Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Merlin
31 posts
Merlin
@merlin_future
Copy Trade Polymarket Top Traders
Katılım Nisan 2026
11 Takip Edilen54 Takipçiler
Three traders. One day. Six figures each. Zero shared playbook.
Lakersfan111
+$339,500 / +169% (24h)
Diversified sports portfolio, but one trade did 80% of the P&L: T20 Cricket Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka, bought Sri Lanka at 76c.
$917 entry. Closed +$277,000.
The other 50 positions were filler.
Maxdaboss1
+$195,100 / +49% (24h)
NBA-only. 49% lifetime win rate. Loses more bets than he wins.
But today: Timberwolves vs Spurs, bought Wolves ML at 22c. Single position. Closed +$210,000.
Conviction trading. Small wins are noise the big underdog calls are the entire P&L.
DimSumConnoisseur
+$150,100 / +487% (24h)
Lowest volume in the top 5. Traded $30,000. Returned $150,000.
Five NHL Stanley Cup futures, all in profit: No on Wild 94c, No on Canadiens 92c, No on Sabres 92c, Yes on Hurricanes 27c, Yes on Vegas 11c.
Reading the bracket position by position.
100% win rate, lifetime.
Three edges, one day:
- One asymmetric bet, rest is filler
- One high-conviction underdog ML
- Five precision plays on a single bracket
The leaderboard rotates daily. Today's top isn't yesterday's.
All three can be copied on Merlin.
English
Stop choosing. Copy both ⚡️
The interesting move from yesterday's post isn't picking which wallet beats the other. It's running them in parallel.
Half allocation to swisstony: you get a high-frequency reader making ~95 conviction-sized calls a month across eight sports. Weekly cashflow from short-cycle markets that resolve in days.
Half allocation to Countryside: you get a six-month structural bet on the 2026 World Cup, eleven longshot legs already in profit, every contender narrative between now and the final repricing your basket for free.
Two uncorrelated edges. One is reading and reacting. The other is positioned and waiting. They generate PnL at completely different time horizons, in completely different markets, from completely different sources of alpha.
That's a real portfolio. Not "pick the winner." Not "diversify across ten random whales." Two distinct, complementary playbooks running at once, both visible on-chain, both copiable in two clicks.
This is what copy-trading is actually for.
The leaderboard isn't a ranking of who to follow. It's a menu of edges to combine.
Merlin@merlin_future
Same category. Same month. Same top of the leaderboard. Nothing else in common swisstony human trader +$533,000 112 predictions across Man City, Atlético, Chelsea, PSG, Lazio, Bayern, Wuxi tennis, Algeria. Eight sports across four leagues Position sizes range $1.8K to $23K, no two alike. Winrate 85% Reads matchups one at a time, sizes by conviction Countryside trading bot +$807,000 20 predictions, all on the same market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner. Every position is Yes on a different country: Brazil 8.6¢, Spain 15.3¢, England 11.1¢, Argentina 8.6¢, Portugal 7.4¢, and seven more Win rate 100% so far Doesn't read matchups. Buys every viable longshot in one event and waits for repricing The human makes 95 separate decisions a month. The bot made one decision once: World Cup tail outcomes are mispriced and buy them all Both work. Neither is replicable by the other Both can be copied on Merlin
English
Same category. Same month. Same top of the leaderboard. Nothing else in common
swisstony
human trader
+$533,000
112 predictions across Man City, Atlético, Chelsea, PSG, Lazio, Bayern, Wuxi tennis, Algeria. Eight sports across four leagues
Position sizes range $1.8K to $23K, no two alike. Winrate 85%
Reads matchups one at a time, sizes by conviction
Countryside
trading bot
+$807,000
20 predictions, all on the same market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner.
Every position is Yes on a different country: Brazil 8.6¢, Spain 15.3¢, England 11.1¢, Argentina 8.6¢, Portugal 7.4¢, and seven more
Win rate 100% so far
Doesn't read matchups. Buys every viable longshot in one event and waits for repricing
The human makes 95 separate decisions a month. The bot made one decision once: World Cup tail outcomes are mispriced and buy them all
Both work. Neither is replicable by the other
Both can be copied on Merlin
English
The trade isn't over.
Six of rdba's eleven legs are still in single digits: Israel at 4.1¢, Italy at 2.7¢, Sweden at 2.5¢, Romania at 2.1¢, Ukraine at 1.5¢, Malta at 1.3¢. Same structure, same entry, none of them have moved yet.
Eurovision is two weeks of price discovery away from resolving. Rehearsals start dropping next week. Frontrunners have historically moved 10+ cents in a single day on staging reveals and what reprices a frontrunner reprices the field.
Finland was 2¢ in December. It's 34.6¢ now. That move didn't happen at the final. It happened across five months of slow signal aggregation, with most of the violence concentrated in the last fortnight.
Any one of those six legs catching a strong rehearsal week, a viral pre-party clip, or a televote pattern from the semis prints the next Finland. The math on a 2¢ → 15¢ leg is the same +650%.
rdba already entered. Merlin already mirrors it.
The window to copy structure rather than chase a winner closes May 16.
Merlin@merlin_future
Best PnL on Eurovision Winner 2026 isn't a winner pick. It's 11 countries at 2c A wallet under the handle rdba bought Yes on 11 different countries in December at 2-2.3c each. ~$83,000 in Today the basket is worth ~$349,000 Finland: 2c → 34.6c (+1,604%) Greece: 2.3c → 18.8c (+705%) Denmark: 2c → 12.6c (+517%) Australia: 2.1c → 7.8c (+275%) France: 2c → 7.6c (+271%) Six more positions still open. Net unrealized: +$265,000 The edge is structural: Eurovision opens in December and resolves in May. National selections, pre-parties, and rehearsals reprice the field for five months. Any 2c leg moving from tail to contender returns 5-15x Final May 16 Сan be copied on Merlin
English
Three traders. Three sports. $2,700,000 in a week
№1 surfandturf: +$911,000 / +379.7%
UFC Fight Night, exclusively. 21 closed positions, biggest wins on Carlos Prates (+$71,000) and Brando Pericic (+$35,000).
Merlin Score 92.
№2 bossoskil1: +$908,000 / +273.4%
LoL esports LCK matches only. All six active positions in profit: HANJIN BRION legs at +$172,000 and +$32,000, BNK FEARX at +$54,000 and +$28,000.
№3 Anon: +$857,000 / +364.3%
NBA and NHL playoffs. Sabres ML +$298,000, Raptors ML +$200,000, Ducks ML +$176,000. The only Likely Human in the top 3.
The pattern: each traded one sport deeply, none spread across crypto, politics, or culture markets. Specialization won the week.
All three can be tracked or copied on Merlin
English
Best PnL on Eurovision Winner 2026 isn't a winner pick. It's 11 countries at 2c
A wallet under the handle rdba bought Yes on 11 different countries in December at 2-2.3c each. ~$83,000 in Today the basket is worth ~$349,000
Finland: 2c → 34.6c (+1,604%)
Greece: 2.3c → 18.8c (+705%)
Denmark: 2c → 12.6c (+517%)
Australia: 2.1c → 7.8c (+275%)
France: 2c → 7.6c (+271%)
Six more positions still open. Net unrealized: +$265,000
The edge is structural: Eurovision opens in December and resolves in May. National selections, pre-parties, and rehearsals reprice the field for five months. Any 2c leg moving from tail to contender returns 5-15x
Final May 16
Сan be copied on Merlin
English
Take Profit and Stop Loss are now available for copy trading in Merlin.
Previously, copy trading worked as a full mirror every trade
from the target wallet was replicated until the trader closed
the position themselves. That's fine when your capital is
comparable to theirs. If it's smaller, any deep drawdown
is felt in full on your side.
TP/SL adds independent position management:
- Take Profit closes the position once it reaches your set level
- Stop Loss closes it when it hits your loss threshold
The target trader continues to operate on their own strategy.
Your position is managed separately, within your own risk profile.
Available in the settings of any copy trading config.
English
$426,645 all-time. 1,673 predictions. all the money on NBA
trader doesn't bet on teams. he trades patterns
track his wallet through @merlin_future: merlin.trade/go/ct_0xa38a45…
while most people go long on the favorite because "they're stronger"
he looks for where the market mispriced the probability and takes the other side.
no hype. no narratives. just size + patience + execution when the edge is there
that's what a consistent pnl curve looks like on sports markets
English
Anon trader on Polymarket since March.
In 2 months +$633,379 across 31,698 predictions
The strategy is the opposite of what most people copy on Polymarket.
→ Doesn't bet on favorites
→ Enters ONLY underdog positions at 0.5-25c
→ In moments when retail panic-dumps one side
→ Waits for mean reversion and resolve in his favor
31,698 trades in 2 months = ~530 a day.
But not HFT arb. It's a mean-reversion algorithm that
scans every BTC/ETH/XRP/Solana Up-or-Down market
and waits for one side to crash to 0.5-15c on panic.
When retail dumps one side at 95% conviction on the
outcome, the market often reverses. The bot catches that
pattern and takes the other side. ROI on individual trades
runs as high as 18,000%+.
Hook up Merlin copytrade bots like this straight
from Telegram. It fires dozens of underdog entries a day
no chance to keep up by hand. Follow the wallet,
trades mirror automatically.
English
@merlin_future interesting strategy i didn't think you could make money like that
English
One trader on Polymarket pulled +$481,124 in 2026
at an average return of 1-3% per trade.
Username: bobe2. 1,423 predictions over 2 years.
$8.8M in open positions right now.
Strategy in one line:
→ Enters markets that have ALREADY almost resolved
→ Prices at 95-99с, consensus formed, the market knows the answer
→ Buys the last 0.5-5 cents to 100с
→ Waits for the official resolve, captures the spread
He doesn't predict events. He trades the gap between
"the market knows the answer" and "the oracle officially
resolves it."
That gap is nearly risk-free, but it takes capital and
patience. Most traders skip it. 2% per trade looks boring.
bobe2 runs it 1,423 times. And on $8.8M of capital, those
2% stack up to half a million a year.
Thousands of micro-trades, compounding.
Hook up Merlin copytrade accounts like this straight
from Telegram. Follow the wallet, trades mirror automatically.
English
gopfan2 doesn't predict the weather.
NOAA publishes forecast updates 4 times a day.
Polymarket prices lag by 5-30 minutes.
All he does is enter that window, wait for the market
to reprice the update, and close the position.
1,985 times over 18 months. Same pattern.
Merlin@merlin_future
One trader on Polymarket pulled +$1.53M over 18 months. Not on sports, not on politics, not on crypto On the weather Username: gopfan2. Joined August 2024, 1,985 bets, #1 on the all-time weather leaderboard. Strategy in one line: → NOAA updates forecasts every 6 hours → Polymarket prices lag by 5-30 minutes → He enters before the market reprices → He exits once it has He doesn't predict the weather better than meteorologists. He trades the gap between what the models say and what the order book shows. The rule: buy YES <15с or buy NO >45с only when the GFS+ECMWF ensemble disagrees with the price. Thousands of micro-bets, compounding. A systematic trader who found a structural edge on one public data feed and has been pressing it for 18 months straight. Hook up Merlin copytrade accounts like this straight from Telegram. Follow the wallet, trades mirror automatically.
English