Nimbus

The 12 months ahead are likely bullish on a macro standpoint due to the following factors: - GDP is likely to beat expectations driven by productivity, deregulation & monetary policy, - Inflation is likely to be lower than expectations driven by productivity, and declines in cost of labor & property, - Warsh likely means significant commercial banking deregulation, which unleashes liquidity, and likely more than the reduction we will have in markets due to less direct involvement by the Fed, - The deregulation & tax cuts of the Big Beautiful Bill are starting to diffuse into the economy, with the benefits front-ran and the costs to be paid towards the latter years, - On top of deregulation of the banking sector, the U.S. dollar is on a bearish trajectory due to both fundamental & technical factors, adding to liquidity growth in 2026. Currently, there is only enough liquidity in markets for stocks to experience inflows, especially internationally. In the medium term though, expecting liquidity to expand. #Bitcoin is the apex macro asset - four year cycles were not cycles because of dates, they were simply following macro risk appetite which has changed every four years. With the current backdrop, multiple to drawdown, and asymmetry, don't be surprised if we expand to ATH's by Q4. I prefer, personally, to be allocated here.

"I'll shrink the balance sheet" - Kevin Warsh Traditionally hawkish, but the net effect is not. The Administration is taking measures to fill that role and ensure bonds are bought up, stable and liquid. Stablecoins are a key aspect of this plan.

Stochastic RSI flipped on a monthly timeframe on $BTC in March. This has had a 100% success rate of predicting the HTF bottom on Bitcoin this cycle. Oscillators are a fantastic gauge for cyclical behaviour, and I rarely see them nowadays. It should still be used in confluence with other factors and indicators. The best strategy, regardless, is to DCA. You avoid FOMO and you can still continue buying lower if it comes. I see too many be confident in $40-50K, thinking in black and white. Be careful, be flexible, and be open to many possibilities.

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Why did we have such a shallow correction on $SPX compared to the subsequent price moves of the Tariff announcement and escalations? The market understood the backdrop of fundamental economic data is bullish for 2026. Fiscal dominance, AI productivity, and liquidity forecasts to name a few. As the conflict and its impact was the main headwind in the way for a prosperous year, as soon as we saw the U.S. have the upper hand and de-escalation a likely outcome, the market roared.

Isn't it fascinating that vital news hits headlines right key levels? Was it the news, or the technical triggers? I would say that it's not news that moves markets, and its not price that signals news to come. They are both the same rhythm, sung in different notes. As price strengthens at support or weakens at resistance, and is about to change direction, so does the physical world.

The cycle began with NFTs running. The next @AbstractChain run has begun with NFTs running first. Community has broken through, and the fundamentals are better than ever.

$DXY The short term impulse was expected, but the longer term trend is clear, and weak - both for fundamental and technical reasons, the latter of which you can see below. Multiple moving averages & the key $100 level represent significant resistance. The fundamental reasons are significant and a headwind, and perhaps we will go over them in detail in the future. Continued weakness leads to liquidity flowing into risk assets in 2026.

One of the reasons $VIRTUAL is bullish is how early they are to the robotics speculation and use case that will inevitably come as we advance from standalone LLMs to LLMs being connected and operating a physical entity.

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We have reached a key level for #Bitcoin vs #Gold, with a higher low on a high time frame basis. The stochastic RSI, an adaptation of RSI which incorporates and signals momentum shifts, has bounced off near zero and its EMAs have crossed, signaling a reversal. Expect Bitcoin to outperform Gold from here onwards in the medium-long term.

@VimsOne 🤝

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@Flynn_howitt Reality is the momentum and liquidity wasn’t enough for it to be real gains for us. The next echo can be much greater.

I round tripped over $120k of $Abster, yes it was a bad fumble but the thesis stands true. I still hold it and if anything I'd be looking to add to it with liquidity I don't need right now. Sitting at $2m mc $Abster being the mascot of the chain I think it will see the light of day again. Great post below on why @AbstractChain is still cooking and will continue to cook over the next 24 months.

@nativeaborean ◾️

@nimbusx ◼️

Few remain. Most L2s launched loud and died quietly. Abstract is still standing. The tourists left. The beta teams fled with your money. The only people that are left are builders and believers. Here's why I'm more convicted on @AbstractChain than I've ever been 🧵👇

@Flynn_howitt @AbstractChain 🫡

@nimbusx @AbstractChain Great write up sir 🫡

Few remain. But those who do are building something worth staying for. @AbstractChain isn't the loudest chain. It's the one that keeps shipping when nobody's watching. That's exactly the kind of chain that wins. 🟢

$ABSTER @absterxyz is the meme. And the meme is the chain. The green penguin mascot was embraced by the Abstract team before mainnet even went live. It's not some random deploy - it's core to the culture and its relative outperformance has been proof from the beginning. 75K+ holders. Funnily enough, still a non-consensus play as the mascot. You'll hear faders celebrate at any sight of its potential downfall, but it has never materialised. In a sea of disposable memecoins, 99% of which will never see the light of day again, $ABSTER has soul and staying power. If you're holding the chain's identity, you're positioned well.