Nate

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Nate

Nate

@nathanieljcox

Digital Assets, TradFi, Consulting. Options & Futures. Tweets are my own.

The Netherlands Katılım Haziran 2009
935 Takip Edilen395 Takipçiler
Nate
Nate@nathanieljcox·
Why is BTC under pressure…
Bob Kendall (The Kendall Report)@PortfolioXpert

So here’s the issue you get influencers like this guy have a quarter million followers and they claim they don’t know why it is declining… it’s because they don’t understand basic mechanics of price discovery. They don’t understand that the marginal buyers or the float determines price they think the onchain bitcoin is that is the price discovery Well, it was once upon a time but now.. Once you can synthetically manufacture the supply, the asset is no longer scarce and once scarcity is gone, price becomes a derivatives game, not a supply-and-demand market. This is exactly what has happened to Bitcoin. This is the same structural break that occurred in gold, silver, oil, and eventually equities once they became derivatives-dominated. The original premise that no longer exists Bitcoin’s entire valuation logic was built on finite supply (21M) and inability to be rehypothecated. That died the moment: •Cash-settled futures •Perpetual swaps •Options •ETFs •Prime broker lending •Wrapped BTC •Total return swaps were layered on top of the chain. From that moment forward: Bitcoin supply became theoretically infinite. Not on-chain in price discovery. The metric that explains the collapse Synthetic Float Ratio (SFR) Once you can synthetically manufacture the supply, the asset is no longer scarce — and once scarcity is gone, price becomes a derivatives game, not a supply-and-demand market. That is exactly what has happened to Bitcoin. This is the same structural break that occurred in gold, silver, oil, and eventually equities once they became derivatives-dominated. Why Wall Street can now “trade against” Bitcoin They do exactly what they’ve done in every commodity market: 1.Create unlimited paper BTC 2.Short into rallies 3.Force liquidations 4.Cover lower 5.Repeat They are not “betting” — they are manufacturing inventory. The same 1 BTC can now support: •An ETF unit •A futures contract •A perpetual swap •An options delta •A broker loan •A structured note All at once. That is six claims on one coin. That is not a market. That is a fractional reserve price system.

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Nate
Nate@nathanieljcox·
@BillAckman Dems have been pushing for a free Palestine the entire time. 🙄
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Nate
Nate@nathanieljcox·
@elonmusk @therabbithole Why should anyone care. We’re all people. Skin color doesn’t change that we are all one.
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Two Prime
Two Prime@Two_Prime·
Introducing The Institutional Guide to Bitcoin Yield: Strategies, Risks, and Returns. We outline strategies for generating returns on bitcoin through lending, staking, and trading. Read the report 👇 twoprime.com/post/instituti…
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21Rates
21Rates@21RatesHQ·
🎙️ Join us at #Bitcoin2025 as we explore institutional Bitcoin yield and lending with @alexandersblume , CEO of @Two_Prime. We talk Bitcoin yield strategies, @MARAHoldings partnership, and the future of Bitcoin as a mature asset class. Hot off the press: Alex also just dropped The Bitcoin Treasuries Playbook feature in @Forbes this morning (link in comments). 00:34 Partnership with Marathon Digital 01:32 Understanding Bitcoin Lending and Asset Management 02:28 Challenges and Misconceptions in Bitcoin Yield 04:35 Institutional Adoption and Yield Strategies 07:24 Leveraged Bitcoin Equities and Conference Insights 09:08 Conclusion and Future of Bitcoin Yield
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Tyler
Tyler@TylerDurden·
When you finally swap all your Ethereum for Bitcoin after holding down for 3 years.
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Nate
Nate@nathanieljcox·
@theaudreylee @two_prime Absolutely. I fully expect liquid markets like FX and equities to price in (or attempt to price in) the effects of tariffs long before the waves crashe on the shore. The closer they get, the more accurate the adjustment.
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Two Prime
Two Prime@Two_Prime·
🧵 March 28 - Market Insights from @nathanieljcox “You can’t stop the waves, but you can learn to surf.” - John Kabat-Zinn I heard a commentator on CNBC this week liken tariffs to an earthquake that has happened 500 miles off the coast of America. You know it happened, but the tsunami that’s coming is virtually impossible to predict. We’ve all got the news that tariffs are happening, but the real effects, the economic shocks, the inflationary pressure, and consumer demand are all just guesswork at this point.
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Nate
Nate@nathanieljcox·
@RhodyJoe @TuckerCarlson Nah, we'll pay all the same income tax, plus the 40% global tariff tax. Just wait until you see the prices go up.
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JL
JL@RhodyJoe·
@TuckerCarlson In 2028, the majority of Americans will pay ZERO income tax. Tariff negotiation headlines, meaningless. America is Great Again🇺🇸
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Tucker Carlson
Tucker Carlson@TuckerCarlson·
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent explains the administration’s new tariffs, and why we had to do something to stop the slide. (0:00) Trump’s Tariff Plan (5:42) The Current State of the Stock Market (8:22) Will Americans See Substantial Tax Cuts Because of Tariffs? (13:16) How Much Money Will America Make Through Tariffs? (14:33) Bringing Manufacturing Back to the US (20:14) Tariff Pushback From Foreign Countries (22:16) Will China Retaliate? (25:42) How Will Europe Be Impacted? (33:12) Is the Upper Class Out of Touch With the Lower and Middle Class? (35:47) Bessent’s Biggest Worries (42:35) The Long Term Benefits of DOGE (46:17) The Corruption of the Federal Reserve (49:22) Why Gold Is So Critical Right Now (52:13) Zelensky's Self-Sabotaging Negotiation Tactics (1:00:19) The Trump Administration’s Messaging About the Economy Includes paid partnerships.
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Nate
Nate@nathanieljcox·
@VandelayBTC @TuckerCarlson Share's one data point where BTC outperforms Gold. Thinks this is somehow meaningful. 😂
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Nate@nathanieljcox·
@Mar50cC5O @TuckerCarlson It's taken 40 years to build the current global supply chain. Breaking it doesn't automatically bring jobs to America. The jobs we lost we can't take back, we don't have the infrastructure of the workers. All we're doing is shooting ourselves in the foot.
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MAG🔫1775🇺🇸
MAG🔫1775🇺🇸@realMAG1775·
This is the kind of breakdown that should be front-page news, but of course, corporate media would rather panic over pronouns than explain why tariffs actually matter. Trump’s Tariff Plan It’s not about punishing the world it’s about saving America’s industrial backbone. Tariffs level the playing field after decades of China undercutting U.S. workers with slave labor and state subsidies. State of the Stock Market Volatile? Sure. But that’s Wall Street getting jittery because for once, Main Street is being prioritized. The market will stabilize the swamp rats just don’t like change. Tax Cuts from Tariffs? Yes. Revenue from tariffs helps reduce reliance on your tax dollars. It's about time global freeloaders helped foot the bill for U.S. prosperity. How Much Will America Make? Billions. Straight from foreign exporters who’ve been leeching off our open-door policies. Now, they pay to play. Foreign Pushback Expected. But the U.S. holds the cards. We’re the largest consumer market in the world. If they want access, they’ll come to the table. Will China Retaliate? They might try, but let’s be real China needs us more than we need them. Decoupling is their nightmare. Impact on Europe They’ll scream and stomp, but they’re soft. If they want to trade, they’ll adapt. America First means we set the terms. Elites Are Out of Touch 100%. Ivy League execs don’t understand what it’s like to work a double shift or live paycheck to paycheck. That’s why their “free trade” gospel rings hollow. Bessent’s Biggest Worry That Americans won’t see the long game. This isn’t about quarterly profits it’s about national survival. Long-Term Benefits of DOGE (Dept. of Government Efficiency) Finally, a federal overhaul of useless bureaucracy. Cutting waste, streamlining operations, and giving power back to the people. Federal Reserve Corruption Bessent pulls no punches Powell & Co. have been playing political games, not doing their job. The Fed’s lost credibility, and it’s time for accountability. Why Gold Matters In uncertain times, gold is stability. With inflation looming and fiat currency faith fading, gold is the hedge against globalist stupidity. Zelensky’s Negotiation Failures Hard truth: Zelensky keeps overplaying his hand and losing support. America’s patience is wearing thin, and Trump’s not interested in endless, unwinnable wars. Trump Admin’s Economic Messaging Clear. Direct. America First. Wages up, inflation down, independence restored. No fluff, no Wall Street weasel words.
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Charlie Spiering
Charlie Spiering@charliespiering·
@TuckerCarlson Bessent says the US is “shedding excess labor in the federal government” and “bringing down federal borrowings’ that will “give the labor we need for the new manufacturing”
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Nate
Nate@nathanieljcox·
@MrPitbull07 @TuckerCarlson Yeah we really showed them by wiping out $8T in market cap from our own market, back to back biggest down days in the stock market this year, and worst performance since 2020! Recession odds up to 60%, we're gonna be so great after we collapse.
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Mr PitBull
Mr PitBull@MrPitbull07·
@TuckerCarlson One thing I really love about Trump’s tariffs is watching the rest of the world squirm because they can’t take advantage of us anymore. It’s about time America stood its ground. THIS is exactly what I voted for.
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tim russ
tim russ@timruss2·
tim russ tweet media
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