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nkys arc
6.9K posts


hot take
the best thing to get huge @Polymarket airdrop is just betting
they implement feed, u bet u pay fee they get money u get rewarded
why would they give u more airdrop for providing liquidity when they already give you rewards to do so
all counts but betting is the top
@mustafap0ly like if true wont share it ( i will def share it )
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@Abombination81 link taken down can u reshare for last time i mistankely deleted
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Want a MONSTER advantage in PolyMarket?
This is it in one nice little xlsv file for you
I've recorded all crypto in PolyMarket for 18 months. Id argue I have more data than anyone on earth, including PolyMarket themselves.
I took all of that, every single tic, every coin, every time frame.... and decoded one of the most powerful signals of all time.
This xls file, shows the average drawdown at every price point in every amount.
What this means
72c price means 63.3% of the time, it drops 11c
72c price means 45.7% of the time, it drops 24c
This is the cheat code for where to enter and where to hedge or exit for every bot i have that does so.
Honestly at this point, if youre not following me... you hate money
#tUUjjP7Ze1" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">limewire.com/d/6wecx#tUUjjP…

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@Abombination81 yo one question, do you think there is still edge on this first one wins strats on bots typed in other languages than C/Rust? Or if you not in those you are fkced due to those 2-5ms
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Guess what, there are multiple ways to win 100% of the time in Polymarket.
This is one of them.
Sweeper Bots. Thats what we are basically talking about. You literally cannot lose, the only variable is how much you win.
These are different than other bots and require an understanding of how polymarket works.
1. Polymarket makes no money on any bids, just fees. That means if there is a bid asymmetry that money is "left over"
2. You can buy and sell after a market closes. You do not have to wait until settlement in order to get your money. After it closes you can sell immediately.
What this means, is that after a window closes, there is still trading going on, in a market who's winner is known.
The strategy is simple in concept, hard in execution.
If you have a GTC bid at 0.9999 to buy, then anyone that panic sells, sells to exit position early, makes a mistake you buy. You can bid the max because it is impossible to lose.
Now, why this is hard. Polymarket has a FIFO (first in first out) policy, meaning at market close, whoever bid first gets all the money.
So the next obvious evolution is to bid right before close... now they get it all.
But then the next evolution is to bid a little bit earlier... maybe as soon as it hits 99c instead of waiting till window ends.
Now maybe instead of waiting... etc etc. Its a fight for that queue position.
Basically the battle of the sweeper bots is now devolving to a battle for getting in line first.
BUT it still works. People who bet 99c before the window ends, get wrecked sometimes as it reverts, if this happens soon before window closes, you're still first.
It doesn't make a ton per window because the vast majority are already cleaned out. But I currently do this on all window ends on all markets it applies to. It makes around 1800 a month on average (I used to make almost 50k a month doing this years ago).
Curious to see if this post drops that average or not!
Good luck.

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@Abombination81 claude, typescript, maybe rust in the future
i know but do not use it much, some md files to let it have some context for future chats but no md instructions set up right now
I gotta start to see how I can wire up some workflow and what utility can it add to my daily
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Ok Need a question answered. Seeing if I can build something for you Guys/Gals/Whatever's.
This is very important you answer, for your own benefit.
Does everyone here use AI to code? if so which one. If you code, what are you using, python? rust? etc
Do you know how to use a json? cli? mcp? md files? I need to figure out how to build things... like back testers, traders, etc for you guys. But need to understand how others are doing things. My way is just one of many.
Just put what you know below, IM going to scrape it all and try and make it all work. So if you don't reply, and shit doesn't work... well go punch yourself in your no no spot because it's your own fault.
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@Abombination81 thats insane haha, gotta go dig a tunnel and connect the cable ourselves
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@Abombination81 okay thanks a lot, will use ur ws post to improve my current logic see how it goes
tryna compete with the arb ones and they are fast af cant lose any ms
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@nkys666 you have to do exponential fallbacks until you get a stable amount
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@Abombination81 Ok yeh didnt explain much but that answers it, I think im running like 500+ on just one WS right now and I might be saturating it and losing some ms there
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@nkys666 I dont understand, but I use on average probably 100 connections per ws
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Speed is the #1 most important thing to optimize in Polymarket Bots
The CLOB api places the order. Its a first in first out game. It takes roughly 4ms for it to process but it processes them in series.
So what matters is the time that your bot sees the trade, to when you trade it has to be as low as possible.
EVERYTHING matters with speed. Your order placement, toxic fills, getting the price you want, hedging without losing in a falling market, siping, price parity, seeing movements on every tick.
Short of a "buy before window opens, and hold" strategy. Every bot gets better with faster speed.
So the first thing you should do, is make your bot as fast as you can.
The limits of physics, ie the speed of light, is 6.31ms from amazons web servers in ireland to the CLOB that places the order.
Guess how fast my bots go...

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@Abombination81 Thx thought so, 1 WS connection with hundreds of outcomes or hundreds of WS with tens of outcomes?
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@nkys666 Clob is polymarkets processing speed, nothing to do with us
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On yesterday's announcement:
Still quite unsure why they would create such hype and then drop fees and a referral program (the latter already existed)
Fees was to be expected some day, they gotta make revenue as a company but announcing it this way is just a bit disappointing?
I highly doubt fees (and rebates) will improve liquidity as some are claiming; the only reason to be happy for this as a user is if you want to see Polymarket make money off of its users
With regards to the referral program, I fear this will lead to much more slop everywhere, as people basically will willingly promote Polymarket in the hopes of earning some money and increasing their airdrop (why would this even be an airdrop metric?).
Btw, the old referral system was broken, you were basically making money off of existing users, you didn't even have to bring new users to the site. Now, the idea of begging people to join this site (keep in mind that the majority of people lose money!) to increase your airdrop is just a bit sad...
Anyway, if you do want to use this site, feel free to use my link polymarket.com/?r=frosen
Mustafa@mustafap0ly
Introducing Polymarket's brand new referral program 😛 polymarket.com/refer with the new upgraded fee structure, you'll earn 30% of all direct referrals, and 10% of all indirect referrals. this will make you directly eligible for all future rewards, coming very soon 🪙🪙
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@Beliukh_ @pvp_dot_trade I mean they have pvp hyperdash maybe a cut of markets and also app coming
They have like 50k now and as u say they arent doing much for it
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@nkys666 @pvp_dot_trade How can you reach such an income - without doing anything for it
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“New listing: $PVP-USDC spot on Hyperliquid.”
The notification I’ve been waiting for exactly one year.
On February 9, 2025, @pvp_dot_trade had its last points distribution.
Since then complete silence regarding TGE.
So what do we actually have today?
• $PVP ticker registered on HyperCore
• ~$13M in $HYPE sitting in their wallet — all staked
• $44k revenue over the last 30 days
• 352 active traders in the past month
• In November, pvp.trade acquired HyperDash
I first interacted with the project back in 2024.
Participated in the points season.
Earned a modest 330 points.
I genuinely enjoyed the product.
But one thing still remains a big question to me:
Why is the team not communicating their plans with the community?

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lets ride first ever 10B mcap airdrop

Mustafa@mustafap0ly
@CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next
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Its over.
And I've lost about everything (real) -
$100 to my name.
1 year ago i was a millionaire.
Now I will have to think about how to pay the bills.
Im not joking.
Idk where to start. I've done everything already, sales, engineering, marketing, copywriting, trading, photography, being a retard clearly..the list goes on.
Life resets are not easy and they get harder the older we get. Im in my 30's.
This trading game costs people their lives, and I'm afraid of that end.
If I dont respond Its cause I'm tired. Im resting.
Good luck out there for a little while at least.
Nobody probably cares to read this, everyone will skip over it.
Its just a blip anyway. Just take care of yourselves.
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been a while since i've seen something this funny in NFTs
- they will aim to an nft collection, then sweep the floor
- then proceed to undercut the floor 20% each listing
- at start some bots and users will buy, hoping for a quick ez flip
- but then some holders will just panic and sell on the bids
- this will make bots withdraw the bids
- then its deathstr vs holdors, tryna buy at cheap 'undervalued'
- but this can create bot liquidation of assets, making holdors run out of cash and believe, and start selling
- if done correctly, that NFT collection can literally go to a price so low it might never recover
im all for it gonna be interesting to see
CyberKongz@CyberKongz
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