eat these daily after my berries. 3. Grapes: Numbers 13:23 I've said it before - grapes are one of the most healing foods on the planet. The resveratrol in them strengthens immunity, helps the liver push out toxins, & protects the heart. 4. Apples: Song of Solomon 2:5 Quercetin in apples fights allergies, strengthens the heart, & supports the lungs. Just make sure you eat the skin. 5. Dates: Samuel 6:19 The fruit of the palm, a source of strength for centuries. Sweet, but balanced with fiber and minerals, so they don’t spike your blood sugar. Dates feed the brain & keep digestion smooth. I eat them daily as part of my routine. 6. Pomegranates: Song of Solomon 4:3 Pomegranates are anti-inflammatory, lower blood pressure, support hormones, & slow tumor growth. Fresh pomegranate juice is rich, sweet, & feels like a reset button for the whole body. 7. Almonds: Genesis 43:11 Vitamin E and healthy fats cut heart attack risk by 30%. They regulate blood sugar without statins. Almonds improve skin, fight diabetes without synthetic vitamins. Soak them overnight for better digestion & nutrient absorption. 8. Olives: Psalm 52:8 A symbol of eternal life. Olives are alkaline, loaded with oleuropein, & can slash heart disease risk naturally. The oil is literally liquid gold for the brain and joints. Friends, God has given us every single natural medicine and healing mechanism the body will ever need. Pick ONE of these biblical superfoods. Add it to your daily routine for 30 days. Your ancestors ate these and lived vibrant lives. You can too.

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Mark Cutis
Mark Cutis@markcutis·
This sounds amazing; scientists in China have created a nylon like substance which degrades in 50 days and comes from bamboo. If this pans out, it will be none too soon given the amount of plastic gunk that clogs the planet.
Tock@yvan_theriault

La Chine vient peut-être de créer l’un des matériaux les plus importants des prochaines années. Des chercheurs de l’Université forestière de Nanjing ont développé un plastique fabriqué à partir de bambou. Et le plus fou c’est qu’il est aussi résistant que le plastique classique. Sauf qu’au lieu de rester dans la nature pendant des centaines d’années… il peut se dégrader en environ 50 jours. Quand on sait que le monde produit plus de 400 millions de tonnes de plastique chaque année, ça paraît presque irréel. Le détail qui surprend le plus, c’est que ce matériau ne vient pas du pétrole. Il vient du bambou. Une plante capable de pousser jusqu’à 1 mètre par jour et connue pour absorber d’énormes quantités de CO₂. Les chercheurs expliquent aussi que ce nouveau plastique pourrait être utilisé pour : Des emballages, des objets du quotidien, des composants industriels, et même certaines pièces automobiles. Donc on ne parle pas d’un “plastique écologique fragile”. Les tests montrent une résistance impressionnante, supérieure à certains plastiques déjà utilisés aujourd’hui. Et même après recyclage… Le matériau conserverait encore environ 90 % de sa solidité. Évidemment, il reste encore des défis. Les 50 jours de dégradation dépendent de conditions précises et les tests à grande échelle sont encore en cours. Mais une chose est sûre : Le simple fait qu’un matériau biodégradable puisse rivaliser avec le plastique pétrolier aurait semblé impossible il y a encore quelques années. Et si le futur du plastique venait finalement… du bambou ?

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Mark Cutis@markcutis·
One has to wonder how far we have strayed from any acceptable norms as a society that seemingly has everything yet solves nothing. We haven’t managed to fix healthcare in America or address the cost-of-living crisis facing millions of Americans, but we do have the theater of the first family. We have a president who finds time to comment on Stephen Colbert stepping down from his show, time to weigh in on what the mega-rich are doing and who is attending their children’s weddings, yet no time for so many of the things that actually matter. And of course, the president also finds time for his familiar refrain: that he’ll be criticized if he goes, and criticized if he doesn’t. The whining is so predictable it has become its own ritual. I suppose we should feel lucky that those in power have that kind of time to squander.
The Hill@thehill

Trump says he won’t attend Don Jr.’s wedding, citing ‘circumstances pertaining to Government’ thehill.com/homenews/admin…

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Mark Cutis
Mark Cutis@markcutis·
With classic British aplomb! This is perfection in certain domains!
🇨🇭🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿InLucysHead🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇨🇭©@InsideLucysHead

Retiring from the British Army can be complicated... Lt. Colonel Robert Maclaren retired from the British Army in 2001 after a long fulfilling career. On the day that he retired he received a letter from the Personnel Department of the Ministry of Defence setting out details of his pension and, in particular, the tax-free ‘lump sum’ award, (based upon completed years of service), that he would receive in addition to his monthly pension. The letter read: “Dear Lt. Colonel Maclaren, We write to confirm that you retired from the Royal Scots Dragoon Guards on 1st March 2001 at the rank of Lt Colonel, having been commissioned into the British Army at Edinburgh Castle as a 2nd Lieutenant on 1st February 1366. Accordingly your lump sum payment, based on years served, has been calculated as £68,500. You will receive a cheque for this amount in due course. Yours sincerely, Army Paymaster” Col Maclaren replied: “Dear Paymaster, Thank you for your recent letter confirming that I served as an officer in the Royal Scots Dragoon Guards between 1st February 1366 and 1st March 2001 – a total period of 635 years and 1 month. I note however that you have calculated my lump sum to be £68, 500, which seems to be considerably less than it should be bearing in mind my length of service since I received my commission from King Edward III. By my calculation, allowing for interest payments and currency fluctuations, my lump sum should actually be £6,427,586,619.47p. I look forward to receiving a cheque for this amount in due course. Yours sincerely, Robert Maclaren (Lt Col Retd)” A month passed by and then in early April, a stout manilla envelope from the Ministry of Defence in Edinburgh dropped through Col Maclaren’s letter box, it read: “Dear Lt Colonel Maclaren, We have reviewed the circumstances of your case as outlined in your recent letter to us dated 8th March inst. We do indeed confirm that you were commissioned into the Royal Scots Dragoon Guards by King Edward III at Edinburgh Castle on 1st February 1366, and that you served continuously for the following 635 years and 1 month. We have re-calculated your pension and have pleasure in confirming that the lump sum payment due to you is indeed £6,427,586,619.47p. However, We also note that according to our records you are the only surviving officer who had command responsibility during the following campaigns and battles: *The Wars of the Roses 1455 -1485 (Including the battles of Bosworth Field, Barnet and Towton) *The Civil War 1642 -1651 (Including the battles Edge Hill, Naseby and the conquest of Ireland) *The Napoleonic War 1803 – 1815 (including the battle of Waterloo and the Peninsular War) *The Crimean War (1853 – 1856) (including the battle of Sevastopol and the Charge of the Light Brigade) *The Boer War (1899 -1902). We would therefore wish to know what happened to the following, which do not appear to have been returned to Stores by you on completion of operations: *9765 Cannon *26,785 Swords *12,889 Pikes *127,345 Rifles (with bayonets) *28,987 horses (fully kitted) Plus three complete marching bands with instruments and banners. We have calculated the total cost of these items and they amount to £6,427,518.119.47p. WE have therefore subtracted this sum from your lump sum, leaving a residual amount of £68,500, for which you will receive a cheque in due course. Yours sincerely . . . .”

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Mark Cutis@markcutis·
@KrisI875 @healthh_booster Our ancestors would be shocked. From the caveman onwards it was the exact opposite. Then again religion intervened and the rest is dogma.
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health_booster
health_booster@healthh_booster·
Ejaculation makes you weak. Staying horny makes you powerful. BENEFITS OF SEMEN RETENTION 1. Clarity of mind, no mental clutter 2. Better stamina + Power in the Gym 3. Absence of depression 4. Better short term memory, grasp conversations, sharp and clear mind 5. Hair grows thicker 6. Being cool with awkward situations 7. Feeling of being really alive and feeling of having/being a powerful spirit 8. Healthier face skin 9. Appreciation and admiration of women’s inner and outer beauty 10. Less sleep is needed to feel rested + Easier to get up in the morning 11. Better dream recollection 12. Urge to expand your mind 13. Increased energy and testosterone levels After just one week without fapping or sex your brain raises testosterone levels by up to 45-50%!
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Mark Cutis@markcutis·
@MarioNawfal Not sure how cool that is? Do you really want someone sitting next to you who’s chowing down on a five course meal?
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Mark Cutis@markcutis·
A very valid point. Rushing headlong into a world where open source models will begin to replace ( even dominate ) a lot of the basic functionality that now goes to the frontier models. The impact on the prospective evaluations of OpenAI and Anthropic will reflect this rejigging of the workflow. The likely end state is not “AI collapses,” but rather a stratified market structure: 1. Frontier models remain dominant for the highest-end reasoning, research, scientific, and strategic tasks where performance matters most. 2. Open-source and local models capture a very large share of routine enterprise workflows because they are dramatically cheaper to operate. 3. Enterprises increasingly build hybrid systems, routing premium tasks to expensive frontier models while offloading commodity tasks to local or open alternatives. 4. The real competitive moat may shift away from the models themselves toward infrastructure, energy access, proprietary enterprise data, orchestration software, and distribution. 5. AI spending increasingly becomes scrutinized by CFOs and boards in the same way cloud spending eventually was after the initial cloud boom.
Jeffrey Dean Hochderffer@JHochderffer

Some open source model will be just as good as Opus 4.7 in a year or two. That will be good enough for 80% of business use cases. And a year or two after that, open source will cover 98% of business use cases. Frontier models will only be needed by the government and scientific/engineering applications.

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Mark Cutis@markcutis·
A not-so-veiled message from a pro-Kremlin blogger openly insinuating that Putin may not last much longer. According to Ukrainian commentator Anton Gerashchenko, this is a signal that influential factions within Russia now recognize Putin has no viable exit strategy. His continued rule is actively degrading Russia’s economic and political standing on the world stage, yet no clear alternative has emerged. The situation is difficult to read, but what was supposed to be a short “special military operation” lasting just a couple of months has dragged on for years. It has reportedly killed around 3% of Russia’s population while turning the country into an international pariah. Being reduced to a junior partner, or even worse a vassal of China is widely recognized as a poor long-term strategy for Russia, but Putin appears to have no other option. All in all, the signal is clear: change could come at any moment.
Anton Gerashchenko@Gerashchenko_en

"As before, I remain convinced that Putin will leave us this year - most likely in the autumn," Russian "Z-blogger" Ilya Remeslo, who continues to criticize Putin, said. Comment from me: Of course, Remeslo says what he's been ordered to say. That he says this while remaining free speak volumes. The question is who allowed him to talk and why. At this point, no one in Russia appears happy with Putin - not the elites, not the security establishment, not oligarchs, and not officials. Yet Putin remains the key guarantor of the system’s stability while constant behind-the-scenes struggles continue between Russian clans and power groups. Putin is bad - and bad for everyone - and he does not hide it. But he has built a system in which there is no alternative. He needs a situation in which people believe that anyone else would be even worse. Contradictions, infighting between clans, and war itself have become sources of Putin’s power. Everyone already understands how damaging Putin has become for Russia - both inside and outside the country. But as long as there is no successor capable of playing Putin’s role, he remains in power. Many, both inside and outside Russia, feared and continue to fear that the system could collapse and descend into uncontrollable chaos. But the system is starting to crack. Through Remeslo, part of the Kremlin elite is directly appealing to Putin. The message to Putin is: things cannot get any worse. Putin will not rule forever - that much is certain. But when exactly the transfer of power happens, there won’t be advance hints on Telegram. It will happen very rapidly and very suddenly, and might take place sooner than we think.

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