moat seeker

If you just put your entire portfolio into $GOOGL last April and then sat on the beach, you'd be up +155% in one year… You stupid idiot.

Howard Marks: “Let your winners run.” This is probably one of the most underrated investment advice. I bought $AMD at $100 in early 2025, I could have sold at $150, $200, $250.. Today it’s about to cross $310 and I am still holding even though it looks fairly valued now. Because exceptional companies tend to surprise on the upside. You shouldn’t sell them unless their fundamentals are broken or the price is egregiously expensive. Hold onto your winners.

ServiceNow $NOW dips premarket amid UBS cut + rising AI pressure from Anthropic. UBS downgraded the stock to ‘NEUTRAL’ from ‘BUY’. There’s a growing debate whether the selloff in SaaS stocks is overdone; key names including $CRM, $INTU, and $ADBE, trade at multi-year lows.

NEW: We are short ADMA Biologics $ADMA. We believe the ASCENIV growth story is in reality a story of channel stuffing and an undisclosed related party distributor. Real revenues declined 3% in 2025 vs. 20% reported growth. It's already over. Full report available on our website.

Let me explain what just happened 👇 5 minutes before the President announced a halt to attacks on Iran… someone placed a $1.5 BILLION bet on stocks going up and dumped $192 million in oil. 5 minutes… These trades were 4 to 6 times larger than anything else in the entire market. Whoever did this wasn’t guessing. You don’t risk $1.5 billion on a hunch. There was zero public indication this announcement was coming. No leaks. No press. Nothing. The only people who knew were in the room when the decision was made. Someone in that room picked up a phone. And within minutes they made more money than most Americans will earn in a thousand lifetimes. In a single trade. On a war that cost you $4+ a gallon gas and $16 billion in tax dollars. American citizens funded this war. Politicians are profiting from it. This is not the first time. Every major announcement from this administration has had massive suspicious trades right before it dropped. Tariff reversals. Policy shifts. War decisions. This is the most blatant insider trading operation in the history of American politics. It’s not even close. And it’s happening over and over in broad daylight. You would go to federal prison for trading on a tip from your cousin. These people are front running war decisions with billion dollar bets and nobody will ever ask a single question. Nobody will be investigated. Nobody will be charged. By tomorrow this will be buried under the next satisfying headline. Just like last time. And the time before that. The game is rigged. And they’re not even trying to hide it anymore…

$DLO - The only 4 charts that matter. - TPV = 60% increase YoY - Gross Profit = 37% increase YoY - Take Rates = Declining but to be expected. (normal take rate at 2.68%, net take rate at 0,99%. - NRR: 162%! I don't care what the market does here, this is stellar performance.