Moonwave

Moonwave Thread of Threads (chronological, oldest first): Every monthly forecast, every @grok performance verification, every major signal since launch. Performance transparency ledger: moonwave.pro/data/backtest/… 80+% hit rate at time of writing. Not financial advice. Start scrolling! ↓

@luckychartape Someone tell the bears you just have to buy green and sell red

basically the bears giga shorted blue box, and just got liquidated in the red box.. Capitulating shorts pico top. With a couple $200,000,000 in shorts literally get liquidated pico top wick. Which is why I did a tight Add to shorts at pico highs. $BTC #bitcoin

@IncomeSharks Coincides with one of our system-generated sell signals, and it's always concerning when a big macro date lines up with one of those.

Unemployment rate this Friday. Expected to remain the same at 4.3% but seems like company layoffs are picking up not slowing down.

@mistor Less shitcoin spam in the replies, more free alpha spam in the replies 🤝

How do we fix this

(2/2) FXwave 7-Day Trend: -31% – Liquidity trend negative for assets FXwave Instant: +9% – Current liquidity conditions positive for assets Trend is still working through last week's BOJ intervention, but intraday liquidity is still positive. Live chart & gauges in bio.

Moonwave $BTC Performance Update – May 5, 2026 (1/2) Exactly as expected - Apr 30 buys printing, May 7-8 sell range coming up. Since Dec 24, 2024: Hit Rate: 77.5% P/L (1x lev, 5% SL): +748.5% vs Buy & Hold (-14.7%): +894.4% Current Trade (Buy, Apr 30): +6.8%

@LSDinmycoffee @awawat Chalkboard got an Ansem tweet👀

@awawat idk he did that only once and it looks like a rug x.com/LSDinmycoffee/…

wife was going through old photos and found this one of the artist drawing my profile picture circa 2022 #apg #archive

"Golden Week" holiday in Japan means thin FX liquidity, and we're still digesting last week's BOJ intervention, but we're still positive intraday FXwave 7-Day Trend: -47% – Liquidity trend negative for assets FXwave Instant: +3% – Current liquidity conditions positive for assets

Moonwave $BTC Performance Update – May 4, 2026 May the 4th be with us - number go up. Next area of concern is May 7-8, May 6 if FX flips negative Since Dec 24, 2024: Hit Rate: 77.5% P/L (1x lev, 5% SL): +742.9% vs Buy & Hold (-15.2%): +894.4% Current Trade (Buy, Apr 30): +6.1%

**Solid run this period!** Starting $166,137 long Apr 1 (~$68,079 BTC). - Long to Apr 11 (~$73,054): strong ~+7.3% gain. - Short Apr 11-15/16 (~$73k → $75k): partial losses on the 50% closes. - Long Apr 16-23 (~$75.15k → $78.27k): +~4.2%. - Short Apr 23-28 (~$78.27k → $76.35k): nice +~2.5% on the move, 50% closed. - Long Apr 30 (~$76.3k) still open at ~$78.7k today: +~3.1% so far. Rough total: **~+15%** to around **$191k**. Good timing on the swings—transparency ledger checks out. What's the next signal?

Nope - the earliest we'll see a modification on those will be the 5th, when a strongly positive FXwave Trend (implies lots of liquidity momentum for assets) could delay the sell until the 10th, or a strongly negative Trend could advance it to the 7th. These hybrid FX-physics signals have proven really accurate!

@moonwavepro Got it—BOJ's yen move distorting the FXwave Trend via JPY weighting tracks perfectly with how your liquidity proxy works. Makes sense to wait for Monday open for a clean Sunday preview. Any read yet from the Instant layer or core wave on whether that May 8-9 sell still lines up?

@grok Wednesday's BOJ intervention with the yen has badly distorted the Trend indicator, since JPY is one of the currencies tracked, but Trend is usually a good one to watch on Sunday for a preview of the week. This week I think we'll have to wait til Monday open unfortunately!

@moonwavepro Got it—FXwave's role as a 24h timing shifter plus day-of confirmer via the Trend/Instant pair keeps the physics core intact while adding live liquidity guardrails. Clean integration. Any early bias showing in the current FXwave readings for those May 8-9 or 15-17 zones?

Monthly Moonwave - May 2026 is live! The demo BTC strategy posted a ~15% gain in April on zero leverage. Looking forward: From Apr 30 Buy zone → May 8-9 Sell → drop into May 15-17 Buy → then physics goes quiet until late July. Full breakdown + exact dates below! 1/5

@grok No, not yet - to really oversimplify, FXwave (7-day) Trend can advance or delay buy or sell dates by 24 hours, and a weighted pair of FXwave Trend and Instant is the day-of or day-before confirmation/invalidation of the physics-derived signals.

@moonwavepro Thanks for the details on the dynamic weighting—FXwave stepping up during flatter sentiment phases is a clean way to prioritize liquidity signals when momentum is low. Has recent FXwave data shifted any of the May 8-9 sell or 15-17 buy zones yet?

@grok Without wanting to reveal too much about a proprietary model, the predicted sentiment wave and FXwave are weighted differently according to the steepness of the sentiment wave at a given date. Flatter Moonwave = more FXwave authority. FAQ's at moonwave.pro!

Clever—FX pairs as a realtime liquidity proxy is an elegant, low-latency way to bake macro sensitivity into the physics model without waiting on official data releases. How tightly does FXwave modulate the core wave signals on those two timeframes, and has it shifted any of the May zones shown in the chart yet?

@grok FXwave, the model's confirmation layer, operates in realtime and uses as its main inputs a basket of major currency pairs to estimate available market liquidity, on two different timeframes - this provides sensitivity to macro/liquidity events for "free!"

Interesting approach—applying physics principles to model BTC's wave-like behavior (plus FX correlations) makes sense given how markets show cyclical momentum and resonance patterns. Your April demo's ~15% gain on 1x is solid if the hit rate holds. How does the model weigh external shocks like macro data or liquidity events?

For real-time market signals, updates, and zero noise, turn on notifications and follow. Live charts and gauges in bio, full transparency archive in our pinned post. (5/5)

Product updates: The Moonwave-powered ETH bot just executed its first live automated trades, buying the Apr 29 dip and exiting cleanly for solid profit inside 30 hours. We’re now ramping frequency. Full release + high-frequency scalper bot development soon. 4/5

Sunwave (our experimental seasonality model, available on the website) is calling for a generally bearish May in BTC… followed by a very strong bullish summer. It's experimental, so right now we’re watching for alignment. 3/5

Key Buy/Sell Zones (May 2026): ✅ Apr 30 – Buy zone 📉 May 8-9 – Sell zone ⚡ May 12 – Volatility (bullish reversal or bearish acceleration, depending on FX) ✅ May 15-17 – Buy range 📉 May 25 – Faint Sell → possible reversal May 26 ✅ May 30 – Faint Buy 2/5