NBA 3-Point Model
734 posts
NBA 3-Point Model
@nba3smodel
Software Engineer using data and analytics to find edges in player 3 point props. Since 11/29/25 +81.13 units. 2026 +51.71 units.
Katılım Kasım 2025
9 Takip Edilen83 Takipçiler
✅Jordan Goodwin 📈OVER 1.5
❌Miles Bridges 📈OVER 1.5
NBA 3-Point Model@nba3smodel
Play #1 & #2: 🏀Miles Bridges 📈OVER 1.5 🏀Jordan Goodwin 📈OVER 1.5
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Make it 2 plays lol
Underdog NBA@UnderdogNBA
Guerschon Yabusele (injury management) listed out Saturday.
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@JarueBets1711 @Mattplayerprops I withdrew my money from FD after they paid me. And Fanatics honors it. So I’m all good, but crazy stat correction followed by an injury.
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CASH THE FREE PLAY 💰✅
RUN UP THE LIKES/RT's if you tailed! Let me know in the comments ‼
28K people saw this cash! Make sure to follow me with notifications to not miss these 🤝
Show the engagement & support and I'll post more often. Make sure to join VIP for ALL PLAYS
Matt@Mattplayerprops
🚨 𝗡𝗕𝗔 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗣𝗟𝗔𝗬 🏀 Collin Murray-Boyles over 11.5 pts+rebs $50 to someone who 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘𝗦/Comments! Let me know if you're tailing 🔥 Posted hours early in Discord. Analysis⬇️ Murray-Boyles gets a great matchup tonight to play nice minutes. This will be his 3rd game back from injury after missing about 4 weeks. In his first game back they limited CMB to 17 minutes, but we saw in his 2nd game he quickly got up to 24 minutes even in a 25 point loss which is great to see. He covered this line in both games back, going for 13 and 15 PR. In the most recent game in this exact situation seeing 24 mins with IQ out, Collin had 7 FG attempts and 15 reb chances (solid volume). I believe this is a great spot for that low to mid 20's minutes to continue for a variety of reasons. First, Quickley remains out which can just further secure rotation mins with one less body. Another reason Murray-Boyles should play plenty is the matchup. New Orleans has notably been playing alot of small ball lineups and he is also a very ideal guy to put on Zion on defense given his strength and athleticism. It's not the best spot for Poeltl especially when they do go small ball lineups, so I see CMB getting good run here. The matchup is good for him to also have success in his minutes, Pelicans rank 24th in defensive rating and allow 5th most paint ppg and 3rd most FG's in the restricted area. While they have improved slightly recently in overall defense, New Orleans still gives up the 6th most FG's in the restricted area in last 10 games. This is key for Collin who scores 76% of his made FG's in restricted area and takes 77% of his shots in the paint. Also a strong rebounding spot as when he will be on Zion, he'll be near the rim alot. Pels give up 45.5 rebs which is 6th most in NBA (10th most in last 5 games). When seeing 20-28 mins with Barnes and Ingram playing, we see Murray-Boyles averages 14.9 pts+rebs in 23.9 mins going over this in 12/17 games. Against non top 10 restricted area defenses (Pels bottom 10 all year) with 20-26 mins, CMB is averages 16.3 pts+rebs covering this in 7/8. This line is too low for the solid matchup and minutes he should see. TOR has a high 118.5 team total here. A great spot everything considered and Pelicans are on 2nd game of back to back with travel while also being shorthanded. Widely available on DFS sites and sportsbooks. Was +101 on DK when posted in Premium, best odds currently -110 on Bet365, -115 on Fanatics. #Gambling𝕏 #NBA #Playerprops
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@Mattplayerprops Have to love stat corrections lol good thing it’s early
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We might be close to firing plays back up. Just didn’t want to give out losers with the current state. Minor tweaks to try to account for tanking teams, players recent minutes, etc.
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BANGGG! THAT'S A CLEAN SWEEP 🧹🧹
Josh Giddey over 8.5 rebounds ✅✅
Sweat free cash! 🤣
Even in a 40 point blowout with PHI shooting lights out, the Giddler still covers 🔥
We are CRUSHING in the discord, if you haven't joined yet you hate money 👀⤵️
dubclub.win/r/Matthewp07/
Matt@Mattplayerprops
BANG 💰💰 Andrew Nembhard over 22.5 pts+asts ✅ NEVER A DOUBT 🔥 We move to 2-0 on the day in VIP, stop missing out. Come join the fun ‼
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@fitzmagic13 If he took 8 threes… I’d agree. Expecting him to hit 3/5 and 4/5 is unreasonable. Maybe should’ve factored in that bucks would get ran over… two bad L’s in a row with this a Ware. Bounce back coming for sure.
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It’s more fun betting on 3s when they go in, volume was there.
We go again soon!
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BANG! 🔥💥
Alperen Sengun over 19.5 points ✅✅
Beyond sweat free cash in the 3rd qtr, Alpy is absolutely frying the Bulls down low exactly as expected 🎯
We are COOKING in premium! 3-0 on the night, come join if you like long term profit ⤵️
dubclub.win/r/Matthewp07/
Matt@Mattplayerprops
BANG! CASH Another 💰🔥 Tobias Harris over 13.5 points ✅✅ Never a doubt! Even with brutal efficiency he comes through with the usage being great, happy with this read 🎯 We move to 2-0 in discord, come join if you haven't already! 🤝
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Worked on some adjustments to the model Friday. Yesterday it would’ve gone 2-2 hitting Garland and Klay Thompson. Played 2 guys today. Zaire Williams and Royce O’Neal. Wanted to see it through a couple days before blindly posting them.
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@JBookie22 I’m sure we will see a post from the first basket guy saying he hit it. Like OK dude we get it. You play every first basket available for every game. Can’t fool me. 🤣
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