Nolan

Here are the 2024 Aim Stats for over 500 pros (min. 90 maps played) public.tableau.com/app/profile/no…

officially getting started on 2025 aim data compilation

Fun fact, at Big Events in 2025: ropz #3 - 3930 Rounds Played - 2918 Kills donk #2 - 3151 (-779) Rounds Played - 2926 (+8) Kills so yeah donk outfragged ropz in 43 less maps played lmao

this is just bad

Listen to this podcast: youtube.com/watch?v=VbasiD…

okay why is my last article already my 3rd most viewed ever lol

Not included in the article: Before not playing a FACEIT match on September 16th, the last time nocries didn't play on FACEIT before then was August 11th. In that timespan he played 299 matches on FACEIT.

nocries Aim Data Analysis: nomiun.substack.com/p/nocries-aim-…

the streets knew

@wessonmo round win rate at big events, bounty -> austin

@n0miun What’s the comparison variable?

For those curious:

@NER0cs @Bruh87894966 @gadj_man something like an expected win rate where you balance out how many ecos/anti-ecos/full buy rounds a team plays and look at what you'd expect their win rate to be given that

@NER0cs @Bruh87894966 @gadj_man yeah if you eco adjusted the round win rate similarly it would probably line up

@Bruh87894966 @NER0cs @gadj_man I mean it was included in 2.0/2.1 too so I wouldn't really qualify that as *the* issue.

@n0miun @NER0cs @gadj_man Oh yeah definitely but kast is part of it but for sure not the only factor. I only brought it up because it’s just kinda the most obvious thing that I have doubts should be included in a rating formula

@Bruh87894966 @NER0cs @gadj_man it's more complicated than that

@NER0cs @gadj_man @n0miun Just looking through all of the different aspects of rating 3.0 and 2.1, I’m pretty sure kast is what is bringing down the correlation win round win%.

@izbayev4380 donk at Big Events so far this year is +3.84, ZywOo is +3.43, subtract the median for both and you get +3.65 and +2.52

@izbayev4380 It does show in the Rating 3.0 article that AWPers still average around +1 round swing while Openers are much closer to average. If you take that into account then donk's round swing would be higher.

@Bruh87894966 average of awpa/r and wpa/r

@n0miun Also what is balenced wpa? I assume adjusted wow is the role adjusted one but idk what balanced is.

@1x0NN 3.0 weighs different rounds differently while round win% means all rounds are worth the same. I'd imagine if you looked at gun round win rate the correlations would be different.

@n0miun hmm. my thought was if rating 3.0 is built using smth similar to WPA why is it worse than 2.1 then?

@1x0NN It's specifically my version, there are ton of little bits and bobs HLTV has in their version that makes it significantly different.

@n0miun wpa = round swing, right?

donk, being an entry fragger rifler, somehow has a higher KD-diff per 24 rounds than all the AWPers from the current HLTV top 10 teams