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marquessed
524 posts
marquessed
@marquessed
Delusional optimist
London, England Katılım Aralık 2024
627 Takip Edilen124 Takipçiler
liking the look of aerodrome-finance:native, monero:native, solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv for some swing longs
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$btc $80k is the current ceiling for a move up, then $82k. Dealers will sell into any rally, and buy dips given net long gamma >$77.5k. Losing $76k will result in sharp moves to downside. on PA I'd like to see this materialise into reclaim of 12D/25DEMA to resume uptrend into early may range
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extremely excited to see the back of this tweet pump dump fest
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone
PEACE DEAL NEARLY DONE Following calls with leaders from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Pakistan, Türkiye, Egypt, Jordan, Bahrain, Israel, and others, a major peace agreement involving the U.S. and Iran is close to final approval. Final details are now being discussed and will be announced soon. The Strait of Hormuz is also expected to reopen. — President Donald J. Trump
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@Haybeecrypto passive supply. liquidation dynamics tied over weekly positioning. ETFs have been distributing but there are still marginal spot buyers at 76. if we go higher weakness / distribution comes into play at monthly high (~80k)
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@marquessed Interesting mix of liquidity + macro here. Do you see the 76k level as more of a passive supply wall, or active distribution tied to leverage flush mechanics?
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$btc treading a fine line. supply at $76k remains strong with solid and rising +OB depth. bulls won't give up without a fight. push through $76k to clear SLs and leverage not impossible before continuation.
lower next week if core PCE surpise to upside
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smashed through ~$81k sell wall with massive +D. now need to hold.
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concern here is with a loss of momentum from spot buyers / perp speculators. $btc momentum has been waning ~$80k. I would like to see some convincing spot flows / speculation positioning alongside holding >$80k for continuation, I have a short bias here yet to be disproved
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breakdown yesterday to the April range. would like to see a push into <onday lows / reclaim, otherwise back into EMAs and lower $btc
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started to scale into $hype long here. strong positive OB depth, perps / spot flows returning, both confluent with April close, current / last week VAL. Like also additional alignment with RSI and Stoch RSI at lows. Expect ~$40 to be a fight and prefer longs here despite fud.
Aware we are structurally in a downtrend so will also entertain a short on retest of 12/25D EMAs (+this week's POC) if I see weakness.
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coinbase ETF buyer(s) held ~$80k last round. expect for this buyer(s) to return at ~$80k to defend (in or around) otherwise think we go lower $btc
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