Mike Cohen

From telecom → auctions (£200M platform) → Web3 → now AI-assisted systems. Lately I’ve been building bigmarket.ai (prediction markets) 🥇 1st DeFi 🥈 2nd overall (90+ teams) Now exploring AI for market creation + dispute resolution Open to collaboration

@EylonALevy Good for Spain! Let's hope other follow..

Spain has withdrawn its ambassador from Israel and reopened its embassy in Tehran. Everything you need to know about Pedro Sanchez' Spain, now an open ally of the Iranian Axis.

@WarClandestine Trump turned your trillion dollar military into murderers of little girls. And for what?

Holy shit. Sounds like Iran folded! Trump says he came to an agreement with Iran, via Pakistani intermediaries, that he has called off the bombings for tonight, to make way for a two week two-way ceasefire, in exchange for Iran no longer sabotaging the Strait of Hormuz! In other words, Iran cried “uncle”, and they are ready to make a deal, or so they say. Trump was applying maximum pressure to force the Iranians to capitulate. ART OF THE DEAL!

@mitchellvii Nice example of wishful thinking!

If you were designing a cross-chain prediction market today: would you prioritise: unified liquidity local execution per chain Is there a way to get both without introducing heavy bridging?

Strange moment recently: The auction platform I worked on is still running major auctions today. Some of that code is 10+ years old. Made me realise: Good systems don’t just work — they last.. #Bitcoin

@realHelenAng @EddieG3141 @DanielLDavis1 This is propaganda! The US supported Iraq to wage an 8 year war against Iran - Saddam used chemical weapons. 300k Iranians lost their lives in the war. Before this the US sabotaged Iranian democratically elected leader. Why would not they hate the Americans?

Eddie, when they say “Death to America”, they want you dead, your country destroyed. Take them at their word. To the Ayatollahs, you’re the “Great Satan”. Tell me, which country in the world is perpetually chanting “Death” to another country? Why do you think Iran has its weapons arsenal & missile sites buried deep underground & is pursuing the nuke?

BREAKING: Four U.S. aircraft reported either shot down or damaged over Iran today: 1 F15, 1 A10, 2x Blackhawks This, after SecWar Hegseth & Chairman of Joint Chiefs Gen. Caine continue to tell America all of Iranian air defenses have been obliterated. Self-evidently that was untrue. The Intercept has revealed in the last 24hrs that Pentagon officials have also been hiding actual U.S. military casualty numbers. Why is the White House and Pentagon so opaque with the American people on the truth of this war? The justification for launching this war of choice was also an absolute lie - the alleged "imminent threat" of a nuclear Iran, even after the same Admin claimed their ability had been "obliterated" last year. Further, they lied to us by claiming the Iranian regime was "as weak as it has been in 47 years" prior to the war, implying that all we needed was a hard push and they'd collapse. That obviously didn't happen either, and now here we are, with a rising casualty count, increasing numbers of combat losses - now into the many billions of dollars - and the allegedly weak Iranian government and military firmly in control of the Strait of Hormuz. We have no military means to force it open, and we've forfeited the option of negotiations, because we twice lied to Iran about good-faith diplomacy, only to reveal that we used it as cover to launch military ops. This is the bitter fruit of fraud and arrogance. I fear we've yet to find out how deep the cost will be before this war finally comes to an end.

Bitcoin has identity. Ethereum has composability. Solana has UX. what if you didn’t have to choose? #BigMarket is starting to explore cross-chain participation without moving assets across chains. very early, but direction feels right.

What’s the cleanest primitive for cross-chain apps? bridge assets everywhere deploy per chain sign intent + settle in one place Feels like (3) might be under-explored — curious what others think?

Building prediction markets, one thing stands out: The hard part isn’t the smart contracts. It’s incentives that don’t break under real use. In BigMarket: – creators stake (can be slashed) – dispute voters stake (can lose) Otherwise it gets gamed fast.

Working on dispute resolution in BigMarket. Code can’t always determine truth. So you need mechanisms where people resolve disputes. Currently exploring: – staking + slashing – supermajority voting – AI-assisted inputs Feels like code + game theory + UX.

Crypto conference on the South Downs? 🐄 #Stacks #Bitcoin

@herogamer21btc Yep - still here !

Who’s still here in stacks?

More detail on what I’ve been building: – BigMarket → bigmarket.ai Wrote a longer breakdown here: mikecohen.hashnode.dev/what-i-ve-been… Happy to chat if you’re working on similar problems.

From telecom → auctions (£200M platform) → Web3 → now AI-assisted systems. Lately I’ve been building bigmarket.ai (prediction markets) 🥇 1st DeFi 🥈 2nd overall (90+ teams) Now exploring AI for market creation + dispute resolution Open to collaboration

@saifedean Yes but he's not a child. Israeli aggression and US stupidity are two separate problems.

Trump was not only dragged into war by his Israeli masters, he also has to pay & give Israel weapons & watch & tweet impotently as Israel decides to escalate the war by destroying energy infrastructure with catastrophic impacts for the whole world.

@DanielLDavis1 Trump is in an escalation trap.. this exact scenario has been understood and taught in US unibersities for years. His choice is surrender or sending in thousands of US troops.. Americans should unite and sacrifice Trump for the good of everyone. He had been a disaster!

Why is it so hard for US politicians to "rule anything in or out" when it comes to US troops on the ground in the Iran War? It's not that hard, folks. The answer is 100% 'no.' Look at the topographical map below and note the virtually impregnable *series* of mountain ranges along the entire Western side of the country. Note, too, the green, level terrain of Iraq to the west, and realize that when I was part of the US invasion force into Iraq in 1991 (and the US coalition in 2003), we were able to drive into Iraq from friendly countries, over level terrain, where the defending force had nowhere to hide or defend from. Iran, in contrast, is built for defense. We simply do not have the number of troops in our entire ground forces that could be mustered to make such an attack, and even if we foolishly did order them in, they would be defeated in the many mountainous ridges and valleys that give decisive advantage to the defending force. In short, yes, reject any idea of a ground invasion of Iran. It would be suicidal, and on par with Hitler's fatal decision to invade the USSR in September 1941. It would result in the destruction of the American empire.

I’ve received a lot of criticism for the Morning Note’s coverage of this absurd new war. Most has centered around the idea that the newsletter “sounds like a Democrat” because it doesn’t get on its knees for the president when he abandons his campaign promises. My response is simple: I do not care. My allegiance is not to the Republican Party, MAGA, or any trivial political faction that’s more concerned about upholding toxic partisanship than serving our country. It is to America. I voted for Trump twice, but not because I worship the man’s every move. I did it because I believe in the idea that he purported to champion of ending globalist and neocon rule. I’m America First, he said he was America First, so I proudly gave him my support. Now that he’s turned the White House into a submissive wing of the Netanyahu government, I will not stand by and spin his embrace of the precise agenda he ran against as anything other than what it is: an America Last betrayal of our country’s citizens. I am not a political hack. This isn’t The Sean Hannity Show. The cruel reality is that American voters have no say over how their government operates. We get Israel First no matter which party we put in power. 2024 featured Trump, who has since outed himself as an Israeli lapdog, and Kamala Harris, who refused to commit to the bare minimum of ending the unconditional funding of ethnic cleansing in Gaza. If not Kamala, it would have been Biden, who in 2002 rigged Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearings to ensure America would adhere to Netanyahu’s demands and overthrow Saddam even though he posed no threat to our country. Doesn’t that sound familiar? As Marjorie Taylor Greene said on Monday, the United States is no longer a nation divided by Left and Right. Given our present state of affairs, when considering giving a politician your vote, the most important question is whether they believe our government exists to serve our people. The forces pushing this war unquestionably do not. They view Washington as a servant of a foreign nation. It is grotesque. Our Founders would have hated it. I am a registered Republican, but I will support a pink-haired, Mamdani-loving liberal who believes in America First before casting a ballot for a “conservative” like Ted Cruz or Lindsey Graham. Don’t get me wrong, I would definitely prefer someone on the Populist Right. But even if I disagree with Zohran on issues like homelessness, which I vehemently do, I know he wants to use his office to serve his people. Debates about how to best do so are important, but they cannot credibly occur until we know that both sides of the “political aisle” would never sell out our country in favor of globalism. Tragically, despite the last election, such an assertion is currently impossible. I once received advice that to have a successful editorial career, journalists must pick a side, dig their heels in, and commit. I suspect that is largely true. The difference between now and the past is that “Republican” and “Democrat” are no longer the options. America First and globalist are. I choose the former, regardless of what it means for the precious and apparently highly sensitive GOP. And I’m not sorry. It’s time to reshuffle the deck.

An unarmed Iranian ship was invited to take part in an Indian naval exercise alongside the United States. Its sailors were welcomed on land and paraded before the president as a gesture of cooperation. Then, at the last moment, the United States abruptly withdrew from the exercise,only to turn around and torpedo the very ship it had just stood beside. What followed was even more grotesque. After attacking an unarmed vessel, the US refused to rescue the sailors it had thrown into the sea, abandoning them to drown. The grim work of recovering bodies was left to the Sri Lankan Navy. This wasn’t warfare,it was treachery of the most disgraceful kind: an ambush carried out under the pretense of diplomacy, followed by a cold refusal to show even the most basic human decency to the dying. It would represent a collapse of every norm that supposedly governs civilized conduct at sea. And yet, instead of outrage, much of the American media response has been indifference or rationalization. The bombing of a girls’ school is brushed aside; talk of carpet-bombing Tehran is floated as if it were just another policy option. When atrocities are normalized and cruelty is laundered into “strategy,” the line between reporting and complicity begins to disappear.

@Stacks @adam_haun #BigMarket here!

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