Momosato🧙♂️
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Momosato🧙♂️
@mommosato
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Querida Paloma: la campaña no es para jugarreticas. El debate que propones lo esquivaste tú misma cuando nos citó Luis Carlos Vélez y todos habíamos aceptado. ¿Cambias de posición después de los resultados de las encuestas? Quieres hablar de diferencias: ahí están, claras. El pueblo lo sabe; la gente no es tonta como creen los políticos. Tú con los de siempre; yo con los nunca. Y tu fórmula impulsa una agenda frente a la que estamos totalmente en contra. Ahora, lo serio: invítame al “debate” que tienes esta noche con Iván Cepeda. Dime la hora, el lugar y allá les caigo. P. S. Me aseguraré de ponerme medias. (A.D.L.E) 🇨🇴🐅

I read Basenji’s thread on Colombian polls. At first glance it looks sharp. Structural. Technical. Confident. But the more you read it, the clearer it gets: this is not neutral analysis. It’s positioning. And Polymarket is already starting to catch on 👀🧵

A la ciudadanía:


🇨🇴🗳️ Why Colombian polls disagree by 9 points in the same week. A structural read.🐾🧵 Three pollsters surveyed Colombia in the same week of April 2026. AtlasIntel, Invamer, Guarumo. Same country, same electorate, overlapping field windows. Their numbers diverge by 6 to 9 points on the central variables. Most people focus on which one is right. The more useful question is why they diverge at all. The answer is structural and it points to Law 2494/2025.

I read Basenji’s thread on Colombian polls. At first glance it looks sharp. Structural. Technical. Confident. But the more you read it, the clearer it gets: this is not neutral analysis. It’s positioning. And Polymarket is already starting to catch on 👀🧵


I read Basenji’s thread on Colombian polls. At first glance it looks sharp. Structural. Technical. Confident. But the more you read it, the clearer it gets: this is not neutral analysis. It’s positioning. And Polymarket is already starting to catch on 👀🧵


I read Basenji’s thread on Colombian polls. At first glance it looks sharp. Structural. Technical. Confident. But the more you read it, the clearer it gets: this is not neutral analysis. It’s positioning. And Polymarket is already starting to catch on 👀🧵












