Economist from Mars

6K posts

Economist from Mars

Economist from Mars

@mars_eco

Gestor internacional de investimentos, empreendedor, economista, pai, libertario, e ultra-anti-esquerda, CARAJO.

Miami Beach, FL Katılım Kasım 2022
378 Takip Edilen67 Takipçiler
Cris†o Vive | †
Cris†o Vive | †@siigacristovive·
A parte mais assustadora da Arca de Noé não foi o dilúvio. Foi o próprio barco. Deus definiu cada detalhe: o tamanho, a largura, o tipo de madeira, o revestimento. Mas não havia leme, nem vela, nem motor. Noé não estava no controle da direção. Ele não era o capitão, ele estava ali confiando, sendo conduzido por Deus.
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ZAYVEN KNOX
ZAYVEN KNOX@ZayvenKnox·
🚨TOMORROW WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! 99% of people will lose everything. Iran just REJECTED all negotiations with the U.S. The peace deal is officially CANCELLED. And the Strait of Hormuz is CLOSED again. When the market opens on Monday, this won’t be “just another dip you can buy.” Stocks will collapse. Metals will dump. Crypto will take the hardest hit. Insiders are already selling. They’re not taking profits. They’re building cash positions because something deeper is starting to break. The dollar is weakening in real time. This is not a one-day shock. This is pressure building across multiple fronts at the same time. And now another layer has been added: The U.S.–Iran peace deal is officially dead. After 2 weeks of negotiations, Iran walked away and rejected the terms. That changes everything. Because when diplomacy fails, uncertainty becomes IMMEDIATE. And markets don’t price “possibility.” They price escalation. There are only a few ways this plays out from here, and they are NOT equal: 1⃣ SOFT OUTCOME Backchannel talks resume, tensions cool, markets stabilize after initial volatility. 2⃣ ESCALATION PHASE No progress, tensions build, and markets begin pricing prolonged conflict risk. 3⃣ HARD BREAK The situation deteriorates rapidly, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and the market reprices oil, risk, and global stability in hours. That last one is where things get dangerous. Because this isn’t happening in isolation. At the same time: → Bonds are being sold aggressively → Yields are rising fast → The dollar is losing stability → Liquidity is tightening Now connect the dots. When geopolitical risk collides with a fragile financial system, reactions don’t stay contained. They COLLAPSE. Oil doesn’t move slowly. It reprices violently. Capital doesn’t rotate calmly. It rushes to safety all at once. And risk assets? They don’t “dip.” They DUMP HARD. This is how chain reactions begin. Because once markets start pricing duration instead of shock, everything changes. Inflation expectations rise. Central banks get trapped. And policy responses come too late. That’s when the real damage happens. This could still pass as a short-term scare. But if markets start pricing escalation into next week... This is no longer noise. This is a regime shift. Not a pullback. Not a buying opportunity. A STRUCTURAL CHANGE in how risk is priced across the system. Pay attention to flows. Watch oil. Watch bonds. Watch volatility. Because once this accelerates, it doesn’t give you time to react. I’ve spent years tracking macro trends and market reactions like this. When the next move becomes clear, I’ll share it here. Follow and turn notifications on. Because by the time it hits the headlines, it’s already too late. For the Next Update Please Follow @ZayvenKnox and Comment 'Update' and Stay Tune with me.
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JH Fonseca
JH Fonseca@JHdaFonseca·
Não entendo quem em sã consciência pode achar melhor comprar um bond do JP Morgan para 2040 do que comprar a própria ação do banco, ou até mesmo um ETF de S&P500. Why???
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SweetMarie
SweetMarie@Oceanbreeze473·
Canadians, what’s your pick?
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Al Jazeera Breaking News
Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has described the five permanent members of the UN Security Council as “Lords of War.” He called on them to stop acting like “emperors” and waging war on poorer countries.
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Tumulto BR
Tumulto BR@TumultoBR·
Olha que interessante!!! Os 10 países onde MENOS se trabalhou em um ano para pagar impostos em 2023: 1. Maldivas: 0 horas 2. Emirados Árabes Unidos: 12 horas 3. Bahrein: 36 horas 4. Qatar: 36 horas 5. Bahamas: 58 horas 6. Luxemburgo: 59 horas 7. Omã: 62 horas 8. Suíça: 63 horas 9. Irlanda: 76 horas 10. Seicheles: 76 horas Os 10 países onde MAIS se trabalhou em um ano para pagar impostos em 2023: 1. Brasil: 2.600 horas ( é mais que o dobro do 2º colocado! ) 2. Bolívia: 1.080 horas 3. Vietnã: 941 horas 4. Nigéria: 938 horas 5. Venezuela: 864 horas 6. Bielorrússia: 798 horas 7. Chade: 732 horas 8. Mauritânia: 696 horas 9. Senegal: 666 horas 10. Ucrânia: 657 horas Fonte: Banco Mundial "O Brasil tem a maior carga tributária do mundo para pagar a MAIOR CORRUPÇÃO DO MUNDO" Medicamentos 36% Motocicleta de até 125 cc 44,40% Luz. 45,81% Telefone 47,87% Motocicleta acima de 125cc 49,78% Gasolina 57,03% Cigarro 81,68% PRODUTOS ALIMENTÍCIOS BÁSICOS Carne bovina 18,63% Frango 17,91% Peixe 18,02% Sal 29,48% Trigo 34,47% Arroz 18,00% Óleo de soja 37,18% Farinha 34,47% Feijão 18,00% Açúcar 40,40% Leite 33,63% Café 36,52% Macarrão 35,20% Margarina 37,18% Molho tomate 36,66% Ervilha 35,86% Milho Verde 37,37% Biscoito 38,50% Chocolate 32,00% Achocolatado 37,84% Ovos 21,79% Frutas 22,98% Álcool 43,28% Detergente 40,50% Saponáceo 40,50% Sabão em barra 40,50% Sabão em pó 42,27% Desinfetante 37,84% Água sanitária 37,84% Esponja de aço. 44,35% PRODUTOS BÁSICOS DE HIGIENE Sabonete 42% Xampu 52,35% Condicionador 47,01% Desodorante 47,25% Aparelho barbear. 41,98% Papel Higiênico 40,50% Pasta de Dente 42,00% MATERIAL ESCOLAR Caneta 48,69% Lápis 36,19% Borracha 44,39% Estojo 41,53% Pastas plásticas 41,17% Agenda 44,39% Papel sulfite 38,97% Livros 13,18% Papel 38,97% Agenda 44,39% Mochilas 40,82% Régua 45,85% Pincel 36,90% Tinta plástica 37,42% BEBIDAS Refresco em pó 38,32% Suco 37,84% Água 45,11% Cerveja 56,00% Cachaça 83,07% Refrigerante 47,00% LOUÇAS Pratos 44,76% Copos 45,60% Garrafa térmica 43,16% Talheres 42,70% Panelas 44,47% PRODUTOS DE CAMA, MESA E BANHO Toalhas 36,33% Lençol 37,51% Travesseiro 36,00% Cobertor 37,42% ELETRODOMÉSTICOS Sapatos 37,37% Roupas 37,84% Aparelho de som 38,00% Computador 38,00% Fogão 39,50% Telefone Celular 41,00% Ventilador 43,16% Liquidificador 43,64% Batedeira 43,64% Ferro de Passar 44,35% Refrigerador 47,06% Microondas 56,99%
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Elma
Elma@oelma__·
What should We call this colour 😲
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💥LoLo💥
💥LoLo💥@ZOrtiz99·
What would you call this body type?!
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Paulo Gala
Paulo Gala@paulogala·
BNDES financiou. Embrapa pesquisou. Petrobras perfurou. ITA formou. Tudo com recurso público. Décadas de investimento estatal. Depois dizem que o setor privado fez tudo sozinho.
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Washington Corrêa
Washington Corrêa@washington_ac·
@folha Funkeiro bolsonarista é isso mesmo. 👍
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TheBetterPath
TheBetterPath@TheBetterPath_·
Who would you give the seat to first ?🧠
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